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Region = VA 5A North Nickname = A Eagles Coach = Richard DeSommaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.9251709 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 312 A Dominion VA 4A North (17- 2, 96.2) 9-10 316 A Loudoun Valley VA 4A North ( 4-11, 77.2) 14- 4 323 A Woodgrove VA 4A North (10- 6, 88.1) 14-13 403 A Heritage, VA VA 4A North ( 1-13, 68.8) 20-12 406 H Kettle Run VA 4A North (10- 6, 83.4) 11- 7 413 H Riverside, VA VA 4A North (18- 2, 96.1) 9-11 420 H Tuscarora, VA VA 5A North ( 6- 8, 77.0) 14- 2 425 N Potomac Falls VA 5A North (15- 7, 87.0) 14-10 426 A Briar Woods VA 5A North (10- 8, 84.1) 19- 8 430 A Patriot VA 6A North ( 7-11, 79.3) 13- 7 501 A Rock Ridge VA 5A North (10- 6, 85.9) 11-10 504 H Stone Bridge VA 5A North ( 7- 9, 81.4) 14- 7 508 A Broad Run VA 5A North ( 2-12, 69.8) 20- 8 511 A John Champe VA 5A North ( 5- 9, 73.5) 16- 2 515 N Broad Run VA 5A North ( 2-12, 69.8) 17- 5 517 N Briar Woods VA 5A North (10- 8, 84.1) 12-10 519 N Potomac Falls VA 5A North (15- 7, 87.0) 8- 9 522 N Wakefield HS, VA VA 5A North ( 6-11, 70.3) 15- 3 524 H Briar Woods VA 5A North (10- 8, 84.1) 11- 9 529 A Potomac Falls VA 5A North (15- 7, 87.0) 10-11 601 H Mountain View, VA VA 5A South (14- 7, 78.7) 13- 4 606 A Albemarle VA 5A South (12- 6, 83.8) 18- 9 609 H Atlee VA 5A South (15- 1, 91.7) 9- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Dominion 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.20 316 A Loudoun Valley 14- 4 10 12 0.00 323 A Woodgrove 14-13 1 1 -0.88 403 A Heritage, VA 20-12 8 21 - -2.00 406 H Kettle Run 11- 7 4 8 -- -4.55 413 H Riverside, VA 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.20 420 H Tuscarora, VA 14- 2 12 14 0.00 425 N Potomac Falls 14-10 4 3 0.09 426 A Briar Woods 19- 8 11 5 ++ 4.11 430 A Patriot 13- 7 6 10 -- -4.00 501 A Rock Ridge 11-10 1 4 - -3.12 504 H Stone Bridge 14- 7 7 10 - -3.00 508 A Broad Run 20- 8 12 20 0.00 511 A John Champe 16- 2 14 16 0.00 515 N Broad Run 17- 5 12 21 0.00 517 N Briar Woods 12-10 2 6 -- -4.86 519 N Potomac Falls 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.91 522 N Wakefield HS, VA 15- 3 12 20 0.00 524 H Briar Woods 11- 9 2 7 -- -5.83 529 A Potomac Falls 10-11 -1 2 - -3.94 601 H Mountain View, VA 13- 4 9 13 -1.00 606 A Albemarle 18- 9 9 6 + 2.84 609 H Atlee 9- 8 1 0 0.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Kettle Run 11- 7 4 8 -- -4.55 430 A Patriot 13- 7 6 10 -- -4.00 517 N Briar Woods 12-10 2 6 -- -4.86 519 N Potomac Falls 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.91 524 H Briar Woods 11- 9 2 7 -- -5.83 403 A Heritage, VA 20-12 8 21 - -2.00 501 A Rock Ridge 11-10 1 4 - -3.12 504 H Stone Bridge 14- 7 7 10 - -3.00 529 A Potomac Falls 10-11 -1 2 - -3.94OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Dominion 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.20 426 A Briar Woods 19- 8 11 5 ++ 4.11 413 H Riverside, VA 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.20 606 A Albemarle 18- 9 9 6 + 2.84/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.95 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 61.77 Local SOS Rank............. 40 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 47 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 19- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3