Morrisville                   1 -11


 
   Conf = Independent                Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Paul Rose               



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   68.7722549    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 307 A Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 7- 8, 74.8)     5-17   
 310 A Manhattanville         Skyline       ( 5-10, 62.4)     2-16   
 328 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        (12- 5, 77.6)     0-13   
 331 A Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        ( 9- 6, 74.7)     4-21   
 402 A Alfred                 Empire 8      ( 6- 7, 70.5)     2-20   
 405 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 3-11, 67.5)     3-16   
 414 H Keuka                  Independent   ( 7- 5, 73.2)     5-21   
 418 A Misericordia           Pennsylvania  ( 6- 7, 64.1)     3-15   
 421 N Medaille               Independent   ( 3- 9, 57.8)    11-12 2o
 425 A Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 7- 6, 72.6)     4-12   
 429 H Farmingdale            Skyline       ( 5-10, 64.0)     8-16   
 502 H Cazenovia              Independent   ( 1-14, 56.3)    10- 5   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Hartwick                5-17     -12   -22           0.00
   310 A Manhattanville          2-16     -14    -9          -0.02
   328 A Oneonta                 0-13     -13   -25           0.00
   331 A Plattsburgh             4-21     -17   -22           0.00
   402 A Alfred                  2-20     -18   -18           0.00
   405 H Oswego                  3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   414 H Keuka                   5-21     -16   -17           0.00
   418 A Misericordia            3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   421 N Medaille               11-12 2o   -1    -4    +      3.04
   425 A Brockport               4-12      -8   -20    +      2.00
   429 H Farmingdale             8-16      -8    -8           0.86
   502 H Cazenovia              10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.16


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Cazenovia              10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.16
   421 N Medaille               11-12 2o   -1    -4    +      3.04
   425 A Brockport               4-12      -8   -20    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 53.80 Local Power Rank...........   133
 Local SOS Rating......... 38.77 Local SOS Rank.............   113
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.31 Local RPI Rank.............   134
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    82
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   128
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7


  
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