Fluvanna County               1 -11


 
                                     Region = VA 4A South            
   Nickname = A Arsenal              Coach  =   Heath Hughes          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   64.7450943    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Patrick Henry, Ashland VA 5A South   (10- 5, 74.4)     2-16   
 323 H Patrick Henry, Ashland VA 5A South   (10- 5, 74.4)     2-17   
 330 A Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-14, 61.4)     3-12   
 410 H Powhatan               VA 4A South   ( 7- 8, 67.1)     3-17   
 411 A Covenant School        VA Pr LIS     ( 7- 8, 78.6)     3-19   
 413 A Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   ( 8- 6, 81.1)     4-18   
 417 H Albemarle              VA 5A South   (12- 6, 83.8)     2-17   
 424 H Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (14- 5, 84.5)     6-27   
 504 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (14- 5, 84.5)     2-19   
 511 A Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-14, 61.4)    12- 5   
 515 H Powhatan               VA 4A South   ( 7- 8, 67.1)     6-20   
 518 A Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-14, 61.4)     5-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Patrick Henry, Ashland  2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   323 H Patrick Henry, Ashland  2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   330 A Charlottesville         3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.62
   410 H Powhatan                3-17     -14    -9          -0.89
   411 A Covenant School         3-19     -16   -22           0.00
   413 A Western Albemarle       4-18     -14   -25           0.00
   417 H Albemarle               2-17     -15   -25           0.00
   424 H Monticello, VA          6-27     -21   -26           0.00
   504 A Monticello, VA          2-19     -17   -28           0.00
   511 A Charlottesville        12- 5       7    -5    +++   12.38
   515 H Powhatan                6-20     -14    -9          -0.89
   518 A Charlottesville         5-11      -6    -5          -0.62


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Charlottesville         3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.62


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Charlottesville        12- 5       7    -5    +++   12.38




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 57.01 Local Power Rank...........   136
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.29 Local SOS Rank.............    92
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............   131
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   132
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3


  
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