Conf = CVAC                       Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jason Dombrowski        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.4232864    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 7- 8, 76.3)     5-11   
 224 H St. Andrews            CVAC          (12- 5, 84.3)     6-19   
 228 H Lees-McRae             CVAC          ( 0-14, 59.8)    12- 7   
 303 H Wheeling Jesuit        Independent   ( 5- 8, 73.6)     8-16   
 305 H Seton Hill             Independent   ( 4- 9, 76.5)     9-11   
 309 A Presbyterian           Deep South    ( 3-11, 72.8)     7- 9   
 315 A NYIT                   East Coast    (10- 2, 89.4)     9-22   
 322 A Belmont Abbey          CVAC          ( 6- 9, 73.9)     9-14   
 324 H Wingate                Deep South    (11- 4, 82.7)     8-16   
 328 A Mars Hill              Deep South    ( 8- 6, 77.4)    13-19   
 404 A Queens U. of Charlotte CVAC          ( 7- 8, 78.1)    14-19   
 407 A Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 7- 8, 76.0)    11-12  o
 414 H Limestone              CVAC          (14- 2, 86.8)    11-13   
 417 A Belmont Abbey          CVAC          ( 6- 9, 73.9)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Catawba                 5-11      -6    -9    +      3.73
   224 H St. Andrews             6-19     -13   -16           0.00
   228 H Lees-McRae             12- 7       5     8    -     -3.13
   303 H Wheeling Jesuit         8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.27
   305 H Seton Hill              9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.56
   309 A Presbyterian            7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.24
   315 A NYIT                    9-22     -13   -22           0.00
   322 A Belmont Abbey           9-14      -5    -7    +      2.32
   324 H Wingate                 8-16      -8   -14    +      2.00
   328 A Mars Hill              13-19      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   404 A Queens U. of Charlotte 14-19      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   407 A Saint Leo              11-12  o   -1    -9    +++    8.45
   414 H Limestone              11-13      -2   -18    +++    8.00
   417 A Belmont Abbey           9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Lees-McRae             12- 7       5     8    -     -3.13
   303 H Wheeling Jesuit         8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Seton Hill              9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.56
   407 A Saint Leo              11-12  o   -1    -9    +++    8.45
   414 H Limestone              11-13      -2   -18    +++    8.00
   417 A Belmont Abbey           9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.32
   309 A Presbyterian            7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.24
   328 A Mars Hill              13-19      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   404 A Queens U. of Charlotte 14-19      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   221 A Catawba                 5-11      -6    -9    +      3.73
   322 A Belmont Abbey           9-14      -5    -7    +      2.32
   324 H Wingate                 8-16      -8   -14    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.22 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.24 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/