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Region = NY A Sec 3 Nickname = Y Northstar Coach = Lloyd HamiltonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.1996384 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 327 H South Jefferson NY D Sec 3 (17- 4, 99.1) 5- 8 329 H Marcellus NY D Sec 3 (13- 5, 91.4) 13- 5 403 H Westhill, NY NY D Sec 3 (12- 4, 93.1) 6- 5 410 A Fayetteville-Manlius NY B Sec 3 (15- 4, 99.9) 9-14 412 H Liverpool NY A Sec 3 ( 8- 9, 91.5) 9- 7 416 H West Genesee NY A Sec 3 (13- 5, 97.8) 7- 4 420 A Pittsford NY A Sec 5 (16- 1, 99.9) 3- 9 423 H Baldwinsville NY A Sec 3 (13- 5, 97.6) 7- 9 425 A Vestal NY C Sec 4 (12- 5, 98.2) 9- 8 427 A Maryvale Prep MD IAAM A ( 9- 8, 86.7) 14-15 o 501 A Liverpool NY A Sec 3 ( 8- 9, 91.5) 13-10 503 A West Genesee NY A Sec 3 (13- 5, 97.8) 5-10 505 A Christian Brothers, NY NY A Sec 3 (18- 3, 98.6) 6-16 508 H Fayetteville-Manlius NY B Sec 3 (15- 4, 99.9) 9-12 510 A Baldwinsville NY A Sec 3 (13- 5, 97.6) 8- 7 516 H Skaneateles NY D Sec 3 (13- 6, 91.3) 8- 7 522 H Liverpool NY A Sec 3 ( 8- 9, 91.5) 8- 3 524 N West Genesee NY A Sec 3 (13- 5, 97.8) 5- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H South Jefferson 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.04 329 H Marcellus 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.25 403 H Westhill, NY 6- 5 1 0 0.04 410 A Fayetteville-Manlius 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.77 412 H Liverpool 9- 7 2 2 -0.63 416 H West Genesee 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.70 420 A Pittsford 3- 9 -6 -7 n/a 423 H Baldwinsville 7- 9 -2 -3 1.52 425 A Vestal 9- 8 1 -5 n/a 427 A Maryvale Prep 14-15 o -1 5 n/a 501 A Liverpool 13-10 3 0 + 2.35 503 A West Genesee 5-10 -5 -5 0.68 505 A Christian Brothers, NY 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.58 508 H Fayetteville-Manlius 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.79 510 A Baldwinsville 8- 7 1 -5 +++ 6.49 516 H Skaneateles 8- 7 1 2 -1.83 522 H Liverpool 8- 3 5 2 + 2.37 524 N West Genesee 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 A Maryvale Prep 14-15 o -1 5 --- 505 A Christian Brothers, NY 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H West Genesee 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.70 425 A Vestal 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 510 A Baldwinsville 8- 7 1 -5 +++ 6.49 329 H Marcellus 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.25 327 H South Jefferson 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.04 410 A Fayetteville-Manlius 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.77 501 A Liverpool 13-10 3 0 + 2.35 508 H Fayetteville-Manlius 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.79 522 H Liverpool 8- 3 5 2 + 2.37 524 N West Genesee 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.69/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.12 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 89.70 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7