Region = MI    DII              
   Nickname = I Falcons              Coach  =   Dave Hamel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.9132538    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Warren Regina          MI    DII     ( 9- 8, 66.0)    17-15   
 328 H Waterford United, MI   MI    DI      ( 4-15, 60.0)    12- 6   
 407 H Waterford United, MI   MI    DI      ( 4-15, 60.0)     9- 6   
 409 H Walled Lake Northern   MI    DII     ( 4-13, 60.0)    13- 7   
 412 A Troy                   MI    DI      (12- 4, 79.6)     1-16   
 413 A Troy Athens            MI    DI      ( 2-11, 62.5)     9-14   
 419 H Stoney Creek           MI    DII     ( 5-13, 63.2)    11- 4   
 420 A Novi                   MI    DI      ( 9- 9, 69.2)     8-11   
 423 H Notre Dame Prep, MI    MI    DII     (11-10, 69.4)    11-10   
 425 H Rochester Adams        MI    DII     (13- 7, 67.7)    10- 4   
 427 A University Liggett     MI    DII     ( 5- 9, 59.5)    11- 2   
 430 A Farmington HS, MI      MI    DII     (14- 3, 78.2)     8-17   
 504 A Stoney Creek           MI    DII     ( 5-13, 63.2)     7- 5   
 505 H Royal Oak              MI    DII     ( 1-12, 51.0)    17- 4   
 507 A Harrison, MI           MI    DI      ( 0- 9, 54.3)    16- 2   
 509 A Lake Orion             MI    DI      (13- 7, 72.2)    13-14   
 510 A West Bloomfield        MI    DI      (11- 3, 74.2)    11- 7   
 515 H Oxford, MI             MI    DII     ( 8-10, 64.6)    10- 6   
 517 A Rochester Adams        MI    DII     (13- 7, 67.7)     7- 1   
 519 A CA-Davison Co-Op       MI    DII     ( 0- 7, 46.8)    19- 2   
 523 A Marian, MI             MI    DII     (16- 6, 85.0)     9-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Warren Regina          17-15       2     5    -     -3.47
   328 H Waterford United, MI   12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   407 H Waterford United, MI    9- 6       3    11    ---   -7.00
   409 H Walled Lake Northern   13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   412 A Troy                    1-16     -15    -8          -1.09
   413 A Troy Athens             9-14      -5     8    ---  -13.21
   419 H Stoney Creek           11- 4       7     8          -1.31
   420 A Novi                    8-11      -3     1    --    -4.51
   423 H Notre Dame Prep, MI    11-10       1     2          -1.05
   425 H Rochester Adams        10- 4       6     3    +      2.17
   427 A University Liggett     11- 2       9    11          -1.00
   430 A Farmington HS, MI       8-17      -9    -7          -1.44
   504 A Stoney Creek            7- 5       2     7    --    -5.50
   505 H Royal Oak              17- 4      13    20           0.00
   507 A Harrison, MI           16- 2      14    16           0.00
   509 A Lake Orion             13-14      -1    -1           0.50
   510 A West Bloomfield        11- 7       4    -3    +++    7.49
   515 H Oxford, MI             10- 6       4     6    -     -2.88
   517 A Rochester Adams         7- 1       6     3    +      2.99
   519 A CA-Davison Co-Op       19- 2      17    23           0.00
   523 A Marian, MI              9-24     -15   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Waterford United, MI    9- 6       3    11    ---   -7.00
   413 A Troy Athens             9-14      -5     8    ---  -13.21
   328 H Waterford United, MI   12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   409 H Walled Lake Northern   13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   420 A Novi                    8-11      -3     1    --    -4.51
   504 A Stoney Creek            7- 5       2     7    --    -5.50
   326 H Warren Regina          17-15       2     5    -     -3.47
   515 H Oxford, MI             10- 6       4     6    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A West Bloomfield        11- 7       4    -3    +++    7.49
   425 H Rochester Adams        10- 4       6     3    +      2.17
   517 A Rochester Adams         7- 1       6     3    +      2.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.08 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 35.89 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    64
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/