Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Alicia Tinsley        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7689590    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Littleton, MA          MA    East D2 (15- 5, 82.4)     7- 5   
 407 A Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 5-14, 67.9)    17- 4   
 410 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (11- 7, 85.6)    14-11   
 412 A Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 7-12, 77.2)    13-10   
 414 H Minnechaug Regional    MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.0)     6- 9   
 421 H North Middlesex        MA    East D1 ( 6-13, 70.6)    15- 8   
 424 A Groton-Dunstable       MA    East D2 (14- 5, 89.2)    10- 7   
 426 A Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 8-10, 71.8)    18- 8   
 430 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D1  (14- 8, 80.9)     8- 6   
 501 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (11- 9, 87.6)     9- 8   
 503 A Bromfield School       MA    C/W D2  (18- 7, 88.4)     8-18   
 503 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D1  (14- 8, 80.9)    13- 7   
 508 A Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (11- 7, 85.6)    13-15   
 510 H Marlborough, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-10, 69.7)    14- 0   
 512 H Leominster             MA    C/W D1  ( 6-11, 70.1)    19- 6   
 514 H Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 7-12, 77.2)    11- 7   
 518 H Groton-Dunstable       MA    East D2 (14- 5, 89.2)     5-10   
 519 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  (11- 7, 79.1)    15- 9   
 521 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (11- 9, 87.6)     5-15   
 523 H Bromfield School       MA    C/W D2  (18- 7, 88.4)    11-12  o
 605 H Shepherd Hill          MA    C/W D1  (11-10, 72.0)    19- 5   
 607 N Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (11- 7, 85.6)    13- 9   
 612 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (18- 3, 96.2)     7-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Littleton, MA           7- 5       2     2          -0.11
   407 A Tantasqua              17- 4      13    16           0.00
   410 H Westborough            14-11       3     0    +      2.30
   412 A Wachusett              13-10       3     7    --    -4.39
   414 H Minnechaug Regional     6- 9      -3    -3           0.74
   421 H North Middlesex        15- 8       7    15    -     -3.00
   424 A Groton-Dunstable       10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.68
   426 A Nashoba Regional       18- 8      10    12           0.00
   430 H Grafton Memorial, MA    8- 6       2     5    -     -3.45
   501 H Algonquin               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.33
   503 A Bromfield School        8-18     -10    -3    ---   -6.18
   503 A Grafton Memorial, MA   13- 7       6     3    +      2.32
   508 A Westborough            13-15      -2    -1          -0.93
   510 H Marlborough, MA        14- 0      14    16           0.00
   512 H Leominster             19- 6      13    16           0.00
   514 H Wachusett              11- 7       4     9    --    -5.15
   518 H Groton-Dunstable        5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.09
   519 A Westfield HS, MA       15- 9       6     5           0.56
   521 A Algonquin               5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.90
   523 H Bromfield School       11-12  o   -1    -2           1.05
   605 H Shepherd Hill          19- 5      14    14           0.00
   607 N Westborough            13- 9       4     0    ++     4.18
   612 A Longmeadow              7-20     -13   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Bromfield School        8-18     -10    -3    ---   -6.18
   521 A Algonquin               5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.90
   412 A Wachusett              13-10       3     7    --    -4.39
   514 H Wachusett              11- 7       4     9    --    -5.15
   421 H North Middlesex        15- 8       7    15    -     -3.00
   430 H Grafton Memorial, MA    8- 6       2     5    -     -3.45
   518 H Groton-Dunstable        5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Groton-Dunstable       10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.68
   607 N Westborough            13- 9       4     0    ++     4.18
   410 H Westborough            14-11       3     0    +      2.30
   501 H Algonquin               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.33
   503 A Grafton Memorial, MA   13- 7       6     3    +      2.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.42 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.89 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   174
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/