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Region = VA 5A North Nickname = A Panthers Coach = Brian DeCarliGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.5100403 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Loudoun County VA 4A North ( 7- 8, 80.3) 14- 7 314 H Woodgrove VA 4A North (10- 6, 88.1) 12-14 316 H Riverside, VA VA 4A North (18- 2, 96.1) 8-16 403 H Loudoun Valley VA 4A North ( 4-11, 77.2) 15- 4 406 A Rock Ridge VA 5A North (10- 6, 85.9) 8-14 410 A Heritage, VA VA 4A North ( 1-13, 68.8) 16- 7 414 A Dominion VA 4A North (17- 2, 96.2) 4-14 420 A John Champe VA 5A North ( 5- 9, 73.5) 18- 3 424 H Broad Run VA 5A North ( 2-12, 69.8) 10- 7 425 N Freedom, South Riding VA 5A North (19- 4, 90.9) 10-14 501 H Stone Bridge VA 5A North ( 7- 9, 81.4) 12- 8 504 A Briar Woods VA 5A North (10- 8, 84.1) 17-14 508 H Rock Ridge VA 5A North (10- 6, 85.9) 11-12 511 A Tuscarora, VA VA 5A North ( 6- 8, 77.0) 18- 7 516 H John Champe VA 5A North ( 5- 9, 73.5) 20- 7 517 H Stone Bridge VA 5A North ( 7- 9, 81.4) 13-12 519 N Freedom, South Riding VA 5A North (19- 4, 90.9) 9- 8 522 H Rock Ridge VA 5A North (10- 6, 85.9) 12-10 524 H Stone Bridge VA 5A North ( 7- 9, 81.4) 15- 7 529 H Freedom, South Riding VA 5A North (19- 4, 90.9) 11-10 601 H Deep Run VA 5A South (10- 5, 83.8) 14- 9 605 A Atlee VA 5A South (15- 1, 91.7) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Loudoun County 14- 7 7 5 1.24 314 H Woodgrove 12-14 -2 0 -1.92 316 H Riverside, VA 8-16 -8 -8 0.10 403 H Loudoun Valley 15- 4 11 10 0.00 406 A Rock Ridge 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.21 410 A Heritage, VA 16- 7 9 17 -1.00 414 A Dominion 4-14 -10 -10 0.00 420 A John Champe 18- 3 15 12 0.00 424 H Broad Run 10- 7 3 18 --- -7.00 425 N Freedom, South Riding 10-14 -4 -3 -0.09 501 H Stone Bridge 12- 8 4 6 - -2.57 504 A Briar Woods 17-14 3 1 1.02 508 H Rock Ridge 11-12 -1 2 - -3.15 511 A Tuscarora, VA 18- 7 11 9 0.92 516 H John Champe 20- 7 13 14 0.00 517 H Stone Bridge 13-12 1 6 -- -5.57 519 N Freedom, South Riding 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.91 522 H Rock Ridge 12-10 2 2 -0.15 524 H Stone Bridge 15- 7 8 6 1.43 529 H Freedom, South Riding 11-10 1 -2 + 3.94 601 H Deep Run 14- 9 5 4 0.80 605 A Atlee 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Rock Ridge 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.21 424 H Broad Run 10- 7 3 18 --- -7.00 517 H Stone Bridge 13-12 1 6 -- -5.57 501 H Stone Bridge 12- 8 4 6 - -2.57 508 H Rock Ridge 11-12 -1 2 - -3.15 605 A Atlee 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 N Freedom, South Riding 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.91 529 H Freedom, South Riding 11-10 1 -2 + 3.94/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.04 Local Power Rank........... 20 Local SOS Rating......... 64.53 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 17 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 106 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7