Region = NC    C2               
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Jan Fabian            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.1287003    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Topsail                NC    C1      (10- 8, 79.5)     4-14   
 308 A Millbrook, NC          NC    C4      ( 9- 6, 83.2)     1-15   
 314 A Jacksonville           NC    C2      ( 5- 6, 71.3)    16-10   
 316 H Havelock               NC    C2      ( 7- 8, 72.5)     5-10   
 319 A Havelock               NC    C2      ( 7- 8, 72.5)    10- 9   
 323 A Northside, NC          NC    C2      ( 9- 5, 73.9)     7- 6   
 326 H J.H. Rose              NC    C2      ( 7- 6, 76.6)    13- 6   
 327 A J.H. Rose              NC    C2      ( 7- 6, 76.6)    11-10   
 329 H First Flight           NC    C2      ( 0- 9, 58.1)    12- 1   
 411 H E.A. Laney             NC    C1      ( 8- 8, 76.8)    14- 9   
 413 N D.H. Conley Club       NC    Indep   ( 0- 7, 59.3)    16- 6   
 417 H Jacksonville           NC    C2      ( 5- 6, 71.3)    14- 6   
 420 A First Flight           NC    C2      ( 0- 9, 58.1)    15- 7   
 426 A Havelock               NC    C2      ( 7- 8, 72.5)     7- 9   
 427 H Northside, NC          NC    C2      ( 9- 5, 73.9)    10- 4   
 504 H Chapel Hill            NC    C5      (10- 5, 86.2)     9-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Topsail                 4-14     -10    -2    ---   -7.88
   308 A Millbrook, NC           1-15     -14    -7    -     -2.88
   314 A Jacksonville           16-10       6     4           1.26
   316 H Havelock                5-10      -5     4    ---   -9.80
   319 A Havelock               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.52
   323 A Northside, NC           7- 6       1     2          -1.12
   326 H J.H. Rose              13- 6       7     0    +++    6.24
   327 A J.H. Rose              11-10       1     0           1.51
   329 H First Flight           12- 1      11    19           0.00
   411 H E.A. Laney             14- 9       5     0    ++     4.48
   413 N D.H. Conley Club       16- 6      10    17           0.00
   417 H Jacksonville           14- 6       8     6           1.98
   420 A First Flight           15- 7       8    17    -     -2.00
   426 A Havelock                7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.52
   427 H Northside, NC          10- 4       6     3    +      2.61
   504 H Chapel Hill             9-19     -10    -8          -1.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Topsail                 4-14     -10    -2    ---   -7.88
   316 H Havelock                5-10      -5     4    ---   -9.80
   426 A Havelock                7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.52
   308 A Millbrook, NC           1-15     -14    -7    -     -2.88
   319 A Havelock               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.52
   420 A First Flight           15- 7       8    17    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H J.H. Rose              13- 6       7     0    +++    6.24
   411 H E.A. Laney             14- 9       5     0    ++     4.48
   427 H Northside, NC          10- 4       6     3    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.69 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.98 Local SOS Rank.............    80
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    60
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/