Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Pete Friedman         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.6926346    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Center Moriches        NY D  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 70.8)     7- 4   
 327 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 85.8)     2-14   
 404 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 73.1)     8- 9   
 406 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 81.6)     2-16   
 409 H Hampton Bays           NY C  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 64.2)    14- 3   
 411 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 88.4)     1-17   
 413 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4- 9, 74.6)     4-10   
 417 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 68.5)    12- 7   
 418 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.8)     2-14   
 421 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.2)     4- 9   
 424 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 67.4)     8- 4   
 427 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 84.3)     1-13   
 502 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 86.4)     3-20   
 504 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 58.1)    16- 0   
 509 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 78.9)     2- 5   
 511 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 76.6)     7- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Center Moriches         7- 4       3     2           0.10
   327 A Huntington              2-14     -12   -13           0.00
   404 A Lindenhurst             8- 9      -1     0          -0.62
   406 H Half Hollow Hills       2-16     -14    -7    -     -2.00
   409 H Hampton Bays           14- 3      11     9           0.53
   411 A Middle Country          1-17     -16   -15           0.00
   413 H Patchogue-Medford       4-10      -6     0    --    -5.03
   417 A Brentwood, NY          12- 7       5     4           0.73
   418 A Sachem North            2-14     -12   -14           0.00
   421 A Connetquot              4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.43
   424 H North Babylon           8- 4       4     6    -     -2.20
   427 A Commack                 1-13     -12   -11           0.00
   502 H Sachem East             3-20     -17   -12           0.00
   504 A Copiague               16- 0      16    14           0.00
   509 H Longwood                2- 5      -3    -5    +      2.27
   511 H Walt Whitman, NY        7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Patchogue-Medford       4-10      -6     0    --    -5.03
   406 H Half Hollow Hills       2-16     -14    -7    -     -2.00
   424 H North Babylon           8- 4       4     6    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Walt Whitman, NY        7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.91
   421 A Connetquot              4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.43
   509 H Longwood                2- 5      -3    -5    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.20 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.73 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/