Mt. Ararat                    2 - 9


 
                                     Region = ME    B                
   Nickname = E Eagles               Coach  =   Samantha Diamond      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.9251022    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 413 A Messalonskee           ME    B       ( 8- 5, 88.4)     1-17   
 424 H Morse                  ME    B       ( 5- 8, 77.9)     7-11   
 428 H North Yarmouth Academy ME    C       ( 5- 8, 76.8)     9-11   
 505 A South Portland         ME    A South ( 6- 8, 82.9)     4-15   
 509 H Lewiston, ME           ME    A North ( 6- 6, 83.5)     1-13   
 514 A Cony                   ME    B       ( 7- 6, 77.0)     8-13   
 519 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale     ME    B       ( 5- 6, 73.7)     9-10   
 521 A Lawrence HS, ME        ME    B       ( 5- 6, 72.8)    11- 8   
 523 H Boothbay Region        ME    C       ( 8- 4, 78.4)    12-10   
 525 A Brunswick, ME          ME    B       ( 6- 8, 78.5)     5- 6   
 529 A Edward Little          ME    A North ( 5- 6, 75.5)    12-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Messalonskee            1-17     -16   -18           0.00
   424 H Morse                   7-11      -4    -5           1.77
   428 H North Yarmouth Academy  9-11      -2    -4    +      2.68
   505 A South Portland          4-15     -11   -12           0.00
   509 H Lewiston, ME            1-13     -12   -11           0.00
   514 A Cony                    8-13      -5    -6           1.68
   519 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale      9-10      -1    -1           0.61
   521 A Lawrence HS, ME        11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.46
   523 H Boothbay Region        12-10       2    -6    +++    8.33
   525 A Brunswick, ME           5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.18
   529 A Edward Little          12-14      -2    -5    +      3.22


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Boothbay Region        12-10       2    -6    +++    8.33
   525 A Brunswick, ME           5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.18
   521 A Lawrence HS, ME        11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.46
   428 H North Yarmouth Academy  9-11      -2    -4    +      2.68
   529 A Edward Little          12-14      -2    -5    +      3.22




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.21 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.22 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3


  
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