Region = NY D  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Sue Reilly            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.5899353    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Westhill, NY           NY D  Sec 3   (12- 4, 93.1)     5-14   
 403 A General Brown          NY D  Sec 3   (12- 5, 84.2)     9-14   
 406 H Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (18- 3, 98.6)     4-24   
 410 A Cazenovia              NY D  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 81.0)     8-11   
 412 H Homer                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 81.1)    14- 6   
 414 A Clinton, NY            NY D  Sec 3   (13- 5, 82.3)    14- 7   
 417 A Marcellus              NY D  Sec 3   (13- 5, 91.4)     7-11   
 420 A Mexico                 NY D  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.0)    17- 3   
 427 A Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.3)    10-16   
 504 H LaFayette, NY          NY D  Sec 3   (10- 6, 84.7)     8-14   
 505 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   NY D  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 76.6)    13-10   
 507 H Jordan-Elbridge        NY D  Sec 3   ( 5-10, 75.8)    19- 8   
 514 A Chittenango            NY D  Sec 3   ( 2-13, 67.5)    18- 3   
 516 A LaFayette, NY          NY D  Sec 3   (10- 6, 84.7)    14-15   
 519 H Homer                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 81.1)     7-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Westhill, NY            5-14      -9   -12           1.00
   403 A General Brown           9-14      -5    -3          -1.21
   406 H Christian Brothers, NY  4-24     -20   -16           0.00
   410 A Cazenovia               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.36
   412 H Homer                  14- 6       8     1    +++    6.76
   414 A Clinton, NY            14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.93
   417 A Marcellus               7-11      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   420 A Mexico                 17- 3      14    14           0.00
   427 A Skaneateles            10-16      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   504 H LaFayette, NY           8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.69
   505 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   13-10       3     5    -     -2.78
   507 H Jordan-Elbridge        19- 8      11     6    +      3.46
   514 A Chittenango            18- 3      15    12           0.00
   516 A LaFayette, NY          14-15      -1    -4    +      3.29
   519 H Homer                   7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Homer                   7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.24
   410 A Cazenovia               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.36
   504 H LaFayette, NY           8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.69
   505 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   13-10       3     5    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Homer                  14- 6       8     1    +++    6.76
   414 A Clinton, NY            14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.93
   417 A Marcellus               7-11      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   427 A Skaneateles            10-16      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   507 H Jordan-Elbridge        19- 8      11     6    +      3.46
   516 A LaFayette, NY          14-15      -1    -4    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.40 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.35 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/