Region = VA 5A North            
   Nickname = A Eagles               Coach  =   Richard DeSomma       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.9251709    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Dominion               VA 4A North   (17- 2, 96.2)     9-10   
 316 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A North   ( 4-11, 77.2)    14- 4   
 323 A Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (10- 6, 88.1)    14-13   
 403 A Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 1-13, 68.8)    20-12   
 406 H Kettle Run             VA 4A North   (10- 6, 83.4)    11- 7   
 413 H Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (18- 2, 96.1)     9-11   
 420 H Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   ( 6- 8, 77.0)    14- 2   
 425 N Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (15- 7, 87.0)    14-10   
 426 A Briar Woods            VA 5A North   (10- 8, 84.1)    19- 8   
 430 A Patriot                VA 6A North   ( 7-11, 79.3)    13- 7   
 501 A Rock Ridge             VA 5A North   (10- 6, 85.9)    11-10   
 504 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   ( 7- 9, 81.4)    14- 7   
 508 A Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 2-12, 69.8)    20- 8   
 511 A John Champe            VA 5A North   ( 5- 9, 73.5)    16- 2   
 515 N Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 2-12, 69.8)    17- 5   
 517 N Briar Woods            VA 5A North   (10- 8, 84.1)    12-10   
 519 N Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (15- 7, 87.0)     8- 9   
 522 N Wakefield HS, VA       VA 5A North   ( 6-11, 70.3)    15- 3   
 524 H Briar Woods            VA 5A North   (10- 8, 84.1)    11- 9   
 529 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (15- 7, 87.0)    10-11   
 601 H Mountain View, VA      VA 5A South   (14- 7, 78.7)    13- 4   
 606 A Albemarle              VA 5A South   (12- 6, 83.8)    18- 9   
 609 H Atlee                  VA 5A South   (15- 1, 91.7)     9- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Dominion                9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.20
   316 A Loudoun Valley         14- 4      10    12           0.00
   323 A Woodgrove              14-13       1     1          -0.88
   403 A Heritage, VA           20-12       8    21    -     -2.00
   406 H Kettle Run             11- 7       4     8    --    -4.55
   413 H Riverside, VA           9-11      -2    -4    +      2.20
   420 H Tuscarora, VA          14- 2      12    14           0.00
   425 N Potomac Falls          14-10       4     3           0.09
   426 A Briar Woods            19- 8      11     5    ++     4.11
   430 A Patriot                13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   501 A Rock Ridge             11-10       1     4    -     -3.12
   504 H Stone Bridge           14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   508 A Broad Run              20- 8      12    20           0.00
   511 A John Champe            16- 2      14    16           0.00
   515 N Broad Run              17- 5      12    21           0.00
   517 N Briar Woods            12-10       2     6    --    -4.86
   519 N Potomac Falls           8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.91
   522 N Wakefield HS, VA       15- 3      12    20           0.00
   524 H Briar Woods            11- 9       2     7    --    -5.83
   529 A Potomac Falls          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.94
   601 H Mountain View, VA      13- 4       9    13          -1.00
   606 A Albemarle              18- 9       9     6    +      2.84
   609 H Atlee                   9- 8       1     0           0.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Kettle Run             11- 7       4     8    --    -4.55
   430 A Patriot                13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   517 N Briar Woods            12-10       2     6    --    -4.86
   519 N Potomac Falls           8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.91
   524 H Briar Woods            11- 9       2     7    --    -5.83
   403 A Heritage, VA           20-12       8    21    -     -2.00
   501 A Rock Ridge             11-10       1     4    -     -3.12
   504 H Stone Bridge           14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   529 A Potomac Falls          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Dominion                9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.20
   426 A Briar Woods            19- 8      11     5    ++     4.11
   413 H Riverside, VA           9-11      -2    -4    +      2.20
   606 A Albemarle              18- 9       9     6    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.95 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.77 Local SOS Rank.............    40
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/