Region = NJ    N1 Grp4          
   Nickname = J Colonials            Coach  =   Evan Mager            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1545410    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Chatham                NJ    N2 Grp3 ( 8-10, 84.3)     8-13   
 404 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.8)     8-10   
 404 H Ridgewood              NJ    N1 Grp4 (22- 4, 97.7)    10-15   
 407 H Mendham                NJ    N2 Grp3 (14- 7, 89.9)    16-10   
 410 H Mountain Lakes         NJ    N1 Grp1 (12- 8, 87.0)    11-10  o
 411 A Westfield, NJ          NJ    N2 Grp4 (12- 8, 88.0)    11- 9   
 414 H Oak Knoll School       NJ    N2 Grp1 (21- 3, 95.2)    10-11   
 416 H Saddle River Day Schoo NJ    N1 Grp1 ( 8-14, 80.7)    15-11   
 418 A Madison, NJ            NJ    N2 Grp2 (13- 6, 84.8)    17- 7   
 421 A Mattituck-Southold     NY D  Sec 11  (15- 5, 95.2)     7-15   
 426 A West Morris Central    NJ    N2 Grp3 ( 1-16, 70.7)    20- 5   
 428 H Villa Walsh Academy    NJ    N2 Grp1 ( 9- 8, 71.6)    18- 3   
 501 H Morris Knolls          NJ    N1 Grp4 ( 8-11, 76.3)    18- 2   
 503 N Chatham                NJ    N2 Grp3 ( 8-10, 84.3)    14- 6   
 505 N Mountain Lakes         NJ    N1 Grp1 (12- 8, 87.0)    10- 6   
 507 A Mahwah                 NJ    N1 Grp2 ( 9-10, 80.8)    15- 6   
 509 A Summit, NJ             NJ    N2 Grp3 (18- 4, 94.4)     8-11   
 511 H Hun School             NJ    Prep    ( 7-10, 73.8)    17- 6   
 517 H Morris Knolls          NJ    N1 Grp4 ( 8-11, 76.3)    19- 7   
 521 A Ridge, NJ              NJ    N1 Grp4 (14- 4, 93.8)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Chatham                 8-13      -5     4    ---   -9.75
   404 H Canandaigua Academy     8-10      -2     0          n/a  
   404 H Ridgewood              10-15      -5    -6           1.05
   407 H Mendham                16-10       6     1    ++     4.28
   410 H Mountain Lakes         11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.66
   411 A Westfield, NJ          11- 9       2     1           0.96
   414 H Oak Knoll School       10-11      -1    -3    +      2.56
   416 H Saddle River Day Schoo 15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   418 A Madison, NJ            17- 7      10     4    ++     5.82
   421 A Mattituck-Southold      7-15      -8    -5          n/a  
   426 A West Morris Central    20- 5      15    18           0.00
   428 H Villa Walsh Academy    18- 3      15    19           0.00
   501 H Morris Knolls          18- 2      16    15           0.00
   503 N Chatham                14- 6       8     6           1.94
   505 N Mountain Lakes         10- 6       4     3           0.64
   507 A Mahwah                 15- 6       9     8           0.83
   509 A Summit, NJ              8-11      -3    -5    +      2.36
   511 H Hun School             17- 6      11    17           0.00
   517 H Morris Knolls          19- 7      12    15           0.00
   521 A Ridge, NJ              10-14      -4    -4           0.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Chatham                 8-13      -5     4    ---   -9.75
   416 H Saddle River Day Schoo 15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   410 H Mountain Lakes         11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.66
   421 A Mattituck-Southold      7-15      -8    -5    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Mendham                16-10       6     1    ++     4.28
   418 A Madison, NJ            17- 7      10     4    ++     5.82
   414 H Oak Knoll School       10-11      -1    -3    +      2.56
   509 A Summit, NJ              8-11      -3    -5    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.32 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.08 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/