Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Kevin Krause          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7077484    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 68.5)    18- 4   
 404 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.2)     7-10   
 406 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 73.1)    16- 3   
 407 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 86.4)     9- 8   
 411 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 78.9)    16- 6   
 413 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 84.3)    11- 7   
 417 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 82.3)    15- 8   
 418 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 73.2)    14- 2   
 424 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 85.8)     5-11   
 427 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 97.2)     6-13   
 430 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.0)    11-10   
 502 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 58.1)    12- 0   
 505 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 6, 93.3)     8-13   
 509 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 67.4)    16-10   
 511 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)     8-10   
 516 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 86.4)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Brentwood, NY          18- 4      14    17           0.00
   404 H Riverhead               7-10      -3    -1          -1.03
   406 A Lindenhurst            16- 3      13    13           0.00
   407 A Sachem East             9- 8       1     0           1.05
   411 H Longwood               16- 6      10     8           1.65
   413 H Commack                11- 7       4     2           1.03
   417 H Bay Shore              15- 8       7     5           1.98
   418 H William Floyd          14- 2      12    14           0.00
   424 A Huntington              5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.55
   427 A Northport               6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   430 A Ward Melville          11-10       1    -8    +++    9.60
   502 H Copiague               12- 0      12    29           0.00
   505 A West Islip              8-13      -5    -6           1.96
   509 A North Babylon          16-10       6    18    --    -4.00
   511 H Smithtown West          8-10      -2    -2           0.18
   516 A Sachem East             9-10      -1     0          -0.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Huntington              5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.55
   509 A North Babylon          16-10       6    18    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Ward Melville          11-10       1    -8    +++    9.60
   427 A Northport               6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.82 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.40 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/