Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Thomas Erb            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0705872    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 76.6)    15- 4   
 404 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.4)     5-13   
 406 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 67.4)    16- 3   
 407 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.8)     8- 9   
 411 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 58.1)    18- 1   
 413 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.2)    17- 8   
 417 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 88.4)     7-10   
 418 A Miller Place           NY C  Sec 11  ( 6- 7, 82.6)     5- 6   
 419 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 73.1)    15- 3   
 424 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 81.6)     9- 7   
 427 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.0)     4-12   
 502 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 73.2)    20- 3   
 505 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)    11- 4   
 507 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 97.2)     8-15   
 509 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4- 9, 74.6)    16- 4   
 511 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 6, 93.3)     4-12   
 516 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.8)    10- 9   
 519 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 97.2)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Walt Whitman, NY       15- 4      11    10           0.00
   404 H Smithtown East          5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.44
   406 A North Babylon          16- 3      13    18           0.00
   407 H Sachem North            8- 9      -1     0          -1.05
   411 H Copiague               18- 1      17    28           0.00
   413 H Connetquot             17- 8       9     5    +      3.30
   417 H Middle Country          7-10      -3    -1          -1.45
   418 A Miller Place            5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.39
   419 A Lindenhurst            15- 3      12    12           0.00
   424 A Half Hollow Hills       9- 7       2     4    -     -2.31
   427 H Ward Melville           4-12      -8    -8           0.09
   502 A William Floyd          20- 3      17    12           0.00
   505 A Smithtown West         11- 4       7    -3    +++   10.49
   507 A Northport               8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   509 A Patchogue-Medford      16- 4      12    11           0.00
   511 H West Islip              4-12      -8    -6          -1.55
   516 H Sachem North           10- 9       1     0           0.95
   519 A Northport               5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Smithtown East          5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.44
   418 A Miller Place            5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.39
   424 A Half Hollow Hills       9- 7       2     4    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Smithtown West         11- 4       7    -3    +++   10.49
   413 H Connetquot             17- 8       9     5    +      3.30
   507 A Northport               8-15      -7   -11    +      3.00
   519 A Northport               5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.42 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.40 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/