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Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows Coach = Thomas ErbGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.0705872 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 327 H Walt Whitman, NY NY A Sec 11 ( 5- 9, 76.6) 15- 4 404 H Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 89.4) 5-13 406 A North Babylon NY A Sec 11 ( 1-14, 67.4) 16- 3 407 H Sachem North NY A Sec 11 (10- 6, 86.8) 8- 9 411 H Copiague NY A Sec 11 ( 0-15, 58.1) 18- 1 413 H Connetquot NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 8, 81.2) 17- 8 417 H Middle Country NY A Sec 11 (10- 5, 88.4) 7-10 418 A Miller Place NY C Sec 11 ( 6- 7, 82.6) 5- 6 419 A Lindenhurst NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 73.1) 15- 3 424 A Half Hollow Hills NY A Sec 11 ( 5-10, 81.6) 9- 7 427 H Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (14- 4, 95.0) 4-12 502 A William Floyd NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 73.2) 20- 3 505 A Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 89.5) 11- 4 507 A Northport NY A Sec 11 (18- 1, 97.2) 8-15 509 A Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 4- 9, 74.6) 16- 4 511 H West Islip NY A Sec 11 (15- 6, 93.3) 4-12 516 H Sachem North NY A Sec 11 (10- 6, 86.8) 10- 9 519 A Northport NY A Sec 11 (18- 1, 97.2) 5-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Walt Whitman, NY 15- 4 11 10 0.00 404 H Smithtown East 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.44 406 A North Babylon 16- 3 13 18 0.00 407 H Sachem North 8- 9 -1 0 -1.05 411 H Copiague 18- 1 17 28 0.00 413 H Connetquot 17- 8 9 5 + 3.30 417 H Middle Country 7-10 -3 -1 -1.45 418 A Miller Place 5- 6 -1 3 -- -4.39 419 A Lindenhurst 15- 3 12 12 0.00 424 A Half Hollow Hills 9- 7 2 4 - -2.31 427 H Ward Melville 4-12 -8 -8 0.09 502 A William Floyd 20- 3 17 12 0.00 505 A Smithtown West 11- 4 7 -3 +++ 10.49 507 A Northport 8-15 -7 -11 + 3.00 509 A Patchogue-Medford 16- 4 12 11 0.00 511 H West Islip 4-12 -8 -6 -1.55 516 H Sachem North 10- 9 1 0 0.95 519 A Northport 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Smithtown East 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.44 418 A Miller Place 5- 6 -1 3 -- -4.39 424 A Half Hollow Hills 9- 7 2 4 - -2.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 A Smithtown West 11- 4 7 -3 +++ 10.49 413 H Connetquot 17- 8 9 5 + 3.30 507 A Northport 8-15 -7 -11 + 3.00 519 A Northport 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.42 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 64.40 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 40 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7