Region = PA    LVL              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Toni Bush             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.0700226    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Freedom, PA            PA    LVL     (12- 6, 82.2)    11-17   
 329 A Liberty, PA            PA    LVL     ( 6-11, 73.7)    13-11   
 403 H Easton Area, PA        PA    LVL     (13- 3, 92.4)     5-23   
 405 A Moravian Academy       PA    Indep   ( 5-10, 75.5)     8-12   
 407 H Nazareth Area HS       PA    LVL     ( 8- 9, 76.6)     8-11   
 409 A Phillipsburg           NJ    N1 Grp4 ( 3-15, 66.6)     6-12   
 411 H Emmaus                 PA    LVL     (10- 8, 85.2)     5-16   
 413 H Crestwood, PA          PA    WVC     ( 5- 9, 69.8)    20- 8   
 416 A Northampton, PA        PA    LVL     ( 2-16, 66.6)    14- 2   
 419 H Allentown Central Cath PA    LVL     ( 5-12, 73.0)    16-10   
 423 A Parkland               PA    LVL     (15- 5, 91.9)     5-19   
 425 H Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   (14- 4, 88.9)     9- 8   
 427 H Delaware Valley HS, PA PA    WVC     (13- 7, 76.2)    12- 6   
 501 H Northampton, PA        PA    LVL     ( 2-16, 66.6)    18- 6   
 503 A Nazareth Area HS       PA    LVL     ( 8- 9, 76.6)    13-12   
 505 H Lake-Lehman            PA    WVC     (16- 5, 79.8)    15- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Freedom, PA            11-17      -6    -4          -1.05
   329 A Liberty, PA            13-11       2     3          -1.54
   403 H Easton Area, PA         5-23     -18   -13           0.00
   405 A Moravian Academy        8-12      -4     1    --    -5.71
   407 H Nazareth Area HS        8-11      -3     2    --    -5.67
   409 A Phillipsburg            6-12      -6    10          n/a  
   411 H Emmaus                  5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.12
   413 H Crestwood, PA          20- 8      12     9          n/a  
   416 A Northampton, PA        14- 2      12    10           0.00
   419 H Allentown Central Cath 16-10       6     6          -0.25
   423 A Parkland                5-19     -14   -14           0.00
   425 H Saucon Valley           9- 8       1    -9    +++   10.60
   427 H Delaware Valley HS, PA 12- 6       6     3          n/a  
   501 H Northampton, PA        18- 6      12    12           0.00
   503 A Nazareth Area HS       13-12       1     0           0.39
   505 H Lake-Lehman            15- 9       6     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Phillipsburg            6-12      -6    10    ---        
   405 A Moravian Academy        8-12      -4     1    --    -5.71
   407 H Nazareth Area HS        8-11      -3     2    --    -5.67
   411 H Emmaus                  5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Saucon Valley           9- 8       1    -9    +++   10.60
   505 H Lake-Lehman            15- 9       6     0    +++        
   427 H Delaware Valley HS, PA 12- 6       6     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.26 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.20 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/