Conf = ECAC                       Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Statesmen              Coach  = Matt Kerwick            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7198334    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Syracuse               Independent   ( 5- 8, 87.2)    11-13   
 224 N Bucknell               Patriot       (11- 4, 90.3)    10-11  o
 303 H Binghamton             America East  ( 4- 9, 83.4)    11- 5   
 310 A Hartford               America East  ( 2-13, 73.7)    17- 5   
 313 H Marist                 Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 79.8)    10- 5   
 318 A Georgetown             ECAC          (12- 3, 91.4)    13-15   
 324 H Rutgers                ECAC          ( 7- 6, 86.8)    11-12 2o
 331 H Fairfield              ECAC          ( 6- 6, 85.8)    11-10   
 407 A Penn State             ECAC          ( 5- 8, 84.8)     7-12   
 414 H Massachusetts          ECAC          ( 7- 7, 87.5)    12-17   
 421 A St. John's             ECAC          ( 5- 8, 82.4)    10-13   
 424 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 80.5)    11-10   
 428 A Loyola                 ECAC          ( 7- 6, 89.1)    10-17   
 504 A Cornell                Ivy League    (15- 1, 99.9)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Syracuse               11-13      -2    -5    +      3.29
   224 N Bucknell               10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.85
   303 H Binghamton             11- 5       6     1    ++     4.38
   310 A Hartford               17- 5      12     8           1.86
   313 H Marist                 10- 5       5     5          -0.26
   318 A Georgetown             13-15      -2    -9    +++    7.50
   324 H Rutgers                11-12 2o   -1    -1           0.70
   331 H Fairfield              11-10       1     0           1.78
   407 A Penn State              7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.10
   414 H Massachusetts          12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   421 A St. John's             10-13      -3     0    -     -2.41
   424 H Canisius               11-10       1     4    -     -3.58
   428 A Loyola                 10-17      -7    -7           0.26
   504 A Cornell                 4-17     -13   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Penn State              7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.10
   414 H Massachusetts          12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   421 A St. John's             10-13      -3     0    -     -2.41
   424 H Canisius               11-10       1     4    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Georgetown             13-15      -2    -9    +++    7.50
   224 N Bucknell               10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.85
   303 H Binghamton             11- 5       6     1    ++     4.38
   218 A Syracuse               11-13      -2    -5    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.46 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.99 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    43
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/