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Region = MA C/W D1 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Alicia TinsleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7689590 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 A Littleton, MA MA East D2 (15- 5, 82.4) 7- 5 407 A Tantasqua MA C/W D1 ( 5-14, 67.9) 17- 4 410 H Westborough MA C/W D1 (11- 7, 85.6) 14-11 412 A Wachusett MA C/W D1 ( 7-12, 77.2) 13-10 414 H Minnechaug Regional MA C/W D1 (16- 5, 90.0) 6- 9 421 H North Middlesex MA East D1 ( 6-13, 70.6) 15- 8 424 A Groton-Dunstable MA East D2 (14- 5, 89.2) 10- 7 426 A Nashoba Regional MA C/W D1 ( 8-10, 71.8) 18- 8 430 H Grafton Memorial, MA MA C/W D1 (14- 8, 80.9) 8- 6 501 H Algonquin MA C/W D1 (11- 9, 87.6) 9- 8 503 A Bromfield School MA C/W D2 (18- 7, 88.4) 8-18 503 A Grafton Memorial, MA MA C/W D1 (14- 8, 80.9) 13- 7 508 A Westborough MA C/W D1 (11- 7, 85.6) 13-15 510 H Marlborough, MA MA C/W D1 ( 8-10, 69.7) 14- 0 512 H Leominster MA C/W D1 ( 6-11, 70.1) 19- 6 514 H Wachusett MA C/W D1 ( 7-12, 77.2) 11- 7 518 H Groton-Dunstable MA East D2 (14- 5, 89.2) 5-10 519 A Westfield HS, MA MA C/W D1 (11- 7, 79.1) 15- 9 521 A Algonquin MA C/W D1 (11- 9, 87.6) 5-15 523 H Bromfield School MA C/W D2 (18- 7, 88.4) 11-12 o 605 H Shepherd Hill MA C/W D1 (11-10, 72.0) 19- 5 607 N Westborough MA C/W D1 (11- 7, 85.6) 13- 9 612 A Longmeadow MA C/W D1 (18- 3, 96.2) 7-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Littleton, MA 7- 5 2 2 -0.11 407 A Tantasqua 17- 4 13 16 0.00 410 H Westborough 14-11 3 0 + 2.30 412 A Wachusett 13-10 3 7 -- -4.39 414 H Minnechaug Regional 6- 9 -3 -3 0.74 421 H North Middlesex 15- 8 7 15 - -3.00 424 A Groton-Dunstable 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 7.68 426 A Nashoba Regional 18- 8 10 12 0.00 430 H Grafton Memorial, MA 8- 6 2 5 - -3.45 501 H Algonquin 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.33 503 A Bromfield School 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.18 503 A Grafton Memorial, MA 13- 7 6 3 + 2.32 508 A Westborough 13-15 -2 -1 -0.93 510 H Marlborough, MA 14- 0 14 16 0.00 512 H Leominster 19- 6 13 16 0.00 514 H Wachusett 11- 7 4 9 -- -5.15 518 H Groton-Dunstable 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.09 519 A Westfield HS, MA 15- 9 6 5 0.56 521 A Algonquin 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.90 523 H Bromfield School 11-12 o -1 -2 1.05 605 H Shepherd Hill 19- 5 14 14 0.00 607 N Westborough 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.18 612 A Longmeadow 7-20 -13 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Bromfield School 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.18 521 A Algonquin 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.90 412 A Wachusett 13-10 3 7 -- -4.39 514 H Wachusett 11- 7 4 9 -- -5.15 421 H North Middlesex 15- 8 7 15 - -3.00 430 H Grafton Memorial, MA 8- 6 2 5 - -3.45 518 H Groton-Dunstable 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Groton-Dunstable 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 7.68 607 N Westborough 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.18 410 H Westborough 14-11 3 0 + 2.30 501 H Algonquin 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.33 503 A Grafton Memorial, MA 13- 7 6 3 + 2.32/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.42 Local Power Rank........... 44 Local SOS Rating......... 60.89 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 24 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 174 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 53 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7