Conf = Empire 8                   Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Golden Flyers          Coach  = Rob Randall             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.8720703    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 H Gordon                 Commonwealth  ( 8- 8, 71.4)    17- 5   
 304 A Springfield            Pilgrim       ( 8- 9, 76.9)    10- 9   
 310 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 5, 81.7)    10- 8   
 313 N Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 5- 9, 75.6)    14- 8   
 320 H Western New England    Pilgrim       (17- 1, 84.6)     4- 9   
 324 A Hamilton               Liberty       ( 5- 9, 73.2)    11- 6   
 328 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (15- 6, 85.9)     7- 6   
 331 H Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 4- 8, 68.4)    21- 4   
 404 H Utica College          Empire 8      ( 6- 8, 70.7)    16- 7   
 407 A Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 7- 8, 74.8)    10- 9  o
 411 A Alfred                 Empire 8      ( 6- 7, 70.5)    17- 2   
 414 A RIT                    Empire 8      (14- 3, 84.8)    13-12   
 417 H Keuka                  Independent   ( 7- 5, 73.2)    22- 4   
 420 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (16- 4, 84.2)     9-15   
 424 A St. John Fisher        Empire 8      (10- 7, 77.7)    16- 8   
 427 H RIT                    Empire 8      (14- 3, 84.8)    14- 8   
 429 A Ithaca                 Empire 8      (16- 4, 84.2)    16-14   
 512 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 5, 81.7)    15- 5   
 516 A Wesleyan               NESCAC        (18- 3, 85.5)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Gordon                 17- 5      12    15           0.00
   304 A Springfield            10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.82
   310 H Geneseo                10- 8       2     5    -     -3.73
   313 N Connecticut College    14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   320 H Western New England     4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.78
   324 A Hamilton               11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   328 H Cortland                7- 6       1     1          -0.57
   331 H Elmira                 21- 4      17    19           0.00
   404 H Utica College          16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   407 A Hartwick               10- 9  o    1     9    ---   -8.88
   411 A Alfred                 17- 2      15    14           0.00
   414 A RIT                    13-12       1     0           1.13
   417 H Keuka                  22- 4      18    14           0.00
   420 H Ithaca                  9-15      -6     3    ---   -9.25
   424 A St. John Fisher        16- 8       8     7           0.96
   427 H RIT                    14- 8       6     2    +      3.41
   429 A Ithaca                 16-14       2     0           1.48
   512 H Geneseo                15- 5      10     5    ++     4.27
   516 A Wesleyan                6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Springfield            10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.82
   320 H Western New England     4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.78
   407 A Hartwick               10- 9  o    1     9    ---   -8.88
   420 H Ithaca                  9-15      -6     3    ---   -9.25
   313 N Connecticut College    14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   324 A Hamilton               11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   310 H Geneseo                10- 8       2     5    -     -3.73
   516 A Wesleyan                6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Geneseo                15- 5      10     5    ++     4.27
   427 H RIT                    14- 8       6     2    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.07 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.03 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/