girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2018 girls MD-Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Westminster, MD 16 3 8 10 3 3 1 5 9 1.00 2 Hereford 15 2 4 19 5 4 8 4 16 9.00 3 Eleanor Roosevel 15 1 64 132 8 9 4 7 20 0.10 4 Marriotts Ridge 13 3 2 5 4 6 11 3 20 20.00 5 Southern, Anne A 13 4 15 17 10 12 3 10 25 0.10 6 South River 18 2 3 6 2 1 24 2 27 8.00 7 Glenelg HS 17 2 1 2 1 2 27 1 30 51.00 8 Century, MD 12 5 9 8 11 11 2 19 32 0.10 9 Severna Park 12 6 7 3 7 5 26 8 39 2.00 10 Oakdale 14 2 5 51 14 16 14 14 44 3.00 11 Whitman, MD 14 2 27 68 19 15 12 18 45 0.10 12 Towson HS 12 3 10 35 18 18 18 16 52 1.00 13 Dulaney 11 7 16 4 17 7 35 13 55 0.10 14 Huntingtown 15 3 13 47 29 13 22 23 58 0.10 15 Leonardtown 13 3 24 54 12 26 21 12 59 0.10 16 Manchester Valle 9 6 17 11 25 14 23 26 63 0.10 17 South Carroll 11 2 11 39 9 21 38 9 68 2.00 18 Sherwood, MD 13 2 20 80 20 23 31 15 69 0.10 19 Catonsville 11 4 26 20 13 20 43 11 74 0.10 20 Kent Island 14 5 14 13 15 19 34 21 74 0.10 21 Northwestern 11 4 75 137 50 30 15 31 76 0.10 22 City College 10 2 47 121 16 10 56 17 83 0.10 23 Mt. Hebron 13 6 23 26 23 34 25 27 86 0.10 24 C. M. Wright 9 7 12 7 30 17 37 33 87 0.10 25 Winters Mill 11 6 19 23 28 32 9 47 88 0.10 26 Dr. Henry Wise 9 3 87 138 41 27 32 30 89 0.10 27 Walter Johnson 12 2 34 91 26 31 41 20 92 0.10 28 Broadneck 8 8 21 1 59 22 20 55 97 0.10 29 Damascus 9 6 50 48 64 29 5 65 99 0.10 30 Middletown, MD 11 5 29 49 34 35 19 45 99 0.10 31 Fallston 9 8 35 21 57 36 7 58 101 0.10 32 Bel Air 15 3 6 15 6 8 90 6 104 3.00 33 Gerstell Academy 8 5 18 30 39 53 13 44 110 0.10 34 Arundel 10 6 25 24 32 28 46 40 114 0.10 35 Oxon Hill 3 1 97 141 31 25 60 29 114 0.10 36 Easton, MD 11 5 22 18 53 41 28 50 119 0.10 37 Franklin, MD 8 5 37 56 44 39 40 43 122 0.10 38 Howard 8 9 32 14 74 42 6 81 129 0.10 39 Poolesville 11 3 45 102 37 40 53 36 129 0.10 40 Calvert 10 6 40 52 36 33 70 32 135 0.10 41 Frederick 10 5 49 61 47 45 39 51 135 0.10 42 Magruder 10 4 56 95 54 44 44 52 140 0.10 43 Winston Churchil 8 4 30 53 46 24 81 39 144 0.10 44 Patterson Mill 10 5 33 43 43 43 52 54 149 0.10 45 Western, Baltimo 6 3 66 119 52 38 80 35 153 0.10 46 La Plata 10 4 51 96 48 51 59 48 158 0.10 47 Northern, Calver 10 5 41 63 49 50 62 46 158 0.10 48 Walkersville 9 3 36 73 35 47 73 38 158 0.10 49 Old Mill 8 8 53 37 66 62 30 70 162 0.10 50 Eastern Technica 10 3 60 106 21 37 106 22 165 0.10 51 Bethesda-Chevy C 5 5 70 60 72 46 54 66 166 0.10 52 Tuscarora, MD 9 6 55 64 63 56 36 74 166 0.10 53 River Hill 5 10 62 12 96 66 10 103 179 0.10 54 Bowie, MD 6 6 114 136 89 54 47 80 181 0.10 55 Perry Hall 5 8 52 27 78 72 29 84 185 0.10 56 Urbana 6 8 63 50 109 58 17 112 187 0.10 57 Springbrook 9 6 68 100 80 67 42 82 191 0.10 58 Liberty, MD 4 9 61 22 97 68 16 109 193 0.10 59 Loch Raven 5 8 57 46 99 63 33 100 196 0.10 60 Boonsboro 12 5 44 78 55 61 76 61 198 0.10 61 Chesapeake, AA 11 5 31 40 38 49 109 42 200 0.10 62 Gwynn Park 3 3 137 145 58 59 85 59 203 0.10 63 Polytechnic, Bal 4 5 118 115 79 64 82 60 206 0.10 64 Centennial, MD 4 10 42 9 82 60 55 92 207 0.10 65 Fairmont Heights 7 2 116 156 33 52 124 34 210 0.10 66 Blake, MD 7 6 79 85 76 71 61 79 211 0.10 67 Annapolis, MD 7 9 48 28 88 55 66 91 212 0.10 68 Queen Anne's Cou 9 6 28 29 45 48 121 49 218 0.10 69 Richard Montgome 5 7 88 75 112 65 48 105 218 0.10 70 Rockville, MD 7 6 72 92 75 77 68 73 218 0.10 71 McDonough 8 6 73 112 77 76 67 77 220 0.10 72 Charles H. Flowe 7 5 120 144 68 70 96 57 223 0.10 73 Edgewood, MD 11 2 59 129 22 69 131 25 225 0.10 74 Aberdeen 7 7 83 89 81 83 71 78 232 0.10 75 Digital Harbor 1 6 145 105 104 94 63 75 232 0.10 76 Parkville 9 4 69 126 51 73 107 53 233 0.10 77 Parkside 6 6 38 32 61 78 94 63 235 0.10 78 Patuxent 8 7 67 66 98 57 92 89 238 0.10 79 North Harford 6 9 46 36 107 74 50 123 247 0.10 80 Lansdowne 7 5 96 122 70 80 105 69 254 0.10 81 Frederick Dougla 0 4 159 146 73 115 64 76 255 0.10 82 Parkdale 7 7 131 147 102 81 79 97 257 0.10 83 Harford Tech 5 9 65 42 111 84 58 118 260 0.10 84 Linganore 5 9 92 55 119 85 45 130 260 0.10 85 Northeast, MD 6 9 58 38 108 79 74 110 263 0.10 86 Chopticon 4 10 82 57 134 82 51 132 265 0.10 87 Sparrows Point 2 7 85 41 101 89 72 104 265 0.10 88 Largo 4 2 127 158 42 88 149 41 278 0.10 89 Perryville 6 8 71 69 103 95 78 111 284 0.10 90 Atholton 3 9 74 31 113 99 69 117 285 0.10 91 Gaithersburg 6 6 90 110 90 90 110 88 288 0.10 92 Great Mills 4 10 107 77 142 100 49 139 288 0.10 93 Mergenthaler 1 3 135 130 60 112 114 62 288 0.10 94 Stephen Decatur, 7 8 43 16 91 86 112 90 288 0.10 95 North Caroline 8 5 39 58 67 87 135 68 290 0.10 96 Quince Orchard 4 8 89 71 114 91 91 108 290 0.10 97 Wootton 6 8 86 65 110 75 123 99 297 0.10 98 North County 7 7 76 72 100 96 102 101 299 0.10 99 Suitland 3 7 141 140 118 97 103 102 302 0.10 100 Brunswick, MD 4 9 93 76 129 103 65 135 303 0.10 101 Carver A-T, Balt 5 8 111 113 123 102 87 119 308 0.10 102 Central, MD 2 0 125 159 24 126 159 24 309 0.10 103 Dunbar 4 3 117 133 56 105 150 56 311 0.10 104 J.M. Bennett 6 8 54 33 106 93 111 107 311 0.10 105 North Point 6 7 81 87 85 92 136 83 311 0.10 106 Milford Mill 7 2 133 157 40 118 158 37 313 0.10 107 Rising Sun 6 6 78 99 71 101 142 72 315 0.10 108 Smithsburg 5 7 95 70 87 98 119 98 315 0.10 109 Reservoir 2 11 77 34 144 113 57 146 316 0.10 110 Watkins Mill 3 9 124 104 139 106 75 141 322 0.10 111 Pikesville 0 9 121 25 128 122 77 126 325 0.10 112 Paint Branch 5 8 99 107 126 108 95 124 327 0.10 113 Laurel, MD 5 9 146 148 135 111 89 129 329 0.10 114 Hammond 8 6 84 117 69 116 143 71 330 0.10 115 Havre De Grace 6 7 98 98 105 104 120 106 330 0.10 116 Potomac HS, MD 1 3 157 154 62 131 141 64 336 0.10 117 Kennedy, MD 5 6 102 116 94 107 137 95 339 0.10 118 North Hagerstown 4 8 94 82 122 109 108 125 342 0.10 119 Overlea 1 0 108 160 27 155 160 28 343 0.10 120 Bladensburg 3 10 148 142 146 119 83 144 346 0.10 121 Francis Scott Ke 3 10 100 59 121 128 93 128 349 0.10 122 Crossland 0 5 158 151 93 144 115 94 353 0.10 123 Seneca Valley, M 3 9 101 109 138 114 100 140 354 0.10 124 Clarksburg 5 6 104 124 92 117 145 93 355 0.10 125 Meade 4 10 103 83 136 125 97 133 355 0.10 126 Edmondson-Westsi 5 5 105 135 65 135 156 67 358 0.10 127 Friendly 2 5 150 153 84 132 144 86 362 0.10 128 Dundalk 3 9 122 120 137 121 104 138 363 0.10 129 Lackey 5 8 106 123 125 123 118 122 363 0.10 130 Cambridge-S Dorc 5 7 80 45 116 120 130 114 364 0.10 131 Northwest, MD 1 11 110 84 157 124 88 154 366 0.10 132 Owings Mills 4 5 147 149 86 134 146 87 367 0.10 133 St. Charles, MD 4 9 109 93 127 110 132 127 369 0.10 134 Westlake, MD 1 11 149 81 155 133 84 155 372 0.10 135 DuVal 2 10 153 143 149 129 99 145 373 0.10 136 Kent County 5 8 91 62 124 130 127 121 378 0.10 137 Einstein 1 7 130 108 120 139 126 115 380 0.10 138 Western STES 4 7 115 131 115 127 140 113 380 0.10 139 Gov. Thomas John 1 11 139 67 154 141 86 156 383 0.10 140 Chesapeake, Balt 3 6 154 150 83 148 152 85 385 0.10 141 High Point, MD 2 8 151 152 130 138 134 120 392 0.10 142 Long Reach 4 10 113 86 143 136 116 143 395 0.10 143 Kenwood 3 7 126 134 117 137 148 116 401 0.10 144 Montgomery Blair 1 11 136 101 156 143 101 157 401 0.10 145 Wilde Lake 3 9 112 79 132 140 128 136 404 0.10 146 Thomas Stone 0 13 155 94 160 152 98 160 410 0.10 147 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 12 143 44 151 147 113 151 411 0.10 148 South Hagerstown 3 10 123 97 145 142 122 148 412 0.10 149 New Town 1 6 160 155 95 160 157 96 413 0.10 150 Northwood, MD 0 10 140 88 152 145 117 153 415 0.10 151 Wheaton, MD 2 9 129 114 141 146 139 137 422 0.10 152 Glen Burnie 3 11 119 90 153 150 125 152 427 0.10 153 North East, Ceci 3 10 128 111 148 149 133 147 429 0.10 154 Joppatowne 2 9 138 103 131 151 153 131 435 0.10 155 Catoctin 0 11 152 74 147 153 138 150 441 0.10 156 Bohemia Manor 2 11 134 118 140 154 147 142 443 0.10 157 Patapsco 0 12 156 128 159 157 129 159 445 0.10 158 Patterson 1 8 142 139 133 158 154 134 446 0.10 159 Elkton 2 11 132 125 150 156 155 149 460 0.10 160 Oakland Mills 1 11 144 127 158 159 151 158 468 0.10
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