Region = MA    So D1            
   Nickname = A Dragons              Coach  =   Kelly Jurgens         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.1223297    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (14- 8, 92.4)    12-10   
 407 H Needham                MA    So D1   (14- 8, 92.8)     9-12   
 410 A Hanover, MA            MA    So D2   (14- 7, 83.8)    19- 1   
 412 H Plymouth South, MA     MA    So D1   (10- 9, 74.7)    19- 3   
 417 H Walpole                MA    East D1 (23- 1, 98.5)     7-18   
 424 A North Quincy           MA    So D1   ( 8-11, 70.7)    16- 0   
 426 A Quincy                 MA    So D1   ( 3-17, 65.6)    19- 1   
 428 A Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (11- 7, 85.6)    18- 5   
 501 H Plymouth North, MA     MA    So D1   ( 6-10, 75.9)    19- 7   
 503 H Whitman-Hanson Reg     MA    So D1   (10-10, 75.6)    18- 1   
 507 H Norwell                MA    So D2   (22- 3, 94.1)     9-12   
 508 H Pembroke, MA           MA    So D2   (12- 7, 81.4)    18- 5   
 511 H Cohasset               MA    So D2   (18- 3, 94.5)     8-18   
 517 A Scituate, MA           MA    So D2   (14- 6, 85.1)    14- 8   
 519 A Minnechaug Regional    MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.0)    10- 9   
 521 H Marshfield             MA    So D1   (10-11, 81.3)    15- 7   
 522 A Notre Dame, Hingham    MA    So D1   (22- 2, 99.9)     9-19   
 524 H Newton North           MA    East D1 ( 8-10, 78.5)    18- 1   
 529 H Silver Lake            MA    So D1   (12- 8, 80.8)    17- 2   
 530 A Hingham                MA    So D1   (11-11, 83.5)    13-10   
 604 H Silver Lake            MA    So D1   (12- 8, 80.8)    17- 3   
 608 H Old Rochester          MA    So D2   (21- 2, 90.8)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Westwood, MA           12-10       2     0           1.57
   407 H Needham                 9-12      -3     0    -     -3.10
   410 A Hanover, MA            19- 1      18     7    +      2.71
   412 H Plymouth South, MA     19- 3      16    18           0.00
   417 H Walpole                 7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.34
   424 A North Quincy           16- 0      16    20           0.00
   426 A Quincy                 19- 1      18    25           0.00
   428 A Westborough            18- 5      13     5    ++     4.50
   501 H Plymouth North, MA     19- 7      12    16           0.00
   503 H Whitman-Hanson Reg     18- 1      17    17           0.00
   507 H Norwell                 9-12      -3    -1          -1.75
   508 H Pembroke, MA           18- 5      13    11           0.00
   511 H Cohasset                8-18     -10    -1    ---   -8.38
   517 A Scituate, MA           14- 8       6     5           0.02
   519 A Minnechaug Regional    10- 9       1     1          -0.06
   521 H Marshfield             15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   522 A Notre Dame, Hingham     9-19     -10    -8          -1.21
   524 H Newton North           18- 1      17    14           0.00
   529 H Silver Lake            17- 2      15    12           0.00
   530 A Hingham                13-10       3     7    --    -4.60
   604 H Silver Lake            17- 3      14    12           0.00
   608 H Old Rochester          13-14      -1     2    -     -3.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Cohasset                8-18     -10    -1    ---   -8.38
   417 H Walpole                 7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.34
   530 A Hingham                13-10       3     7    --    -4.60
   407 H Needham                 9-12      -3     0    -     -3.10
   521 H Marshfield             15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   608 H Old Rochester          13-14      -1     2    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Westborough            18- 5      13     5    ++     4.50
   410 A Hanover, MA            19- 1      18     7    +      2.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.99 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.75 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/