girls probabilites for 32
2018 girls Massachusetts
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Norwell 22 3 8 12 4 4 2 2 8 1.00
2 Wellesley HS 23 3 3 7 3 6 3 4 13 9.00
3 Walpole 23 1 2 10 1 5 8 3 16 16.00
4 Newburyport 23 1 4 22 6 3 9 5 17 6.00
5 Longmeadow 18 3 5 3 9 2 20 7 29 13.00
6 Needham 14 8 10 2 11 14 1 14 29 4.00
7 Old Rochester 21 2 18 85 8 13 10 8 31 0.10
8 Duxbury 16 6 12 17 18 15 7 15 37 0.10
9 Notre Dame, Hing 22 2 1 1 2 1 35 1 37 30.00
10 Wayland 21 3 7 18 7 10 18 9 37 3.00
11 Groton-Dunstable 14 5 24 16 31 9 15 25 49 0.10
12 Bromfield School 18 7 30 37 42 12 16 24 52 0.10
13 Concord-Carlisle 15 7 15 5 17 20 6 32 58 0.10
14 Westwood, MA 14 8 11 8 22 25 5 28 58 6.00
15 Agawam 14 4 25 79 20 18 31 11 60 0.10
16 Masconomet 13 7 28 11 37 19 4 40 63 0.10
17 Marblehead 16 5 13 34 27 17 25 22 64 0.10
18 Braintree 17 5 23 32 12 23 30 19 72 0.10
19 Ipswich 13 6 37 35 48 22 14 38 74 0.10
20 Woburn Memorial 17 4 19 44 21 29 26 20 75 0.10
21 Shrewsbury 16 7 44 45 53 24 23 30 77 0.10
22 Foxborough 14 6 22 29 25 34 21 29 84 0.10
23 Lincoln-Sudbury, 14 7 14 6 13 21 49 21 91 1.00
24 Minnechaug Regio 16 5 20 20 19 8 71 13 92 1.00
25 Falmouth Academy 17 3 43 137 24 30 45 18 93 0.10
26 Franklin, MA 14 6 16 25 23 36 27 33 96 2.00
27 Natick 13 7 17 21 36 40 22 45 107 3.00
28 Andover, MA 14 8 29 15 38 39 28 42 109 0.10
29 Boston Latin Sch 17 3 39 83 15 32 60 17 109 0.10
30 Littleton, MA 15 5 57 102 46 28 42 39 109 0.10
31 Reading Memorial 17 5 27 51 32 31 39 41 111 0.10
32 Central Catholic 15 5 26 49 33 41 41 31 113 0.10
33 Westborough 11 7 42 31 75 26 33 54 113 0.10
34 Falmouth HS, MA 17 2 33 110 16 27 74 16 117 0.10
35 Cohasset 18 3 6 23 5 7 113 6 126 3.00
36 Sandwich 14 5 50 91 51 35 48 46 129 0.10
37 Dover-Sherborn 14 6 31 48 30 59 40 37 136 0.10
38 Bishop Feehan 12 7 47 39 54 45 34 59 138 0.10
39 Chelmsford 22 3 9 24 10 11 118 10 139 0.10
40 Algonquin 11 9 32 33 97 37 36 69 142 2.00
41 Medfield 13 8 36 26 52 46 32 72 150 0.10
42 Nantucket HS 11 7 86 116 78 54 19 78 151 0.10
43 Manchester-Essex 17 4 21 40 14 16 124 12 152 0.10
44 Hingham 11 11 54 14 61 38 46 70 154 0.10
45 North Andover 11 10 38 19 84 57 17 86 160 0.10
46 Milton HS, MA 12 7 48 42 47 62 47 52 161 0.10
47 Tyngsborough 14 6 67 128 64 44 67 50 161 0.10
48 East Longmeadow 9 10 100 62 98 52 29 85 166 0.10
49 Hanover, MA 14 7 51 60 67 33 73 60 166 0.10
50 Pentucket Region 11 6 53 70 57 56 57 53 166 0.10
51 Beverly 12 8 55 46 89 49 38 82 169 0.10
52 Lexington HS 15 7 34 56 62 55 43 71 169 0.10
53 Pembroke, MA 12 7 62 59 76 47 44 79 170 0.10
54 Westfield HS, MA 11 7 75 101 71 51 53 67 171 0.10
55 King Philip Regi 14 6 35 58 41 61 66 51 178 0.10
56 West Springfield 14 7 80 141 74 50 64 66 180 0.10
57 Swampscott 14 7 58 106 59 68 51 62 181 0.10
58 Lynnfield 12 8 61 80 73 60 52 75 187 0.10
59 Oakmont Regional 12 6 91 144 70 53 69 65 187 0.10
60 Scituate, MA 14 6 46 77 44 63 77 47 187 0.10
61 Grafton Memorial 14 8 66 105 81 42 70 77 189 0.10
62 Newton South 13 6 41 55 43 65 76 57 198 0.10
63 Martha's Vineyar 14 6 52 122 55 66 84 56 206 0.10
64 Marshfield 10 11 64 41 137 58 12 137 207 0.10
65 North Attleborou 7 11 73 30 103 89 11 108 208 0.10
66 Mashpee 11 8 90 124 83 81 50 80 211 0.10
67 Winchester 14 5 40 92 45 74 89 48 211 0.10
68 Melrose 11 6 59 89 69 75 83 73 231 0.10
69 Apponequet 13 6 72 126 66 64 115 55 234 0.10
70 Framingham 6 11 81 13 104 71 37 126 234 0.10
71 Peabody Veterans 14 6 65 118 56 77 103 58 238 0.10
72 Austin Prep, MA 12 8 69 96 87 67 82 93 242 0.10
73 Silver Lake 12 8 68 86 85 73 86 83 242 0.10
74 Nipmuc 14 6 89 165 63 69 114 64 247 0.10
75 Billerica Memori 9 10 74 43 120 76 56 117 249 0.10
76 Newton North 8 10 79 36 93 93 55 101 249 0.10
77 Mount Greylock R 16 6 84 133 49 43 163 44 250 0.10
78 Lowell, MA 10 9 88 78 92 99 59 94 252 0.10
79 Chicopee Comp 18 5 130 197 39 80 137 36 253 0.10
80 Weston, MA 11 10 63 50 101 79 61 115 255 0.10
81 Hopkinton, MA 11 9 45 47 82 83 78 99 260 0.10
82 Barnstable 6 12 102 53 144 91 24 148 263 0.10
83 Medway 11 9 56 54 99 88 79 100 267 0.10
84 Hamilton-Wenham 8 9 83 72 102 78 93 97 268 0.10
85 Sharon, MA 11 8 60 68 79 84 100 90 274 0.10
86 Westford Academy 10 11 49 9 77 48 146 84 278 0.10
87 Wahconah Regiona 10 11 147 135 100 86 98 96 280 0.10
88 Wachusett 7 12 85 52 157 82 63 138 283 0.10
89 Auburn, MA 14 6 109 176 60 72 149 63 284 0.10
90 Revere, MA 13 6 94 155 68 100 117 74 291 0.10
91 Archbishop Willi 15 4 77 167 35 87 171 35 293 0.10
92 Monomoy 11 6 101 161 72 96 121 76 293 0.10
93 Acton-Boxborough 2 16 87 4 164 102 13 187 302 0.10
94 Watertown, MA 10 10 82 88 122 103 81 118 302 0.10
95 Brookline 4 11 95 27 107 125 58 120 303 0.10
96 Whitman-Hanson R 10 10 99 104 111 92 108 110 310 0.10
97 Doherty-Worceste 10 9 134 160 113 94 105 113 312 0.10
98 Hoosac Valley, M 15 5 113 189 40 70 200 43 313 0.10
99 Old Colony RVT 16 4 92 199 34 104 176 34 314 0.10
100 Georgetown, MA 11 10 97 120 114 119 95 103 317 0.10
101 Mansfield 9 10 76 66 108 105 90 124 319 0.10
102 Holliston 11 9 71 87 94 113 110 98 321 0.10
103 Plymouth North, 6 10 93 75 134 97 91 134 322 0.10
104 New Bedford 14 5 70 150 50 90 186 49 325 0.10
105 Fairhaven 6 12 154 109 165 111 62 154 327 0.10
106 Lunenburg 12 8 116 168 95 95 139 95 329 0.10
107 Sacred Heart, Ki 10 5 122 188 58 106 170 61 337 0.10
108 Danvers 6 12 111 67 158 107 72 159 338 0.10
109 Nauset Regional 9 10 110 112 130 101 111 129 341 0.10
110 Hull 8 10 129 140 121 122 116 114 352 0.10
111 St. Mary's, Lynn 9 11 118 132 146 112 96 147 355 0.10
112 Amherst-Pelham 11 8 124 153 80 98 178 81 357 0.10
113 Northampton, MA 8 12 115 69 118 85 172 102 359 0.10
114 St. John Paul II 8 9 123 149 115 128 126 106 360 0.10
115 North Middlesex 6 13 138 114 180 118 75 168 361 0.10
116 Dartmouth 5 12 112 65 151 110 109 143 362 0.10
117 Dracut 9 11 98 81 131 108 127 130 365 0.10
118 Winthrop 14 6 107 179 65 120 177 68 365 0.10
119 Notre Dame, Worc 12 8 131 184 96 116 162 89 367 0.10
120 Tantasqua 5 14 156 113 189 117 68 186 371 0.10
121 Norwood 5 12 119 57 133 145 87 146 378 0.10
122 North Reading 4 12 153 93 161 138 85 157 380 0.10
123 Marlborough, MA 8 10 148 159 132 114 135 132 381 0.10
124 Bishop Stang 7 9 120 131 123 130 134 119 383 0.10
125 Cambridge R-L 8 10 96 90 116 131 132 122 385 0.10
126 Cardinal Spellma 10 9 132 148 112 123 152 112 387 0.10
127 Arlington HS, MA 6 10 108 82 126 140 122 127 389 0.10
128 Bedford Public, 6 10 106 84 128 139 123 128 390 0.10
129 Ursuline Academy 12 9 78 111 90 109 191 91 391 0.10
130 Leominster 6 11 144 134 149 121 119 152 392 0.10
131 Plymouth South, 10 9 103 136 105 129 159 104 392 0.10
132 Sturgis West Cha 5 11 157 146 155 134 102 158 394 0.10
133 Nashoba Regional 8 10 128 142 129 124 138 133 395 0.10
134 Bishop Fenwick, 7 11 117 127 138 132 129 135 396 0.10
135 Abington, MA 8 10 137 152 119 142 144 111 397 0.10
136 Weymouth 1 15 136 28 187 153 54 190 397 0.10
137 Bourne 7 13 141 143 178 136 97 166 399 0.10
138 Gloucester, MA 7 10 149 147 136 135 145 131 411 0.10
139 South Hadley 6 13 167 154 181 126 106 179 411 0.10
140 North Quincy 8 11 135 129 142 127 147 141 415 0.10
141 Shepherd Hill 11 10 126 172 110 115 192 109 416 0.10
142 Great. New Bedfo 7 13 165 158 179 158 94 167 419 0.10
143 Mystic Valley Ch 11 9 151 180 109 152 160 107 419 0.10
144 Northbridge 7 11 159 170 147 133 136 150 419 0.10
145 Waltham 1 16 145 38 200 156 65 203 424 0.10
146 Lowell Catholic 11 10 139 177 124 147 155 123 425 0.10
147 Triton Regional, 5 13 142 97 175 151 104 171 426 0.10
148 Shawsheen Valley 15 8 127 192 86 155 188 87 430 0.10
149 Chicopee 9 9 179 204 117 149 166 116 431 0.10
150 Medford, MA 1 14 174 61 191 160 80 192 432 0.10
151 Belchertown 9 8 160 193 88 141 204 88 433 0.10
152 Methuen 5 14 121 76 188 146 99 188 433 0.10
153 Fontbonne Academ 9 11 146 171 135 159 140 136 435 0.10
154 Rockland 4 13 155 121 173 144 125 169 438 0.10
155 Bridgewater-Rayn 4 13 125 71 186 137 120 184 441 0.10
156 Lee, MA 5 11 188 194 153 161 130 155 446 0.10
157 Wakefield Memori 5 13 152 94 185 162 101 183 446 0.10
158 Granby, MA 2 14 190 139 192 150 107 191 448 0.10
159 Haverhill 3 17 143 64 207 154 88 207 449 0.10
160 Hopedale 8 12 158 169 160 143 148 162 453 0.10
161 Hudson, MA 9 11 161 181 145 148 161 145 454 0.10
162 Oliver Ames 8 13 104 115 170 157 128 178 463 0.10
163 Advanced M&S Aca 8 7 186 208 91 173 205 92 470 0.10
164 Assabet Valley R 9 10 181 200 127 170 181 121 472 0.10
165 Ashland 7 11 105 107 140 168 156 149 473 0.10
166 Dennis-Yarmouth 1 19 182 98 213 169 92 213 474 0.10
167 Tewksbury Memori 3 15 133 63 195 167 112 195 474 0.10
168 Southeastern RVT 7 8 176 201 106 176 199 105 480 0.10
169 Burlington, MA 4 12 140 95 171 165 143 175 483 0.10
170 Sturgis East Cha 6 11 169 162 150 172 158 153 483 0.10
171 Pittsfield 6 10 173 182 125 163 202 125 490 0.10
172 Dighton-Rehoboth 5 11 175 164 152 175 179 144 498 0.10
173 Canton, MA 4 13 150 73 176 166 151 185 502 0.10
174 Belmont, MA 5 13 114 99 182 171 153 180 504 0.10
175 East Bridgewater 5 13 170 151 168 174 168 163 505 0.10
176 Quincy 3 17 162 103 208 164 133 208 505 0.10
177 Middleborough 3 13 192 156 177 183 157 172 512 0.10
178 Stoneham 2 14 177 117 194 180 142 194 516 0.10
179 Taunton 4 12 164 130 167 178 167 177 522 0.10
180 Norton 3 15 172 108 198 187 141 199 527 0.10
181 Matignon 7 12 168 178 162 181 183 164 528 0.10
182 Pope Francis HS 2 10 201 203 148 190 190 151 531 0.10
183 Cape Cod Acad, M 0 12 195 138 183 182 169 181 532 0.10
184 Wilmington 0 16 163 100 209 192 131 209 532 0.10
185 St. Bernard's, M 6 12 187 191 166 179 184 170 533 0.10
186 Monson 5 12 191 205 169 185 180 173 538 0.10
187 St. Peter-Marian 2 11 204 196 163 186 189 165 540 0.10
188 Blackstone Valle 5 10 193 207 141 197 208 140 545 0.10
189 Greater Lowell T 3 11 196 186 159 191 193 161 545 0.10
190 South Shore RVT 4 11 194 195 156 189 197 160 546 0.10
191 Malden 5 11 184 183 154 195 196 156 547 0.10
192 Arlington Cathol 1 14 189 145 196 177 175 196 548 0.10
193 Dedham 0 15 180 74 202 196 150 202 548 0.10
194 Milford, MA 2 15 185 123 199 184 165 200 549 0.10
195 Marian, MA 1 9 203 175 139 203 209 139 551 0.10
196 Whittier RVT 0 9 210 206 143 210 210 142 562 0.10
197 North Shore-Esse 4 12 178 173 172 188 201 174 563 0.10
198 Springfield Cent 0 13 208 187 190 199 182 189 570 0.10
199 St. Mary's, West 0 18 209 198 212 204 154 212 570 0.10
200 Bellingham, MA 4 16 166 125 203 193 174 204 571 0.10
201 Attleboro 2 16 171 119 205 202 164 206 572 0.10
202 Salem, MA 1 17 200 157 211 194 173 211 578 0.10
203 Saugus 4 12 183 185 174 200 206 176 582 0.10
204 Fitchburg 1 15 198 174 204 198 185 201 584 0.10
205 St. Joseph Prep, 0 12 205 166 184 205 198 182 585 0.10
206 Coyle-Cassidy 1 14 199 163 197 206 194 197 597 0.10
207 Upper Cape Cod R 4 17 197 190 210 201 187 210 598 0.10
208 Bristol-Plymouth 3 15 202 202 201 207 203 198 608 0.10
209 Montachusett RVT 2 14 206 210 193 208 207 193 608 0.10
210 Nashoba Valley T 3 16 207 209 206 209 195 205 609 0.10
211 Amesbury 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
212 North Central Ch 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
213 Northeast RVT 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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