Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Sailors              Coach  =   Eric Pfeiler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0435867    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 90.5)     2-14   
 319 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (11- 6, 89.8)    11-13   
 324 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 87.7)    11-13   
 326 A Centennial, MD         MD    3A      ( 4-10, 78.9)    13- 9   
 328 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (21- 1, 99.9)     1-17   
 403 H Hendrick Hudson        NY C  Sec 1   (13- 6, 91.8)    17- 3   
 404 H Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 0-17, 73.5)    14-11   
 409 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (13- 7, 90.9)     6-17   
 411 A John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  ( 9-10, 85.6)     9- 8   
 413 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (13- 9, 89.8)     5-15   
 416 A Catonsville            MD    4A      (11- 4, 86.1)     5- 9   
 418 H Glenelg Country School MD    IAAM A  (12- 5, 91.8)     8-16   
 420 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 3-15, 78.7)    11- 8   
 425 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (17- 4, 94.3)     2-16   
 430 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 8, 86.7)     9-11   
 504 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (11- 6, 89.8)    12-11  o
 507 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (17- 4, 94.3)     7-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Archbishop Spalding     2-14     -12   -11           0.00
   319 H Bryn Mawr SG           11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.66
   324 H St. Mary's, MD         11-13      -2    -5    +      3.56
   326 A Centennial, MD         13- 9       4     0          n/a  
   328 A McDonogh School         1-17     -16   -20           0.00
   403 H Hendrick Hudson        17- 3      14    -9          n/a  
   404 H Garrison Forest        14-11       3     8    --    -5.64
   409 A St. Paul's SG, MD       6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   411 A John Carroll, MD        9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.25
   413 H Roland Park Country     5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.27
   416 A Catonsville             5- 9      -4    -6          n/a  
   418 H Glenelg Country School  8-16      -8    -9           1.64
   420 H Severn School          11- 8       3     3          -0.42
   425 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     2-16     -14   -14           0.00
   430 A Maryvale Prep           9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.43
   504 A Bryn Mawr SG           12-11  o    1   -10    +++   11.00
   507 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     7-19     -12   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Garrison Forest        14-11       3     8    --    -5.64
   413 H Roland Park Country     5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Hendrick Hudson        17- 3      14    -9    +++        
   411 A John Carroll, MD        9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.25
   504 A Bryn Mawr SG           12-11  o    1   -10    +++   11.00
   319 H Bryn Mawr SG           11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.66
   430 A Maryvale Prep           9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.43
   324 H St. Mary's, MD         11-13      -2    -5    +      3.56
   326 A Centennial, MD         13- 9       4     0    +          
   416 A Catonsville             5- 9      -4    -6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.71 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.81 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/