Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6107635    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 97.6)     6- 7  o
 405 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-13, 84.9)    11- 6   
 409 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (16- 1, 99.9)     2- 9   
 413 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (16- 6, 95.0)    13- 5   
 416 H Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 80.1)    15- 5   
 418 A Greece                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 81.8)    14- 2   
 420 A Webster Schroeder      NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 86.7)    14- 9   
 423 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.8)     6- 7   
 425 H Gates-Chili            NY B  Sec 5   ( 0-16, 62.6)    19- 1   
 502 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 95.4)     7-14   
 504 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.2)     7-10   
 507 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 84.3)    13- 9   
 509 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 86.4)    14- 5   
 511 H Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   (13- 6, 91.2)    11- 7   
 512 H South Jefferson        NY D  Sec 3   (17- 4, 99.1)    10- 9   
 516 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-13, 84.9)     7- 6   
 523 H Greece                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 81.8)    14- 7   
 526 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (16- 1, 99.9)     6- 5   
 529 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 95.4)     8- 6   
 602 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 95.5)    17- 5   
 608 N North Rockland         NY A  Sec 1   (19- 2, 99.9)     9- 8   
 609 N Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (18- 3, 98.6)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Baldwinsville           6- 7  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   405 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     11- 6       5     9    --    -4.93
   409 H Pittsford               2- 9      -7    -5          -1.96
   413 A Brighton, NY           13- 5       8    -2    +++   10.78
   416 H Hilton                 15- 5      10    14           0.00
   418 A Greece                 14- 2      12    10           0.00
   420 A Webster Schroeder      14- 9       5     5          -0.52
   423 A Canandaigua Academy     6- 7      -1     0          -1.38
   425 H Gates-Chili            19- 1      18    32           0.00
   502 H Rush-Henrietta          7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.44
   504 A Fairport                7-10      -3     0    -     -2.98
   507 A Irondequoit            13- 9       4     7    -     -3.85
   509 H Webster Thomas         14- 5       9     8           0.50
   511 H Spencerport            11- 7       4     3           0.35
   512 H South Jefferson        10- 9       1    -4          n/a  
   516 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.26
   523 H Greece                 14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   526 N Pittsford               6- 5       1    -6    +++    7.38
   529 N Rush-Henrietta          8- 6       2    -1    +      3.89
   602 N Lancaster, NY          17- 5      12    -1          n/a  
   608 N North Rockland          9- 8       1    -6          n/a  
   609 N Christian Brothers, NY  5-10      -5    -5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Rush-Henrietta          7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.44
   516 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.26
   405 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     11- 6       5     9    --    -4.93
   504 A Fairport                7-10      -3     0    -     -2.98
   507 A Irondequoit            13- 9       4     7    -     -3.85
   523 H Greece                 14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Brighton, NY           13- 5       8    -2    +++   10.78
   526 N Pittsford               6- 5       1    -6    +++    7.38
   602 N Lancaster, NY          17- 5      12    -1    +++        
   608 N North Rockland          9- 8       1    -6    +++        
   403 A Baldwinsville           6- 7  o   -1    -5    ++         
   512 H South Jefferson        10- 9       1    -4    ++         
   529 N Rush-Henrietta          8- 6       2    -1    +      3.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.52 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.70 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/