Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Leah Bernal           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1556702    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 A Eden                   NY D  Sec 6   (12- 7, 82.9)     9-10   
 423 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 4, 88.4)     6- 9   
 424 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N NY    Martin  (14- 5, 88.3)     8-13   
 426 H Williamsville East     NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 82.5)     8-13   
 427 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.8)    10-14   
 430 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 82.9)     7-13   
 502 A Grand Island           NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 80.6)    10-15   
 503 H Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 83.3)    12-11   
 508 A Sacred Heart, Buffalo  NY    Martin  (13- 5, 88.7)    12-17   
 509 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 99.4)     5-26   
 511 A Lewiston-Porter        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 61.4)    14- 1   
 514 H Sweet Home             NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 75.0)    16- 7   
 516 A West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 83.1)     7- 8   
 517 H Springville Griffith   NY D  Sec 6   ( 5- 8, 73.6)    14- 8   
 521 H Sweet Home             NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 75.0)    15- 9   
 522 A Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 99.4)     6-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Eden                    9-10      -1    -4    +      3.60
   423 H East Aurora             6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.68
   424 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N  8-13      -5    -8    +      3.53
   426 H Williamsville East      8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.28
   427 A Amherst, NY            10-14      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   430 H Williamsville North     7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.89
   502 A Grand Island           10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.73
   503 H Williamsville South    12-11       1    -3    ++     4.51
   508 A Sacred Heart, Buffalo  12-17      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   509 H Lake Shore              5-26     -21   -19           0.00
   511 A Lewiston-Porter        14- 1      13    16           0.00
   514 H Sweet Home             16- 7       9     4    ++     4.21
   516 A West Seneca East        7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.81
   517 H Springville Griffith   14- 8       6     6          -0.11
   521 H Sweet Home             15- 9       6     4           1.21
   522 A Lake Shore              6-22     -16   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Williamsville East      8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.28
   430 H Williamsville North     7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.89
   502 A Grand Island           10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Amherst, NY            10-14      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   423 H East Aurora             6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.68
   503 H Williamsville South    12-11       1    -3    ++     4.51
   508 A Sacred Heart, Buffalo  12-17      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   514 H Sweet Home             16- 7       9     4    ++     4.21
   411 A Eden                    9-10      -1    -4    +      3.60
   424 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N  8-13      -5    -8    +      3.53
   516 A West Seneca East        7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.02 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.94 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/