Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2030334    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.2)    11- 7   
 404 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4- 9, 74.6)    15- 5   
 406 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 88.4)    17- 8   
 411 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 84.3)    15- 5   
 413 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)    14- 7   
 417 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.2)    17- 4   
 419 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 6, 93.3)     8- 7   
 421 H New Canaan             CT    Class L (17- 5, 96.8)    11- 9   
 424 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 97.2)     6- 9   
 427 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 86.4)    12- 4   
 428 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (12- 6, 93.0)    13- 7   
 430 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.8)    10-11   
 502 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 82.3)    16- 5   
 505 H Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 85.8)    17- 9   
 507 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 81.6)    19- 5   
 509 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.4)     9-10   
 519 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.4)    12- 6   
 523 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 6, 93.3)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Riverhead              11- 7       4     6    -     -2.18
   404 A Patchogue-Medford      15- 5      10    19           0.00
   406 A Middle Country         17- 8       9     6    +      2.92
   411 H Commack                15- 5      10    11           0.00
   413 H Smithtown West         14- 7       7     5           1.04
   417 A Connetquot             17- 4      13    13           0.00
   419 A West Islip              8- 7       1     1          -0.18
   421 H New Canaan             11- 9       2    -1          n/a  
   424 H Northport               6- 9      -3    -1          -1.20
   427 A Sachem East            12- 4       8     8          -0.09
   428 H Yorktown, NY           13- 7       6     2          n/a  
   430 H Sachem North           10-11      -1     8    ---   -9.60
   502 H Bay Shore              16- 5      11    13           0.00
   505 H Huntington             17- 9       8     9          -1.60
   507 A Half Hollow Hills      19- 5      14    12           0.00
   509 A Smithtown East          9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.08
   519 H Smithtown East         12- 6       6     5           0.02
   523 H West Islip              6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Sachem North           10-11      -1     8    ---   -9.60
   509 A Smithtown East          9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.08
   327 H Riverhead              11- 7       4     6    -     -2.18
   523 H West Islip              6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Middle Country         17- 8       9     6    +      2.92
   421 H New Canaan             11- 9       2    -1    +          
   428 H Yorktown, NY           13- 7       6     2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.96 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.04 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/