Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7050781    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  (11- 7, 79.1)    15- 4   
 414 A Shrewsbury             MA    C/W D1  (16- 7, 85.4)     9- 6   
 418 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D1  (14- 8, 80.9)    12- 1   
 419 A Glastonbury            CT    Class L ( 9- 8, 84.5)    12- 7   
 423 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (18- 3, 96.2)     7- 9   
 426 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (11- 9, 87.6)    13-10   
 430 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 73.4)    14- 1   
 503 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (18- 3, 96.2)     7-16   
 505 H Bromfield School       MA    C/W D2  (18- 7, 88.4)     9- 8   
 507 A Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 5-14, 67.9)    12- 0   
 510 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  ( 9-10, 75.6)    16- 2   
 511 A Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (10-11, 84.3)    15- 8   
 514 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 88.9)     8-11   
 517 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 73.4)    14- 3   
 519 H Duxbury                MA    So D1   (16- 6, 92.0)     9-10   
 521 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  ( 9-10, 75.6)    14- 1   
 524 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 88.9)     5- 4   
 529 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  (14- 7, 78.5)    18- 5   
 607 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (11- 9, 87.6)    11- 9   
 613 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 88.9)     9- 8 2o
 615 N Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (18- 3, 96.2)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Westfield HS, MA       15- 4      11    10           0.00
   414 A Shrewsbury              9- 6       3     3          -0.74
   418 H Grafton Memorial, MA   12- 1      11    10           0.00
   419 A Glastonbury            12- 7       5     4          n/a  
   423 A Longmeadow              7- 9      -2    -6    ++     5.00
   426 A Algonquin              13-10       3     1           1.48
   430 H Northampton, MA        14- 1      13    17           0.00
   503 H Longmeadow              7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.77
   505 H Bromfield School        9- 8       1     2          -1.57
   507 A Tantasqua              12- 0      12    21           0.00
   510 A East Longmeadow        16- 2      14    13           0.00
   511 A Westford Academy       15- 8       7     4    +      2.12
   514 A Agawam                  8-11      -3     0    -     -3.27
   517 A Northampton, MA        14- 3      11    15           0.00
   519 H Duxbury                 9-10      -1    -1           0.06
   521 H East Longmeadow        14- 1      13    15           0.00
   524 H Agawam                  5- 4       1     2          -1.04
   529 H West Springfield, MA   18- 5      13    12           0.00
   607 H Algonquin              11- 9       2     3          -1.29
   613 H Agawam                  9- 8 2o    1     2          -1.04
   615 N Longmeadow              2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Longmeadow              7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.77
   514 A Agawam                  8-11      -3     0    -     -3.27
   615 N Longmeadow              2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Longmeadow              7- 9      -2    -6    ++     5.00
   511 A Westford Academy       15- 8       7     4    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.04 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.23 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/