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Region = MI DII Nickname = I Falcons Coach = Dave HamelGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.9132538 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Warren Regina MI DII ( 9- 8, 66.0) 17-15 328 H Waterford United, MI MI DI ( 4-15, 60.0) 12- 6 407 H Waterford United, MI MI DI ( 4-15, 60.0) 9- 6 409 H Walled Lake Northern MI DII ( 4-13, 60.0) 13- 7 412 A Troy MI DI (12- 4, 79.6) 1-16 413 A Troy Athens MI DI ( 2-11, 62.5) 9-14 419 H Stoney Creek MI DII ( 5-13, 63.2) 11- 4 420 A Novi MI DI ( 9- 9, 69.2) 8-11 423 H Notre Dame Prep, MI MI DII (11-10, 69.4) 11-10 425 H Rochester Adams MI DII (13- 7, 67.7) 10- 4 427 A University Liggett MI DII ( 5- 9, 59.5) 11- 2 430 A Farmington HS, MI MI DII (14- 3, 78.2) 8-17 504 A Stoney Creek MI DII ( 5-13, 63.2) 7- 5 505 H Royal Oak MI DII ( 1-12, 51.0) 17- 4 507 A Harrison, MI MI DI ( 0- 9, 54.3) 16- 2 509 A Lake Orion MI DI (13- 7, 72.2) 13-14 510 A West Bloomfield MI DI (11- 3, 74.2) 11- 7 515 H Oxford, MI MI DII ( 8-10, 64.6) 10- 6 517 A Rochester Adams MI DII (13- 7, 67.7) 7- 1 519 A CA-Davison Co-Op MI DII ( 0- 7, 46.8) 19- 2 523 A Marian, MI MI DII (16- 6, 85.0) 9-24PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Warren Regina 17-15 2 5 - -3.47 328 H Waterford United, MI 12- 6 6 11 -- -4.00 407 H Waterford United, MI 9- 6 3 11 --- -7.00 409 H Walled Lake Northern 13- 7 6 11 -- -4.00 412 A Troy 1-16 -15 -8 -1.09 413 A Troy Athens 9-14 -5 8 --- -13.21 419 H Stoney Creek 11- 4 7 8 -1.31 420 A Novi 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.51 423 H Notre Dame Prep, MI 11-10 1 2 -1.05 425 H Rochester Adams 10- 4 6 3 + 2.17 427 A University Liggett 11- 2 9 11 -1.00 430 A Farmington HS, MI 8-17 -9 -7 -1.44 504 A Stoney Creek 7- 5 2 7 -- -5.50 505 H Royal Oak 17- 4 13 20 0.00 507 A Harrison, MI 16- 2 14 16 0.00 509 A Lake Orion 13-14 -1 -1 0.50 510 A West Bloomfield 11- 7 4 -3 +++ 7.49 515 H Oxford, MI 10- 6 4 6 - -2.88 517 A Rochester Adams 7- 1 6 3 + 2.99 519 A CA-Davison Co-Op 19- 2 17 23 0.00 523 A Marian, MI 9-24 -15 -14 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Waterford United, MI 9- 6 3 11 --- -7.00 413 A Troy Athens 9-14 -5 8 --- -13.21 328 H Waterford United, MI 12- 6 6 11 -- -4.00 409 H Walled Lake Northern 13- 7 6 11 -- -4.00 420 A Novi 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.51 504 A Stoney Creek 7- 5 2 7 -- -5.50 326 H Warren Regina 17-15 2 5 - -3.47 515 H Oxford, MI 10- 6 4 6 - -2.88OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 A West Bloomfield 11- 7 4 -3 +++ 7.49 425 H Rochester Adams 10- 4 6 3 + 2.17 517 A Rochester Adams 7- 1 6 3 + 2.99/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.08 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 35.89 Local SOS Rank............. 60 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 64 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 28 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7