Region = NY D  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Storrier         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4679489    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Homer                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 81.1)    10-11   
 409 A Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (18- 3, 98.6)     5-18   
 414 A Cazenovia              NY D  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 81.0)    15-13   
 418 H Homer                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 81.1)    14- 8   
 420 H Marcellus              NY D  Sec 3   (13- 5, 91.4)    12-15   
 424 H Westhill, NY           NY D  Sec 3   (12- 4, 93.1)     6-17   
 426 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   NY D  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 76.6)    12-11   
 428 A Cazenovia              NY D  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 81.0)    11-10   
 503 H Chittenango            NY D  Sec 3   ( 2-13, 67.5)    15- 3   
 504 A Tully                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 6- 9, 81.4)    14- 8   
 507 H Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.3)    15-16   
 510 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY D  Sec 3   ( 5-10, 75.8)    21-18   
 512 A Mexico                 NY D  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.0)    15- 5   
 514 H General Brown          NY D  Sec 3   (12- 5, 84.2)    16-13   
 516 H Tully                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 6- 9, 81.4)    15-14   
 522 A Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.3)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Homer                  10-11      -1     2    -     -3.56
   409 A Christian Brothers, NY  5-18     -13   -14           0.00
   414 A Cazenovia              15-13       2     2          -0.66
   418 H Homer                  14- 8       6     4           1.46
   420 H Marcellus              12-15      -3    -5    +      2.67
   424 H Westhill, NY            6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.54
   426 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   12-11       1     9    ---   -8.07
   428 A Cazenovia              11-10       1     2          -1.66
   503 H Chittenango            15- 3      12    18           0.00
   504 A Tully                  14- 8       6     2    +      3.69
   507 H Skaneateles            15-16      -1    -5    ++     4.60
   510 A Jordan-Elbridge        21-18       3     7    --    -4.86
   512 A Mexico                 15- 5      10    17           0.00
   514 H General Brown          16-13       3     1           1.51
   516 H Tully                  15-14       1     4    -     -3.29
   522 A Skaneateles             8-15      -7    -7           0.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   12-11       1     9    ---   -8.07
   510 A Jordan-Elbridge        21-18       3     7    --    -4.86
   402 A Homer                  10-11      -1     2    -     -3.56
   424 H Westhill, NY            6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.54
   516 H Tully                  15-14       1     4    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Skaneateles            15-16      -1    -5    ++     4.60
   420 H Marcellus              12-15      -3    -5    +      2.67
   504 A Tully                  14- 8       6     2    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.69 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.44 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/