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Region = PA AAA Nickname = A Cougars Coach = Christa SomitsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.7961121 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 323 H Garnet Valley PA AAA (21- 3, 97.5) 6-19 328 H Unionville PA AAA (24- 2, 99.9) 7-13 403 A Sun Valley-Northley PA AA ( 2-12, 65.9) 22- 3 405 H Downingtown West PA AAA (17- 7, 92.1) 10- 6 410 H Plymouth-Whitemarsh PA AAA (14- 5, 91.9) 7- 9 412 A West Chester Rustin PA AAA (11- 7, 87.6) 7- 6 414 H Methacton PA AAA (11- 9, 86.2) 13- 7 417 H Kennett Square PA AAA ( 3-13, 78.6) 16- 4 419 A West Chester East PA AAA ( 3-14, 75.8) 18- 3 420 H Central Bucks South PA AAA (14- 5, 87.8) 15- 6 424 A Coatesville Area PA AAA ( 3-14, 65.6) 19- 4 430 H Great Valley PA AAA ( 6-10, 83.3) 14- 8 501 A West Chester Henderson PA AAA (13- 6, 89.7) 11-10 503 A Avon Grove PA AAA ( 8-10, 78.6) 19- 6 505 H Central Bucks West PA AAA (16- 6, 91.1) 13- 8 507 A Villa Maria Acad, Malv PA AA (22- 2, 96.3) 6-12 508 A Oxford Area PA AAA ( 2-12, 66.3) 18- 6 510 H Bishop Shanahan PA AA (11- 8, 87.0) 16-10 517 H Central Bucks East PA AAA (14- 6, 88.8) 13- 6 519 N Springfield (DelCo) PA AAA (21- 5, 95.2) 6- 8 522 H Downingtown West PA AAA (17- 7, 92.1) 5-15 524 A Central Bucks West PA AAA (16- 6, 91.1) 11-10 o 529 A Garnet Valley PA AAA (21- 3, 97.5) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Garnet Valley 6-19 -13 -5 -- -4.38 328 H Unionville 7-13 -6 -7 1.97 403 A Sun Valley-Northley 22- 3 19 25 0.00 405 H Downingtown West 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.22 410 H Plymouth-Whitemarsh 7- 9 -2 0 -1.99 412 A West Chester Rustin 7- 6 1 3 - -2.33 414 H Methacton 13- 7 6 5 0.23 417 H Kennett Square 16- 4 12 13 0.00 419 A West Chester East 18- 3 15 15 0.00 420 H Central Bucks South 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.88 424 A Coatesville Area 19- 4 15 25 0.00 430 H Great Valley 14- 8 6 8 - -2.65 501 A West Chester Henderson 11-10 1 1 -0.24 503 A Avon Grove 19- 6 13 12 0.00 505 H Central Bucks West 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.13 507 A Villa Maria Acad, Malv 6-12 -6 -5 -0.59 508 A Oxford Area 18- 6 12 24 0.00 510 H Bishop Shanahan 16-10 6 4 1.03 517 H Central Bucks East 13- 6 7 3 + 3.88 519 N Springfield (DelCo) 6- 8 -2 -3 1.76 522 H Downingtown West 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.78 524 A Central Bucks West 11-10 o 1 0 1.13 529 A Garnet Valley 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.61UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 H Downingtown West 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.78 323 H Garnet Valley 6-19 -13 -5 -- -4.38 412 A West Chester Rustin 7- 6 1 3 - -2.33 430 H Great Valley 14- 8 6 8 - -2.65OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Downingtown West 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.22 420 H Central Bucks South 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.88 505 H Central Bucks West 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.13 529 A Garnet Valley 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.61 517 H Central Bucks East 13- 6 7 3 + 3.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.43 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 70.97 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 28 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7