Region = VA 5A North            
   Nickname = A Phoenix              Coach  =   Jennifer Davis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9734344    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Kettle Run             VA 4A North   (10- 6, 83.4)    15- 6   
 316 A Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 1-13, 68.8)    20- 9   
 323 H Loudoun County         VA 4A North   ( 7- 8, 80.3)    19-20   
 404 A Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (10- 6, 88.1)     8-16   
 406 H Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (15- 7, 87.0)    14- 8   
 411 N Kettle Run             VA 4A North   (10- 6, 83.4)    14- 7   
 413 A Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 2-12, 69.8)    18-10   
 417 A Wakefield HS, VA       VA 5A North   ( 6-11, 70.3)    16- 7   
 420 A Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   ( 7- 9, 81.4)    11-13   
 424 H John Champe            VA 5A North   ( 5- 9, 73.5)    12- 5   
 501 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A North   (19- 4, 90.9)    10-11   
 504 H Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   ( 6- 8, 77.0)    18- 7   
 508 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (15- 7, 87.0)    12-11   
 511 A Briar Woods            VA 5A North   (10- 8, 84.1)    17-16   
 515 H Briar Woods            VA 5A North   (10- 8, 84.1)    11-12   
 522 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (15- 7, 87.0)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Kettle Run             15- 6       9     1    +++    7.49
   316 A Heritage, VA           20- 9      11    16           0.00
   323 H Loudoun County         19-20      -1     6    ---   -7.52
   404 A Woodgrove               8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.79
   406 H Potomac Falls          14- 8       6     0    +++    6.21
   411 N Kettle Run             14- 7       7     2    ++     4.51
   413 A Broad Run              18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   417 A Wakefield HS, VA       16- 7       9    14          -1.00
   420 A Stone Bridge           11-13      -2     3    --    -5.45
   424 H John Champe            12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   501 H Freedom, South Riding  10-11      -1    -4    +      3.12
   504 H Tuscarora, VA          18- 7      11     9           0.16
   508 A Potomac Falls          12-11       1    -2    +      3.15
   511 A Briar Woods            17-16       1     0           0.20
   515 H Briar Woods            11-12      -1     2    -     -3.74
   522 A Potomac Falls          10-12      -2    -2           0.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Loudoun County         19-20      -1     6    ---   -7.52
   404 A Woodgrove               8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.79
   420 A Stone Bridge           11-13      -2     3    --    -5.45
   413 A Broad Run              18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   424 H John Champe            12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   515 H Briar Woods            11-12      -1     2    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Kettle Run             15- 6       9     1    +++    7.49
   406 H Potomac Falls          14- 8       6     0    +++    6.21
   411 N Kettle Run             14- 7       7     2    ++     4.51
   501 H Freedom, South Riding  10-11      -1    -4    +      3.12
   508 A Potomac Falls          12-11       1    -2    +      3.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.86 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.85 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   112
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/