Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Blue Waves           Coach  =   Ashley King           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.8522491    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Mattituck-Southold     NY D  Sec 11  (15- 5, 95.2)     7-10   
 327 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.0)     7-11   
 404 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.8)    10- 7   
 406 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)     7-10   
 409 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 88.4)    12-11 2o
 411 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 81.6)    11- 5   
 417 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 85.8)     9- 6   
 419 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 82.3)     9- 7   
 424 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.4)    14-12   
 427 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 68.5)    17- 3   
 503 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (15- 6, 93.3)     6-16   
 505 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 67.4)    20- 7   
 507 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 78.9)    14- 6   
 509 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 97.2)     8-10   
 511 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 84.3)    20-11   
 519 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 5, 88.4)    13-12   
 523 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 97.2)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Mattituck-Southold      7-10      -3    -5    +      2.53
   327 A Ward Melville           7-11      -4    -6    +      2.18
   404 A Sachem North           10- 7       3     1           1.03
   406 H Smithtown West          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.24
   409 H Middle Country         12-11 2o    1     1          -0.27
   411 H Half Hollow Hills      11- 5       6     8    -     -2.04
   417 A Huntington              9- 6       3     2           0.03
   419 A Bay Shore               9- 7       2     6    --    -4.53
   424 A Smithtown East         14-12       2     0    +      2.65
   427 H Brentwood, NY          17- 3      14    21           0.00
   503 A West Islip              6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.46
   505 H North Babylon          20- 7      13    22           0.00
   507 H Longwood               14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   509 H Northport               8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.52
   511 A Commack                20-11       9     4    ++     4.51
   519 A Middle Country         13-12       1     0           0.64
   523 A Northport              10-15      -5    -8    +      3.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Bay Shore               9- 7       2     6    --    -4.53
   503 A West Islip              6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.46
   406 H Smithtown West          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.24
   411 H Half Hollow Hills      11- 5       6     8    -     -2.04
   507 H Longwood               14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Northport               8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.52
   511 A Commack                20-11       9     4    ++     4.51
   320 H Mattituck-Southold      7-10      -3    -5    +      2.53
   327 A Ward Melville           7-11      -4    -6    +      2.18
   424 A Smithtown East         14-12       2     0    +      2.65
   523 A Northport              10-15      -5    -8    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.24 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.70 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/