girls probabilites for 49
2018 girls NJ Public
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Moorestown 23 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 50.00
2 Oak Knoll School 21 3 3 7 3 5 5 3 13 6.00
3 Allentown, NJ 15 5 24 26 17 6 2 12 20 0.10
4 Rumson-Fair Have 22 4 12 49 6 10 3 7 20 1.00
5 Ridge, NJ 14 4 5 10 11 7 7 9 23 4.00
6 Summit, NJ 18 4 4 3 4 4 16 4 24 7.00
7 Bridgewater-Rari 16 5 9 9 12 9 10 10 29 1.00
8 Haddonfield 21 2 6 40 5 8 18 5 31 1.00
9 Ridgewood 22 4 2 2 2 2 28 2 32 29.00
10 Lawrenceville Sc 18 3 7 6 9 3 27 6 36 0.10
11 Manasquan 18 5 38 73 33 17 6 18 41 0.10
12 Clearview Region 15 7 14 11 20 13 4 28 45 0.10
13 Red Bank Catholi 19 3 30 91 19 15 14 16 45 0.10
14 Ocean City 17 2 15 65 8 14 24 8 46 0.10
15 Westfield, NJ 12 8 19 5 22 19 8 30 57 0.10
16 Northern Highlan 15 7 32 28 28 22 11 27 60 0.10
17 Shawnee 13 7 18 16 39 21 13 35 69 0.10
18 Eastern, NJ 17 2 8 29 7 12 50 11 73 0.10
19 Mendham 14 7 11 18 26 26 20 34 80 0.10
20 Mt. St. Mary SG, 19 4 13 66 15 30 40 15 85 0.10
21 Seneca, NJ 13 6 20 31 32 23 33 32 88 0.10
22 Hunterdon Centra 12 9 29 22 56 28 15 47 90 0.10
23 Mainland Regiona 12 4 41 76 27 24 41 26 91 0.10
24 Ocean Township 15 6 65 97 53 45 17 29 91 0.10
25 Roxbury 15 6 52 53 31 36 23 38 97 0.10
26 Mount Olive 17 2 26 70 14 25 61 14 100 0.10
27 Pingry School 17 6 17 20 10 11 78 13 102 0.10
28 Camden Catholic 18 4 33 87 23 39 42 22 103 0.10
29 Bernards 16 6 21 34 25 29 46 33 108 0.10
30 Colts Neck 19 3 45 134 21 32 60 19 111 0.10
31 Sparta 11 8 27 21 49 37 22 61 120 0.10
32 Cherokee, NJ 10 9 35 15 52 40 12 69 121 0.10
33 Freehold Townshi 14 5 66 127 44 50 32 39 121 0.10
34 Toms River South 18 2 68 158 16 31 76 17 124 0.10
35 Notre Dame, NJ 13 4 25 44 36 16 86 23 125 0.10
36 Bishop Eustace P 13 6 47 83 50 54 29 46 129 0.10
37 West Deptford 11 10 67 39 80 44 9 76 129 0.10
38 Hillsborough, NJ 12 6 22 42 34 42 53 41 136 0.10
39 Morristown 13 7 10 8 13 20 96 20 136 1.00
40 Glen Ridge 13 7 28 30 37 48 49 40 137 0.10
41 Immaculate Heart 17 5 16 19 18 18 98 21 137 0.10
42 Ramsey, NJ 12 7 64 88 71 38 26 75 139 0.10
43 Shore Regional 12 7 59 68 72 55 39 48 142 0.10
44 Lakeland Regiona 14 5 40 75 46 27 73 45 145 0.10
45 Princeton HS 13 11 46 35 115 34 19 93 146 0.10
46 Chatham 8 10 34 4 41 35 31 81 147 0.10
47 Rancocas Valley 12 9 51 47 84 49 25 78 152 0.10
48 Mountain Lakes 12 8 23 24 35 51 38 65 154 0.10
49 Madison, NJ 13 6 31 46 47 43 55 58 156 0.10
50 Holy Cross, NJ 12 7 54 57 74 33 51 74 158 0.10
51 New Providence 12 7 61 62 60 58 47 57 162 0.10
52 Indian Hills, NJ 14 6 36 60 57 47 70 54 171 0.10
53 Red Bank Regiona 14 8 62 105 87 76 34 66 176 0.10
54 Paramus HS 15 5 94 166 43 53 83 44 180 0.10
55 Pascack Valley 12 5 43 71 54 41 89 50 180 0.10
56 Westwood, NJ 14 6 100 149 62 59 62 62 183 0.10
57 Wayne Valley 12 7 69 78 75 56 52 79 187 0.10
58 Somerville 11 7 39 59 61 75 64 60 199 0.10
59 Pequannock Towns 13 4 70 153 38 57 111 37 205 0.10
60 River Dell 13 6 101 147 68 60 81 67 208 0.10
61 Mahwah 9 10 50 23 96 64 35 120 219 0.10
62 Haddon Township 12 9 84 77 95 68 56 96 220 0.10
63 NV-Demarest 12 6 116 150 70 61 90 70 221 0.10
64 Point Pleasant B 16 4 99 205 30 91 105 25 221 0.10
65 Middle Township 15 5 42 113 48 46 135 42 223 0.10
66 Blair Academy, N 7 7 71 52 63 74 97 53 224 0.10
67 Montclair Kimber 13 6 49 72 66 63 102 64 229 0.10
68 Verona, NJ 10 7 44 56 88 62 77 90 229 0.10
69 Holmdel 11 8 74 100 94 82 67 84 233 0.10
70 Jackson Liberty, 14 5 110 181 45 85 112 36 233 0.10
71 Montclair HS 10 9 48 33 92 77 57 102 236 0.10
72 Millburn 16 4 55 156 29 70 136 31 237 0.10
73 Brick Memorial 13 6 103 168 64 79 104 63 246 0.10
74 Morristown-Beard 11 7 57 69 76 71 87 88 246 0.10
75 Ramapo 5 12 80 13 144 80 21 145 246 0.10
76 Hopewell Valley 8 8 88 54 99 73 92 87 252 0.10
77 Howell, NJ 11 9 112 136 118 95 48 119 262 0.10
78 Mercersburg Acad 8 7 106 45 65 145 59 59 263 0.10
79 North Hunterdon 8 10 87 36 108 84 72 107 263 0.10
80 Hightstown 11 8 92 101 98 69 114 82 265 0.10
81 Villa Walsh Acad 9 8 124 104 85 90 88 94 272 0.10
82 Scotch Plains-Fa 13 6 75 115 69 72 134 68 274 0.10
83 Wayne Hills 12 7 108 169 82 83 106 86 275 0.10
84 Watchung Hills 5 11 93 27 131 93 44 139 276 0.10
85 Peddie School 9 3 37 55 24 52 202 24 278 0.10
86 Saddle River Day 8 14 53 14 138 65 63 150 278 0.10
87 Jackson Memorial 9 9 127 146 122 102 66 113 281 0.10
88 Washington Towns 8 11 56 25 120 86 58 138 282 0.10
89 Monroe Township 15 6 81 155 59 78 150 56 284 0.10
90 Egg Harbor Twp 9 8 126 110 106 96 95 98 289 0.10
91 Pascack Hills 9 6 114 174 77 81 131 77 289 0.10
92 Kent Place SG 7 12 98 37 157 94 36 160 290 0.10
93 Cherry Hill West 11 9 76 90 93 112 82 100 294 0.10
94 Randolph, NJ 6 11 95 41 137 113 37 147 297 0.10
95 Woodstown 15 7 58 119 55 67 178 52 297 0.10
96 Old Bridge 11 6 86 171 67 88 139 71 298 0.10
97 Lenape 5 12 60 17 142 89 45 165 299 0.10
98 Voorhees 12 6 77 114 40 105 149 51 305 0.10
99 Williamstown 11 8 72 93 90 100 110 95 305 0.10
100 West Windsor-PB 8 10 104 92 140 106 85 122 313 0.10
101 West Essex 8 11 63 32 139 103 65 148 316 0.10
102 Delaware Valley, 7 11 83 50 150 101 74 142 317 0.10
103 Princeton Day Sc 8 9 79 43 79 66 181 72 319 0.10
104 Cinnaminson 10 6 78 125 73 98 151 73 322 0.10
105 Morris Catholic 9 8 85 74 103 97 127 106 330 0.10
106 West Windsor-PB 9 9 118 118 127 92 130 109 331 0.10
107 Wall Township 6 13 128 85 195 118 30 186 334 0.10
108 Morris Knolls 8 11 82 58 135 110 71 155 336 0.10
109 Delran 9 9 91 103 110 107 122 110 339 0.10
110 Glen Rock 8 12 102 63 177 99 69 177 345 0.10
111 Southern Regiona 10 8 138 177 105 121 120 105 346 0.10
112 Vernon Township 14 5 73 144 51 87 216 49 352 0.10
113 Brick Township 9 11 154 163 160 127 75 152 354 0.10
114 Holy Spirit 10 7 132 148 86 109 162 85 356 0.10
115 West Milford Tow 10 7 121 176 89 111 156 91 358 0.10
116 Paul VI, NJ 9 9 134 138 114 141 103 116 360 0.10
117 South Brunswick, 11 8 125 162 101 116 145 99 360 0.10
118 Columbia, NJ 8 10 89 79 133 125 109 135 369 0.10
119 Kingsway 6 12 117 48 155 117 84 168 369 0.10
120 Kinnelon 8 10 90 81 146 124 99 146 369 0.10
121 Pennington Schoo 9 7 96 89 81 104 185 83 372 0.10
122 St. Rose 7 10 115 96 148 130 108 134 372 0.10
123 Barnegat Townshi 13 7 141 202 78 134 159 80 373 0.10
124 Middletown South 6 13 150 107 191 136 54 185 375 0.10
125 Livingston 8 9 113 102 130 120 123 133 376 0.10
126 North Brunswick 11 9 97 142 119 108 147 121 376 0.10
127 Montgomery, NJ 6 12 111 38 151 123 93 161 377 0.10
128 Robbinsville 6 11 123 86 172 115 107 156 378 0.10
129 Absegami 8 10 143 132 132 135 118 126 379 0.10
130 Pope John XXIII, 7 11 129 67 168 122 91 170 383 0.10
131 Hun School 7 10 105 64 107 114 160 111 385 0.10
132 Lawrence HS, NJ 10 5 146 210 58 132 199 55 386 0.10
133 West Morris Cent 1 16 133 12 196 137 43 207 387 0.10
134 NV-Old Tappan 10 9 147 196 124 133 133 124 390 0.10
135 Holy Angels Acad 6 12 136 94 181 131 79 181 391 0.10
136 Fair Lawn 6 10 163 167 154 126 116 151 393 0.10
137 Northern Burling 11 7 109 175 83 128 176 89 393 0.10
138 Middletown North 7 11 161 151 167 142 101 169 412 0.10
139 Kittatinny Regio 9 7 131 160 91 138 187 92 417 0.10
140 Sterling 9 12 137 128 159 143 121 157 421 0.10
141 Trinity Hall 5 13 140 80 187 158 80 188 426 0.10
142 Lower Cape May 10 9 119 111 123 119 194 114 427 0.10
143 Central Regional 7 11 172 170 165 150 119 159 428 0.10
144 Cedar Grove 11 9 148 185 117 140 171 118 429 0.10
145 St. John Vianney 8 10 130 123 145 154 148 128 430 0.10
146 Maple Shade 0 2 149 95 42 200 190 43 433 0.10
147 North Warren, NJ 10 8 151 189 100 148 189 103 440 0.10
148 Collingswood 11 9 120 108 102 129 214 101 444 0.10
149 Gill St Bernard' 8 9 122 124 111 152 165 132 449 0.10
150 Monmouth Regiona 5 13 180 122 198 169 94 187 450 0.10
151 Millville 8 11 142 131 163 139 158 154 451 0.10
152 St. Elizabeth Ac 7 7 165 186 97 159 196 97 452 0.10
153 Cedar Creek 6 9 158 157 141 156 169 129 454 0.10
154 Long Branch 2 16 190 112 214 176 68 210 454 0.10
155 Dwight-Englewood 8 9 173 203 129 151 173 131 455 0.10
156 OLMA, NJ 7 10 174 159 153 162 153 143 458 0.10
157 Cranford 8 9 107 130 128 144 186 130 460 0.10
158 Caldwell 4 14 139 61 205 146 115 203 464 0.10
159 Passaic Valley 7 9 171 194 136 157 172 137 466 0.10
160 Montville Townsh 5 13 135 84 192 147 126 196 469 0.10
161 Pennsauken 6 10 162 140 156 155 170 144 469 0.10
162 Clifton 5 11 181 187 174 153 143 174 470 0.10
163 Timber Creek, NJ 8 8 156 199 109 173 191 108 472 0.10
164 Parsippany Hills 10 8 153 209 104 168 206 104 478 0.10
165 Governor Livings 7 11 144 129 166 149 163 167 479 0.10
166 Atlantic City 6 11 155 143 170 164 157 163 484 0.10
167 Waldwick 6 13 179 182 194 161 132 194 487 0.10
168 New Egypt 8 11 145 137 147 163 184 141 488 0.10
169 Lacey Township 4 11 178 190 179 170 140 179 489 0.10
170 Newark Academy, 4 15 160 82 209 167 113 209 489 0.10
171 Bergen Tech 7 12 189 192 184 160 146 184 490 0.10
172 Morris Hills 7 10 152 161 152 165 180 149 494 0.10
173 Steinert (Ham. E 7 8 177 214 116 174 208 117 499 0.10
174 Manchester Towns 8 12 176 206 182 177 141 182 500 0.10
175 Phillipsburg 3 15 159 51 175 171 154 175 500 0.10
176 Cherry Hill East 4 16 170 99 211 172 117 213 502 0.10
177 Passaic County T 4 12 195 183 186 175 142 190 507 0.10
178 Marlboro, NJ 4 13 164 152 201 180 137 199 516 0.10
179 Warren Hills 5 10 157 120 149 181 179 158 518 0.10
180 Hackettstown 7 9 169 198 134 182 201 136 519 0.10
181 J.P. Stevens 7 8 194 218 112 199 209 112 520 0.10
182 Triton, NJ 5 8 192 197 125 191 205 125 521 0.10
183 Toms River North 2 15 196 154 210 186 124 212 522 0.10
184 Gloucester Catho 0 14 204 98 208 192 125 208 525 0.10
185 Winslow, NJ 2 14 198 121 207 193 128 206 527 0.10
186 East Brunswick 5 13 191 172 197 178 155 195 528 0.10
187 Neptune 0 18 212 145 221 208 100 222 530 0.10
188 Donovan Catholic 3 10 200 195 162 188 182 164 534 0.10
189 DePaul Catholic 4 11 201 193 176 184 175 176 535 0.10
190 Immaculata, NJ 4 14 168 117 203 187 144 204 535 0.10
191 Park Regional 3 12 188 141 189 179 164 192 535 0.10
192 Jefferson Townsh 1 17 183 109 220 189 129 220 538 0.10
193 Manalapan 5 11 167 126 158 166 219 153 538 0.10
194 Nottingham (Ham. 2 7 213 219 113 212 220 115 547 0.10
195 Ranney School 2 16 182 106 212 201 138 211 550 0.10
196 South Plainfield 8 11 185 207 169 183 197 171 551 0.10
197 Tenafly 3 11 205 208 183 195 177 183 555 0.10
198 Lenape Valley 4 13 187 178 200 185 174 198 557 0.10
199 Gateway Regional 3 14 186 133 199 197 166 197 560 0.10
200 Toms River East 2 14 193 173 206 196 161 205 562 0.10
201 Eastern Christia 4 8 211 221 126 218 221 127 566 0.10
202 Hoboken 0 7 222 222 121 222 222 123 567 0.10
203 Mater Dei Prep, 0 8 216 165 143 215 213 140 568 0.10
204 Mt. St. Dominic 2 16 166 116 215 190 168 215 573 0.10
205 Bishop Ahr 2 10 219 201 164 204 204 166 574 0.10
206 Paramus Catholic 4 10 206 217 161 207 211 162 580 0.10
207 High Point Regio 3 12 184 184 188 202 188 191 581 0.10
208 Park Ridge-Emers 5 12 202 211 185 198 195 189 582 0.10
209 Pinelands Region 0 16 220 180 219 211 152 219 582 0.10
210 Parsippany 6 14 199 212 204 205 183 202 590 0.10
211 Stuart CDS 5 11 175 164 180 194 218 180 592 0.10
212 Highland Regiona 2 12 203 179 190 206 198 193 597 0.10
213 Oakcrest, NJ 0 18 214 139 222 209 167 221 597 0.10
214 Union Catholic 1 10 207 188 173 213 212 173 598 0.10
215 Edison, NJ 3 13 208 200 202 203 200 200 603 0.10
216 Rutgers Prep 2 13 197 135 193 210 192 201 603 0.10
217 Ewing Township 1 10 218 215 171 217 215 172 604 0.10
218 Hamilton West 4 11 210 220 178 214 217 178 609 0.10
219 Burlington City 2 16 209 191 213 216 193 214 623 0.10
220 Saddle Brook 1 16 221 216 218 219 203 218 640 0.10
221 Boonton 1 16 215 213 216 220 207 216 643 0.10
222 Haddon Heights 1 16 217 204 217 221 210 217 648 0.10
<