Region = PA    AAA              
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Shannon MacPherson    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4332886    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Wissahickon            PA    AAA     ( 6-12, 78.7)    12-11  o
 406 H Villa Joseph Marie SG  PA    AA      ( 4-14, 72.5)    17- 4   
 409 A Hatboro-Horsham        PA    AAA     ( 3-14, 72.0)    12- 7   
 411 A Central Bucks East     PA    AAA     (14- 6, 88.8)     6-16   
 413 H Springfield (MontCo)   PA    AA      ( 9- 8, 81.9)     9-10   
 416 H Council Rock North     PA    AAA     ( 1-14, 66.3)    12- 1   
 418 A Council Rock South     PA    AAA     ( 6- 8, 76.2)    10- 6   
 423 A Central Bucks South    PA    AAA     (14- 5, 87.8)    12-22   
 426 H Souderton Area         PA    AAA     (13- 6, 87.0)    15-16 2o
 428 A West Chester East      PA    AAA     ( 3-14, 75.8)    14-13   
 430 H Central Bucks West     PA    AAA     (16- 6, 91.1)     8-15   
 502 A North Penn             PA    AAA     ( 9- 8, 84.0)    11-12   
 503 H Jenkintown             PA    AA      (11- 7, 77.2)    18-14   
 505 H Upper Moreland         PA    AA      (13- 8, 82.6)     9-14   
 507 A Neshaminy              PA    AAA     ( 6-12, 71.3)    15- 5   
 509 A Pennridge              PA    AAA     ( 7-11, 78.1)    13-10   
 510 A Upper Moreland         PA    AA      (13- 8, 82.6)    14- 8   
 511 A New Hope-Solebury      PA    AA      (11- 5, 80.7)    12-11   
 515 A West Chester Henderson PA    AAA     (13- 6, 89.7)     7-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Wissahickon            12-11  o    1     2          -1.70
   406 H Villa Joseph Marie SG  17- 4      13     9           0.13
   409 A Hatboro-Horsham        12- 7       5     9    --    -4.39
   411 A Central Bucks East      6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.55
   413 H Springfield (MontCo)    9-10      -1     0          -1.42
   416 H Council Rock North     12- 1      11    16           0.00
   418 A Council Rock South     10- 6       4     5          -1.16
   423 A Central Bucks South    12-22     -10    -6    -     -3.54
   426 H Souderton Area         15-16 2o   -1    -4    +      3.67
   428 A West Chester East      14-13       1     5    --    -4.51
   430 H Central Bucks West      8-15      -7    -8           1.71
   502 A North Penn             11-12      -1    -2           1.69
   503 H Jenkintown             18-14       4     5          -1.15
   505 H Upper Moreland          9-14      -5     0    --    -4.77
   507 A Neshaminy              15- 5      10    10           0.00
   509 A Pennridge              13-10       3     3          -0.30
   510 A Upper Moreland         14- 8       6    -1    +++    7.23
   511 A New Hope-Solebury      12-11       1     0           0.39
   515 A West Chester Henderson  7-22     -15    -8          -1.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Hatboro-Horsham        12- 7       5     9    --    -4.39
   428 A West Chester East      14-13       1     5    --    -4.51
   505 H Upper Moreland          9-14      -5     0    --    -4.77
   411 A Central Bucks East      6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.55
   423 A Central Bucks South    12-22     -10    -6    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Upper Moreland         14- 8       6    -1    +++    7.23
   426 H Souderton Area         15-16 2o   -1    -4    +      3.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.85 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.41 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
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