girls probabilites for 15
2018 girls FL-FHSAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St. Thomas Aquin 18 2 2 10 3 4 1 2 7 9.00
2 IMG Academy 9 3 5 2 16 2 3 11 16 2.00
3 Hagerty 20 4 9 15 8 6 6 7 19 0.10
4 American Heritag 23 1 1 1 1 1 19 1 21 76.00
5 H.B. Plant 19 3 10 38 7 8 13 6 27 0.10
6 Ransom Everglade 14 3 16 54 15 12 4 16 32 0.10
7 Newsome 17 3 12 63 12 14 7 12 33 0.10
8 Vero Beach 19 5 3 3 2 3 27 3 33 11.00
9 Pine Crest 16 4 6 5 10 9 15 13 37 0.10
10 St. Stephen's ES 15 5 28 48 18 17 2 19 38 0.10
11 Bishop Moore 17 2 4 9 4 5 34 4 43 1.00
12 Oak Hall 13 6 13 26 24 11 16 18 45 0.10
13 Lake Highland Pr 18 7 7 7 5 10 41 5 56 1.00
14 Martin County 15 2 8 14 9 7 40 9 56 0.10
15 Buchholz 12 4 34 69 35 16 23 30 69 0.10
16 St. John Paul II 14 7 14 8 25 18 10 42 70 0.10
17 Creekside 10 7 29 23 47 20 9 49 78 0.10
18 Ponte Vedra 7 6 21 12 41 19 24 36 79 0.10
19 West Orange 15 5 27 46 31 26 22 33 81 0.10
20 Dr. Phillips 16 5 11 24 6 15 64 8 87 0.10
21 Spanish River 9 7 15 6 50 24 8 55 87 0.10
22 Lake Brantley 12 6 23 18 29 21 42 26 89 0.10
23 Celebration 13 3 42 103 23 25 43 24 92 0.10
24 Stoneman Douglas 9 6 25 20 38 29 18 47 94 0.10
25 St. Andrew's, FL 8 6 20 11 45 30 14 51 95 0.10
26 Estero 12 3 69 155 34 23 38 35 96 0.10
27 Cardinal Newman, 11 6 18 17 19 43 30 25 98 0.10
28 Winter Park 14 6 22 33 17 31 53 17 101 0.10
29 Naples 20 2 26 146 14 34 58 15 107 0.10
30 Benjamin School 9 10 17 4 20 22 68 21 111 0.10
31 Out-of-Door Acad 13 7 54 87 75 40 5 67 112 0.10
32 Olympia 12 7 24 21 26 37 51 28 116 0.10
33 Riverview 11 2 40 119 27 27 62 27 116 0.10
34 Viera 13 5 39 97 52 38 28 53 119 0.10
35 Jensen Beach 8 4 31 32 28 42 50 32 124 0.10
36 Edgewood, FL 14 2 38 128 21 32 72 22 126 0.10
37 Trinity Prep, FL 8 5 36 34 59 33 32 61 126 0.10
38 Cypress Lake 12 4 79 158 44 45 37 45 127 0.10
39 Bartram Trail 7 9 35 16 62 39 25 64 128 0.10
40 George Steinbren 8 6 73 56 56 47 31 54 132 0.10
41 Nease 9 4 50 75 49 36 52 44 132 0.10
42 Sickles 10 5 52 86 54 46 39 52 137 0.10
43 Berkeley Prep, F 10 3 33 88 30 44 66 29 139 0.10
44 Gulf Breeze 11 6 49 85 48 13 88 46 147 0.10
45 Cypress Bay 11 5 37 76 51 49 49 50 148 0.10
46 Park Vista 9 7 44 31 70 53 21 76 150 0.10
47 St. Edward's 13 1 19 59 11 28 113 10 151 0.10
48 Boca Raton Commu 8 5 32 28 46 51 45 57 153 0.10
49 Fletcher 14 1 74 178 13 41 100 14 155 0.10
50 Canterbury Schoo 8 5 94 149 72 52 44 72 168 0.10
51 East Ridge, FL 16 4 43 130 36 59 73 38 170 0.10
52 South Plantation 11 4 65 105 42 55 76 41 172 0.10
53 Tampa Catholic 11 9 71 68 102 63 12 100 175 0.10
54 American Heritag 6 10 70 25 122 57 11 116 184 0.10
55 Gulf Coast, FL 6 9 101 43 100 62 29 95 186 0.10
56 Gainesville, FL 9 3 56 124 37 48 112 31 191 0.10
57 Bloomingdale 9 5 58 89 63 58 78 56 192 0.10
58 Sebastian River 9 9 57 52 113 65 26 115 206 0.10
59 Lake Mary HS 8 11 48 30 142 54 17 139 210 0.10
60 Holy Names Acad, 6 7 78 60 87 78 47 86 211 0.10
61 Cardinal Gibbons 7 8 51 27 90 61 60 94 215 0.10
62 Miami Palmetto 4 3 81 73 53 60 116 40 216 0.10
63 Cooper City 7 6 75 72 73 74 65 79 218 0.10
64 Oviedo 8 10 46 29 112 50 56 113 219 0.10
65 St. Augustine 9 6 67 111 81 73 70 77 220 0.10
66 Pensacola 13 4 91 180 32 35 164 23 222 0.10
67 Bishop Verot 7 4 96 156 60 56 106 62 224 0.10
68 Jupiter HS 7 10 47 19 96 66 33 125 224 0.10
69 King's Academy 13 6 30 62 61 71 89 65 225 0.10
70 South Fork 3 10 66 13 137 67 20 140 227 0.10
71 Episcopal School 10 8 88 142 117 77 46 106 229 0.10
72 West Broward 10 5 64 114 68 80 87 63 230 0.10
73 Barron G. Collie 6 10 72 35 83 64 82 90 236 0.10
74 Pensacola Cathol 11 6 128 185 65 76 104 58 238 0.10
75 Robinson, FL 6 5 63 84 71 70 97 71 238 0.10
76 Edgewater 4 9 109 36 116 85 35 120 240 0.10
77 Wharton 5 8 108 55 119 82 48 110 240 0.10
78 Timber Creek, FL 10 8 83 82 103 84 61 103 248 0.10
79 Fleming Island 5 5 107 71 77 69 107 73 249 0.10
80 Apopka 12 7 61 118 82 86 80 84 250 0.10
81 Cardinal Mooney, 7 7 86 107 105 88 67 97 252 0.10
82 Holy Trinity Epi 9 3 53 135 43 68 141 43 252 0.10
83 Boone 9 7 76 83 84 93 79 81 253 0.10
84 South Walton 6 7 143 159 95 75 98 82 255 0.10
85 Oxbridge Academy 5 9 77 22 93 98 54 108 260 0.10
86 Palmer Trinity 14 2 59 177 22 72 168 20 260 0.10
87 Coral Reef 3 3 90 94 55 81 135 48 264 0.10
88 All Saints Acade 10 3 93 182 39 79 154 37 270 0.10
89 Calvary Christia 7 6 62 57 76 89 105 78 272 0.10
90 Atlantic Coast 9 6 115 168 85 87 103 85 275 0.10
91 Melbourne HS 6 7 98 109 111 94 71 112 277 0.10
92 Wellington, FL 11 5 41 74 66 83 127 68 278 0.10
93 Oak Ridge, FL 0 3 171 41 67 132 81 70 283 0.10
94 Matanzas 0 1 172 64 40 148 102 39 289 0.10
95 Bolles School 7 8 124 131 127 90 83 119 292 0.10
96 Lyman 10 6 55 98 74 97 123 74 294 0.10
97 Fort Myers 4 8 134 140 141 95 69 138 302 0.10
98 Rockledge 6 11 103 90 174 92 36 175 303 0.10
99 West Florida A.T 6 9 147 174 133 108 75 122 305 0.10
100 Winter Springs 5 9 80 45 140 100 63 143 306 0.10
101 Mitchell 7 7 82 127 97 99 119 96 314 0.10
102 Eastside, Gaines 4 7 118 102 99 105 120 98 323 0.10
103 Taravella 8 4 60 139 58 91 174 60 325 0.10
104 Community Sch-Na 7 8 133 148 128 106 92 129 327 0.10
105 Cypress Creek, O 7 7 87 100 86 114 131 87 332 0.10
106 Riverdale, FL 8 8 120 169 126 107 99 127 333 0.10
107 Manatee 4 4 119 137 69 101 165 69 335 0.10
108 Windermere HS 8 9 95 77 114 96 122 118 336 0.10
109 Bartow 7 11 139 151 168 113 57 167 337 0.10
110 Freedom, Orlando 4 11 112 61 163 120 55 163 338 0.10
111 Merritt Island 8 9 100 113 124 103 115 126 344 0.10
112 Forest, FL 5 7 123 125 106 102 145 101 348 0.10
113 W.T. Dwyer 10 6 45 92 79 109 157 83 349 0.10
114 North Broward Pr 6 4 89 145 64 104 180 66 350 0.10
115 Wiregrass Ranch 6 7 110 138 109 112 140 104 356 0.10
116 Durant 3 8 111 79 134 110 117 130 357 0.10
117 Stanton College 7 7 99 173 108 118 133 109 360 0.10
118 Seminole, Sanfor 5 7 92 78 101 111 149 102 362 0.10
119 Plantation 1 10 148 42 155 137 77 154 368 0.10
120 Flanagan 6 5 84 147 80 117 172 80 369 0.10
121 Lake Mary Prep 8 6 104 161 88 115 166 88 369 0.10
122 Pine School 2 9 105 39 148 116 94 161 371 0.10
123 Seacoast Collegi 6 9 153 184 131 122 121 128 371 0.10
124 Lake Howell 2 12 117 44 181 135 59 181 375 0.10
125 Palmetto Ridge 7 5 113 176 78 126 175 75 376 0.10
126 Pompano Beach 3 3 125 153 57 136 182 59 377 0.10
127 Flagler Palm Coa 6 7 116 160 110 121 146 111 378 0.10
128 Suncoast Communi 4 8 85 49 138 123 114 141 378 0.10
129 Western, FL 6 9 102 101 150 119 110 150 379 0.10
130 Lake Nona 8 7 97 152 91 139 153 91 383 0.10
131 Satellite 6 6 122 157 94 124 169 93 386 0.10
132 First Academy 2 8 132 51 120 129 134 124 387 0.10
133 Lake Minneola 5 10 130 121 165 130 91 166 387 0.10
134 Archbishop McCar 2 6 135 108 104 133 150 105 388 0.10
135 Venice 0 7 175 70 139 150 108 131 389 0.10
136 Port Charlotte 2 10 177 143 170 134 86 171 391 0.10
137 Alonso 3 10 158 93 161 141 96 155 392 0.10
138 East River 5 8 106 96 123 140 129 123 392 0.10
139 Lely 2 10 140 112 169 131 93 169 393 0.10
140 West Boca Raton 2 11 114 37 176 128 90 179 397 0.10
141 Calvary Christia 2 12 154 81 182 146 74 182 402 0.10
142 Orangewood Chris 4 8 127 117 130 125 144 133 402 0.10
143 Atlantic HS 2 1 121 191 33 180 191 34 405 0.10
144 Miami Killian 1 11 168 67 179 151 84 170 405 0.10
145 Windermere Prep 2 7 137 129 129 138 148 132 418 0.10
146 Palm Beach Centr 6 8 68 91 125 149 137 134 420 0.10
147 Cocoa Beach 3 9 145 132 156 145 125 156 426 0.10
148 Lakeland, FL 6 8 155 154 136 127 163 137 427 0.10
149 Lake Wales 6 6 150 189 92 158 185 92 435 0.10
150 Key West 4 7 129 150 121 143 173 121 437 0.10
151 Santa Fe, FL 3 7 144 134 118 147 176 114 437 0.10
152 Newberry 3 5 136 171 89 165 184 89 438 0.10
153 Fort Lauderdale 0 7 160 95 135 166 138 136 440 0.10
154 Winter Haven 4 8 159 165 143 142 156 142 440 0.10
155 Gulliver Prep 2 14 167 120 190 173 85 189 447 0.10
156 Mandarin 4 13 166 167 187 159 101 187 447 0.10
157 Booker T. Washin 3 11 170 183 177 144 128 176 448 0.10
158 University HS, N 1 8 142 58 147 152 147 149 448 0.10
159 Wekiva 2 14 164 99 189 164 95 190 449 0.10
160 Evans, FL 0 10 178 50 167 156 126 168 450 0.10
161 Colonial, FL 0 8 146 53 144 168 139 144 451 0.10
162 Freedom, Tampa 1 8 161 104 146 155 151 145 451 0.10
163 Palm Beach Garde 2 11 138 47 175 162 111 178 451 0.10
164 Sunlake 4 6 149 162 98 169 186 99 454 0.10
165 Jefferson, FL 0 10 169 65 166 161 132 164 457 0.10
166 Coral Shores 3 9 131 141 157 153 152 157 462 0.10
167 Lakewood Ranch 3 8 151 136 145 154 167 146 467 0.10
168 John Carroll CS, 2 6 141 110 107 178 183 107 468 0.10
169 West Shore, FL 2 10 157 122 171 163 136 172 471 0.10
170 Coral Springs Ch 5 9 126 144 151 167 158 151 476 0.10
171 Ocoee 0 13 183 80 188 179 109 188 476 0.10
172 Pedro Menendez 1 10 163 115 173 160 142 174 476 0.10
173 Melbourne Centra 1 12 162 116 185 175 118 185 478 0.10
174 Sandalwood 2 9 156 170 162 157 160 162 479 0.10
175 Seminole Ridge 0 12 152 40 186 171 124 186 481 0.10
176 Coral Springs HS 0 6 173 133 115 186 179 117 482 0.10
177 Paxon Institute 3 9 179 181 159 170 162 159 491 0.10
178 Cape Coral 2 12 174 175 184 181 130 184 495 0.10
179 University HS, O 0 9 188 66 160 176 159 160 495 0.10
180 Golden Gate 3 12 165 164 183 172 143 183 498 0.10
181 Sarasota Militar 0 8 184 123 154 183 170 147 500 0.10
182 Milton, FL 3 9 182 190 158 174 177 158 509 0.10
183 Lake Gibson 1 10 185 166 172 177 161 173 511 0.10
184 South Lake 1 8 180 172 149 184 181 148 513 0.10
185 St. Joseph Acade 1 7 187 187 132 189 189 135 513 0.10
186 Escambia 0 8 190 188 152 185 178 152 515 0.10
187 Eau Gallie 0 11 181 126 180 182 155 180 517 0.10
188 Robert E. Lee, F 0 8 191 186 153 190 188 153 531 0.10
189 John I. Leonard 0 9 186 106 164 191 190 165 546 0.10
190 Immokalee 0 14 189 163 191 188 171 191 550 0.10
191 Land O' Lakes HS 2 11 176 179 178 187 187 177 551 0.10
<