Region = VA 5A North            
   Nickname = A Panthers             Coach  =   Brian DeCarli         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5100403    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Loudoun County         VA 4A North   ( 7- 8, 80.3)    14- 7   
 314 H Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (10- 6, 88.1)    12-14   
 316 H Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (18- 2, 96.1)     8-16   
 403 H Loudoun Valley         VA 4A North   ( 4-11, 77.2)    15- 4   
 406 A Rock Ridge             VA 5A North   (10- 6, 85.9)     8-14   
 410 A Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 1-13, 68.8)    16- 7   
 414 A Dominion               VA 4A North   (17- 2, 96.2)     4-14   
 420 A John Champe            VA 5A North   ( 5- 9, 73.5)    18- 3   
 424 H Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 2-12, 69.8)    10- 7   
 425 N Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A North   (19- 4, 90.9)    10-14   
 501 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   ( 7- 9, 81.4)    12- 8   
 504 A Briar Woods            VA 5A North   (10- 8, 84.1)    17-14   
 508 H Rock Ridge             VA 5A North   (10- 6, 85.9)    11-12   
 511 A Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   ( 6- 8, 77.0)    18- 7   
 516 H John Champe            VA 5A North   ( 5- 9, 73.5)    20- 7   
 517 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   ( 7- 9, 81.4)    13-12   
 519 N Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A North   (19- 4, 90.9)     9- 8   
 522 H Rock Ridge             VA 5A North   (10- 6, 85.9)    12-10   
 524 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   ( 7- 9, 81.4)    15- 7   
 529 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A North   (19- 4, 90.9)    11-10   
 601 H Deep Run               VA 5A South   (10- 5, 83.8)    14- 9   
 605 A Atlee                  VA 5A South   (15- 1, 91.7)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Loudoun County         14- 7       7     5           1.24
   314 H Woodgrove              12-14      -2     0          -1.92
   316 H Riverside, VA           8-16      -8    -8           0.10
   403 H Loudoun Valley         15- 4      11    10           0.00
   406 A Rock Ridge              8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   410 A Heritage, VA           16- 7       9    17          -1.00
   414 A Dominion                4-14     -10   -10           0.00
   420 A John Champe            18- 3      15    12           0.00
   424 H Broad Run              10- 7       3    18    ---   -7.00
   425 N Freedom, South Riding  10-14      -4    -3          -0.09
   501 H Stone Bridge           12- 8       4     6    -     -2.57
   504 A Briar Woods            17-14       3     1           1.02
   508 H Rock Ridge             11-12      -1     2    -     -3.15
   511 A Tuscarora, VA          18- 7      11     9           0.92
   516 H John Champe            20- 7      13    14           0.00
   517 H Stone Bridge           13-12       1     6    --    -5.57
   519 N Freedom, South Riding   9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.91
   522 H Rock Ridge             12-10       2     2          -0.15
   524 H Stone Bridge           15- 7       8     6           1.43
   529 H Freedom, South Riding  11-10       1    -2    +      3.94
   601 H Deep Run               14- 9       5     4           0.80
   605 A Atlee                   7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Rock Ridge              8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   424 H Broad Run              10- 7       3    18    ---   -7.00
   517 H Stone Bridge           13-12       1     6    --    -5.57
   501 H Stone Bridge           12- 8       4     6    -     -2.57
   508 H Rock Ridge             11-12      -1     2    -     -3.15
   605 A Atlee                   7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 N Freedom, South Riding   9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.91
   529 H Freedom, South Riding  11-10       1    -2    +      3.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.04 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.53 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   106
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/