Region = CT    Class S          
   Nickname = T Lancers              Coach  =   Audrey Montanaro      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.0366974    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L (10- 7, 73.4)     6-11   
 407 A Stonington             CT    Class S (14- 5, 79.2)     5- 6  o
 412 A Ledyard                CT    Class M ( 5-11, 67.2)     8- 7   
 414 A East Lyme              CT    Class M (12- 8, 81.4)     7-16   
 417 H Haddam-Killingworth    CT    Class S ( 0-16, 61.9)    15- 4   
 419 A Fitch                  CT    Class M (10- 6, 75.7)    12- 9   
 428 H Morgan School          CT    Class S ( 4-11, 67.9)     4- 9   
 501 A Old Lyme               CT    Class S ( 9- 6, 78.7)     8-18   
 503 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M (13- 5, 77.5)     8-12   
 504 H Old Saybrook           CT    Class S (12- 6, 79.5)    12-17   
 508 A Bacon Academy          CT    Class M (12- 6, 75.5)     9-16   
 510 H Stonington             CT    Class S (14- 5, 79.2)     6-11   
 512 H Fitch                  CT    Class M (10- 6, 75.7)    10-12   
 517 H St. Bernard, CT        CT    Class S ( 5- 8, 64.7)    16- 5   
 518 H Montville, CT          CT    Class S ( 3-13, 62.6)    18- 3   
 521 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L (10- 7, 73.4)    14-13   
 529 A East Catholic          CT    Class S (17- 3, 81.5)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Norwich Free Acad       6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.22
   407 A Stonington              5- 6  o   -1    -9    +++    8.37
   412 A Ledyard                 8- 7       1     2          -1.66
   414 A East Lyme               7-16      -9   -11           1.00
   417 H Haddam-Killingworth    15- 4      11     9           0.30
   419 A Fitch                  12- 9       3    -5    +++    8.82
   428 H Morgan School           4- 9      -5     3    ---   -8.71
   501 A Old Lyme                8-18     -10    -8          -1.15
   503 A Woodstock Academy       8-12      -4    -7    +      3.62
   504 H Old Saybrook           12-17      -5    -7    +      2.87
   508 A Bacon Academy           9-16      -7    -5          -1.40
   510 H Stonington              6-11      -5    -7    +      2.58
   512 H Fitch                  10-12      -2    -4    +      2.03
   517 H St. Bernard, CT        16- 5      11     6    +      3.05
   518 H Montville, CT          18- 3      15     9           0.92
   521 A Norwich Free Acad      14-13       1    -3    ++     4.57
   529 A East Catholic           5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Morgan School           4- 9      -5     3    ---   -8.71
   405 H Norwich Free Acad       6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Stonington              5- 6  o   -1    -9    +++    8.37
   419 A Fitch                  12- 9       3    -5    +++    8.82
   521 A Norwich Free Acad      14-13       1    -3    ++     4.57
   503 A Woodstock Academy       8-12      -4    -7    +      3.62
   504 H Old Saybrook           12-17      -5    -7    +      2.87
   510 H Stonington              6-11      -5    -7    +      2.58
   512 H Fitch                  10-12      -2    -4    +      2.03
   517 H St. Bernard, CT        16- 5      11     6    +      3.05
   529 A East Catholic           5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.75 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.47 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    84
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    73
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
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