Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Jennifer Courtney     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9387054    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Lockport               NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 76.5)     8- 6   
 410 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 82.9)     5- 9   
 413 H Nichols School         NY    Private ( 6- 7, 85.8)     7-11   
 418 A Nichols School         NY    Private ( 6- 7, 85.8)     4- 9   
 421 H McDowell               PA    D10     (11- 6, 86.2)     3-14   
 423 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 85.3)    13-12   
 424 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 99.4)     1-19   
 426 A Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 79.0)    13- 8   
 430 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 87.9)     8-11   
 502 A Lewiston-Porter        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 61.4)    15- 0   
 504 H Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.8)     4-13   
 509 A West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     9- 6   
 511 A Grand Island           NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.6)    10- 9   
 514 A Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 83.3)     8- 9   
 515 H Sweet Home             NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 75.0)    14- 5   
 522 A West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     9- 8   
 524 A Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 99.4)     3-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Lockport                8- 6       2     6    --    -4.67
   410 H Williamsville North     5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.34
   413 H Nichols School          7-11      -4    -2          -1.37
   418 A Nichols School          4- 9      -5    -4          -0.90
   421 H McDowell                3-14     -11    -3          n/a  
   423 H Clarence               13-12       1    -2    +      3.13
   424 H Lake Shore              1-19     -18   -16           0.00
   426 A Iroquois               13- 8       5     2    +      2.28
   430 A Niagara-Wheatfield      8-11      -3    -6    +      3.13
   502 A Lewiston-Porter        15- 0      15    20           0.00
   504 H Amherst, NY             4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.40
   509 A West Seneca East        9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.36
   511 A Grand Island           10- 9       1     1          -0.19
   514 A Williamsville South     8- 9      -1    -1           0.52
   515 H Sweet Home             14- 5       9     8           0.76
   522 A West Seneca East        9- 8       1    -1    +      2.36
   524 A Lake Shore              3-21     -18   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H McDowell                3-14     -11    -3    ---        
   326 H Lockport                8- 6       2     6    --    -4.67
   410 H Williamsville North     5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.34
   504 H Amherst, NY             4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A West Seneca East        9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.36
   423 H Clarence               13-12       1    -2    +      3.13
   426 A Iroquois               13- 8       5     2    +      2.28
   430 A Niagara-Wheatfield      8-11      -3    -6    +      3.13
   522 A West Seneca East        9- 8       1    -1    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.48 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.52 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/