Region = TN    East             
   Nickname = N Smoky Bears          Coach  =   Aletha Myers          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   61.9567337    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Christian Academy, TN  TN    East    ( 9- 5, 69.6)     3-18   
 222 H West Knoxville         TN    East    ( 9- 7, 64.7)     7-17   
 226 A Knoxville Catholic     TN    East    ( 6-11, 64.9)     4-11   
 301 A Farragut               TN    East    (14- 4, 73.8)     5-17   
 308 H Alcoa                  TN    East    ( 1-11, 53.7)    13- 8   
 312 A Gatlinburg Pittman     TN    East    ( 6- 7, 63.1)     8-11   
 313 A Pigeon Forge           TN    East    (11- 4, 70.3)     2-16   
 315 H Ooltewah               TN    SE      ( 4-12, 59.3)     8-11   
 319 H Seymour                TN    East    (18- 3, 82.3)     0-22   
 320 A Christian Academy, TN  TN    East    ( 9- 5, 69.6)     2-18   
 322 H Knoxville Catholic     TN    East    ( 6-11, 64.9)     0-16   
 327 H Farragut               TN    East    (14- 4, 73.8)     4-21   
 412 A Seymour                TN    East    (18- 3, 82.3)     1-20   
 417 H Pigeon Forge           TN    East    (11- 4, 70.3)     7-18   
 419 A Roane County           TN    East    ( 0-11, 47.6)    14- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Christian Academy, TN   3-18     -15   -15           0.00
   222 H West Knoxville          7-17     -10   -10           0.00
   226 A Knoxville Catholic      4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   301 A Farragut                5-17     -12   -22           0.00
   308 H Alcoa                  13- 8       5     0    ++     4.42
   312 A Gatlinburg Pittman      8-11      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   313 A Pigeon Forge            2-16     -14   -19           0.00
   315 H Ooltewah                8-11      -3    -5    +      2.07
   319 H Seymour                 0-22     -22   -28           0.00
   320 A Christian Academy, TN   2-18     -16   -18           0.00
   322 H Knoxville Catholic      0-16     -16   -10           0.00
   327 H Farragut                4-21     -17   -19           0.00
   412 A Seymour                 1-20     -19   -31           0.00
   417 H Pigeon Forge            7-18     -11   -16           0.00
   419 A Roane County           14- 7       7     3    +      3.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Gatlinburg Pittman      8-11      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   308 H Alcoa                  13- 8       5     0    ++     4.42
   226 A Knoxville Catholic      4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   315 H Ooltewah                8-11      -3    -5    +      2.07
   419 A Roane County           14- 7       7     3    +      3.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 52.75 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 38.47 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    48
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -20.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/