Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Lloyd Hamilton        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.1996384    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H South Jefferson        NY D  Sec 3   (17- 4, 99.1)     5- 8   
 329 H Marcellus              NY D  Sec 3   (13- 5, 91.4)    13- 5   
 403 H Westhill, NY           NY D  Sec 3   (12- 4, 93.1)     6- 5   
 410 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY B  Sec 3   (15- 4, 99.9)     9-14   
 412 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 91.5)     9- 7   
 416 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 97.8)     7- 4   
 420 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (16- 1, 99.9)     3- 9   
 423 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 97.6)     7- 9   
 425 A Vestal                 NY C  Sec 4   (12- 5, 98.2)     9- 8   
 427 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 8, 86.7)    14-15  o
 501 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 91.5)    13-10   
 503 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 97.8)     5-10   
 505 A Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (18- 3, 98.6)     6-16   
 508 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY B  Sec 3   (15- 4, 99.9)     9-12   
 510 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 97.6)     8- 7   
 516 H Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.3)     8- 7   
 522 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 91.5)     8- 3   
 524 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (13- 5, 97.8)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H South Jefferson         5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.04
   329 H Marcellus              13- 5       8     2    ++     5.25
   403 H Westhill, NY            6- 5       1     0           0.04
   410 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9-14      -5    -7    +      2.77
   412 H Liverpool               9- 7       2     2          -0.63
   416 H West Genesee            7- 4       3    -3    +++    6.70
   420 A Pittsford               3- 9      -6    -7          n/a  
   423 H Baldwinsville           7- 9      -2    -3           1.52
   425 A Vestal                  9- 8       1    -5          n/a  
   427 A Maryvale Prep          14-15  o   -1     5          n/a  
   501 A Liverpool              13-10       3     0    +      2.35
   503 A West Genesee            5-10      -5    -5           0.68
   505 A Christian Brothers, NY  6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.58
   508 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9-12      -3    -5    +      2.79
   510 A Baldwinsville           8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.49
   516 H Skaneateles             8- 7       1     2          -1.83
   522 H Liverpool               8- 3       5     2    +      2.37
   524 N West Genesee            5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Maryvale Prep          14-15  o   -1     5    ---        
   505 A Christian Brothers, NY  6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H West Genesee            7- 4       3    -3    +++    6.70
   425 A Vestal                  9- 8       1    -5    +++        
   510 A Baldwinsville           8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.49
   329 H Marcellus              13- 5       8     2    ++     5.25
   327 H South Jefferson         5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.04
   410 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9-14      -5    -7    +      2.77
   501 A Liverpool              13-10       3     0    +      2.35
   508 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9-12      -3    -5    +      2.79
   522 H Liverpool               8- 3       5     2    +      2.37
   524 N West Genesee            5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.12 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 89.70 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/