Quince Orchard                4 - 8


 
                                     Region = MD    4A               
   Nickname = D Cougars              Coach  =   Jennifer Holliday Mohr



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   73.4755630    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A      ( 5- 5, 71.3)     6-11   
 406 H Northwest, MD          MD    4A      ( 1-11, 62.3)    15- 4   
 409 A Wootton                MD    4A      ( 6- 8, 68.3)     8- 9   
 412 H Gaithersburg           MD    4A      ( 6- 6, 67.3)     9- 8   
 417 A Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A      ( 5- 7, 68.1)    13-14   
 419 H Clarksburg             MD    4A      ( 5- 6, 63.3)    15- 2   
 420 A Montgomery Blair       MD    4A      ( 1-11, 56.5)    19- 9   
 421 H Winston Churchill      MD    4A      ( 8- 4, 84.1)     5-20   
 423 H Whitman, MD            MD    4A      (14- 2, 84.9)     4-12   
 427 H Urbana                 MD    4A      ( 6- 8, 74.7)     4-15   
 501 H Walter Johnson         MD    4A      (12- 2, 81.8)     9-18   
 505 A Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  (14- 7, 87.5)    10-20   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase    6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.61
   406 H Northwest, MD          15- 4      11     6    +      3.37
   409 A Wootton                 8- 9      -1    -1           0.54
   412 H Gaithersburg            9- 8       1     1          -0.55
   417 A Richard Montgomery, MD 13-14      -1    -1           0.40
   419 H Clarksburg             15- 2      13     5    ++     4.45
   420 A Montgomery Blair       19- 9      10    10           0.00
   421 H Winston Churchill       5-20     -15   -15           0.00
   423 H Whitman, MD             4-12      -8   -16    +      2.00
   427 H Urbana                  4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.22
   501 H Walter Johnson          9-18      -9   -12           1.00
   505 A Bullis School          10-20     -10   -21          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Urbana                  4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.22
   403 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase    6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.61


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Clarksburg             15- 2      13     5    ++     4.45
   406 H Northwest, MD          15- 4      11     6    +      3.37
   423 H Whitman, MD             4-12      -8   -16    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.80 Local Power Rank...........    89
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.25 Local SOS Rank.............    71
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    91
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   129
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   114
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0


  
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