Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.6523056    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 88.9)    20- 6   
 413 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 73.4)    19- 3   
 414 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (10- 7, 93.7)     9- 7   
 418 H Cohasset               MA    So D2   (18- 3, 94.5)    12-19   
 420 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (14- 8, 92.4)    14- 7   
 421 A Notre Dame, Hingham    MA    So D1   (22- 2, 99.9)    10-15   
 423 H Minnechaug Regional    MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.0)     9- 7   
 428 H Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (11- 7, 96.9)    12- 6   
 430 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  ( 9-10, 75.6)    17- 6   
 503 A Minnechaug Regional    MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.0)    16- 7   
 505 H New Canaan             CT    Class L (17- 5, 96.8)    12- 8   
 507 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 88.9)    16- 8   
 511 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 73.4)    19- 9   
 512 H Moses Brown School     RI    DI      (17- 1, 99.9)    15- 5   
 518 A Needham                MA    So D1   (14- 8, 92.8)     6- 5   
 523 A Glastonbury            CT    Class L ( 9- 8, 84.5)    15- 2   
 530 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  ( 9-10, 75.6)    18- 1   
 607 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  (11- 7, 79.1)    17- 6   
 612 H Shrewsbury             MA    C/W D1  (16- 7, 85.4)    20- 7   
 615 N Minnechaug Regional    MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.0)    15- 2   
 619 N Walpole                MA    East D1 (23- 1, 98.5)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Agawam                 20- 6      14     6    +      3.62
   413 H Northampton, MA        19- 3      16    23           0.00
   414 A Guilderland             9- 7       2     1          n/a  
   418 H Cohasset               12-19      -7     2    ---   -9.54
   420 H Westwood, MA           14- 7       7     4    +      2.40
   421 A Notre Dame, Hingham    10-15      -5    -4          -0.37
   423 H Minnechaug Regional     9- 7       2     6    --    -5.00
   428 H Niskayuna              12- 6       6     0          n/a  
   430 A East Longmeadow        17- 6      11    19           0.00
   503 A Minnechaug Regional    16- 7       9     5    +      3.77
   505 H New Canaan             12- 8       4     0          n/a  
   507 H Agawam                 16- 8       8     8          -0.15
   511 A Northampton, MA        19- 9      10    21           0.00
   512 H Moses Brown School     15- 5      10    -3          n/a  
   518 A Needham                 6- 5       1     2          -1.50
   523 A Glastonbury            15- 2      13    10          n/a  
   530 H East Longmeadow        18- 1      17    21           0.00
   607 H Westfield HS, MA       17- 6      11    17           0.00
   612 H Shrewsbury             20- 7      13    11           0.00
   615 N Minnechaug Regional    15- 2      13     6    +      3.89
   619 N Walpole                11-12      -1    -2           1.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Cohasset               12-19      -7     2    ---   -9.54
   423 H Minnechaug Regional     9- 7       2     6    --    -5.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Moses Brown School     15- 5      10    -3    +++        
   428 H Niskayuna              12- 6       6     0    ++         
   412 A Agawam                 20- 6      14     6    +      3.62
   420 H Westwood, MA           14- 7       7     4    +      2.40
   503 A Minnechaug Regional    16- 7       9     5    +      3.77
   505 H New Canaan             12- 8       4     0    +          
   615 N Minnechaug Regional    15- 2      13     6    +      3.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.16 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.12 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.73 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   13.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3
/