Conf = Independent                Region = NAIA         State = PA
   Nickname = Griffins               Coach  = Brian Novotny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.3194427    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 A Robert Morris          Colonial      ( 3- 9, 75.6)     3-11   
 303 A Mars Hill              Deep South    ( 8- 6, 77.4)     7-15   
 305 A Pfeiffer               CVAC          ( 1-13, 67.2)    11- 9   
 310 H Belmont Abbey          CVAC          ( 6- 9, 73.9)     8- 7   
 311 H Pace                   Northeast 10  ( 7- 7, 78.0)     3- 9   
 318 N Presbyterian           Deep South    ( 3-11, 72.8)     9-11   
 324 H Mercyhurst             East Coast    (13- 2, 90.7)     7-14   
 328 A Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 4- 8, 87.3)    17-10   
 331 H Mount St. Joseph       Independent   ( 1-12, 56.3)    14- 2   
 403 H Notre Dame de Namur    Independent   (11- 3, 88.0)     6-20   
 413 A Dominican College      East Coast    ( 5- 9, 72.0)     3-11   
 419 H Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 4- 8, 87.3)     9-12   
 428 A Wheeling Jesuit        Independent   ( 5- 8, 73.6)    13-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Robert Morris           3-11      -8     0          n/a  
   303 A Mars Hill               7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.35
   305 A Pfeiffer               11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.56
   310 H Belmont Abbey           8- 7       1     3    -     -2.27
   311 H Pace                    3- 9      -6     0    --    -5.17
   318 N Presbyterian            9-11      -2     3    --    -5.67
   324 H Mercyhurst              7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   328 A Saint Vincent          17-10       7   -11          n/a  
   331 H Mount St. Joseph       14- 2      12    21          n/a  
   403 H Notre Dame de Namur     6-20     -14   -10           0.00
   413 A Dominican College       3-11      -8     3    ---  -11.80
   419 H Saint Vincent           9-12      -3    -9          n/a  
   428 A Wheeling Jesuit        13-15      -2     2    --    -4.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Robert Morris           3-11   
   303 A Mars Hill               7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.35
   305 A Pfeiffer               11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.56
   328 A Saint Vincent          17-10   
   331 H Mount St. Joseph       14- 2   
   413 A Dominican College       3-11      -8     3    ---  -11.80
   419 H Saint Vincent           9-12   
   221 A Robert Morris           3-11   
   311 H Pace                    3- 9      -6     0    --    -5.17
   318 N Presbyterian            9-11      -2     3    --    -5.67
   328 A Saint Vincent          17-10   
   331 H Mount St. Joseph       14- 2   
   419 H Saint Vincent           9-12   
   428 A Wheeling Jesuit        13-15      -2     2    --    -4.16
   221 A Robert Morris           3-11   
   310 H Belmont Abbey           8- 7       1     3    -     -2.27
   328 A Saint Vincent          17-10   
   331 H Mount St. Joseph       14- 2   
   419 H Saint Vincent           9-12   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Robert Morris           3-11   
   328 A Saint Vincent          17-10   
   331 H Mount St. Joseph       14- 2   
   419 H Saint Vincent           9-12   
   221 A Robert Morris           3-11   
   328 A Saint Vincent          17-10   
   331 H Mount St. Joseph       14- 2   
   419 H Saint Vincent           9-12   
   221 A Robert Morris           3-11   
   324 H Mercyhurst              7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   328 A Saint Vincent          17-10   
   331 H Mount St. Joseph       14- 2   
   419 H Saint Vincent           9-12   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.46 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.66 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/