Region = VA 4A South            
   Nickname = A Hawks                Coach  =   Matt Ellinghaus       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.7438660    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H James River            VA 6A South   ( 6- 9, 67.0)    14- 5   
 326 H Deep Run               VA 5A South   (10- 5, 83.8)     5-16   
 328 H Patrick Henry, Ashland VA 5A South   (10- 5, 74.4)    12-10   
 412 H Atlee                  VA 5A South   (15- 1, 91.7)     7-16   
 416 H Glen Allen             VA 5A South   ( 5- 7, 67.7)     8- 7   
 419 H Lee-Davis              VA 5A South   ( 4-10, 66.5)     8- 7   
 423 H Powhatan               VA 4A South   ( 7- 8, 67.1)    14- 4   
 426 A Patrick Henry, Ashland VA 5A South   (10- 5, 74.4)    15- 6   
 427 A Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-14, 61.4)    12- 8   
 501 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (14- 5, 84.5)     4-21   
 503 A Atlee                  VA 5A South   (15- 1, 91.7)     2-18   
 507 A Mills Godwin           VA 5A South   ( 9- 7, 75.9)     8-11   
 515 A Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   ( 8- 7, 76.7)     9-13   
 521 A Midlothian             VA 4A South   ( 9- 6, 75.9)    14-11   
 523 A Patrick Henry, Ashland VA 5A South   (10- 5, 74.4)    16- 8   
 529 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (14- 5, 84.5)     7-19   
 601 A Salem, VA              VA 4A South   (19- 2, 90.3)     0-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H James River            14- 5       9     7           1.36
   326 H Deep Run                5-16     -11    -9          -0.83
   328 H Patrick Henry, Ashland 12-10       2     0           1.75
   412 H Atlee                   7-16      -9   -17           1.00
   416 H Glen Allen              8- 7       1     6    --    -5.91
   419 H Lee-Davis               8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.13
   423 H Powhatan               14- 4      10     7    +      2.45
   426 A Patrick Henry, Ashland 15- 6       9    -1    +++   10.70
   427 A Charlottesville        12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   501 A Monticello, VA          4-21     -17   -11           0.00
   503 A Atlee                   2-18     -16   -19           0.00
   507 A Mills Godwin            8-11      -3    -3           0.23
   515 A Douglas Freeman         9-13      -4    -4           0.02
   521 A Midlothian             14-11       3    -3    +++    6.22
   523 A Patrick Henry, Ashland 16- 8       8    -1    +++    9.70
   529 A Monticello, VA          7-19     -12   -11           0.00
   601 A Salem, VA               0-21     -21   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Lee-Davis               8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.13
   427 A Charlottesville        12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   416 H Glen Allen              8- 7       1     6    --    -5.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Patrick Henry, Ashland 15- 6       9    -1    +++   10.70
   521 A Midlothian             14-11       3    -3    +++    6.22
   523 A Patrick Henry, Ashland 16- 8       8    -1    +++    9.70
   423 H Powhatan               14- 4      10     7    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.67 Local Power Rank...........    77
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.31 Local SOS Rank.............    61
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    88
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/