Region = NY D  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Dave Baran            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   74.5357666    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   NY D  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 76.6)     9-19   
 410 A New Hartford           NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 73.7)     4- 9   
 412 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY D  Sec 3   ( 5-10, 75.8)     8-14   
 414 H Vernon-Verona-Sherill  NY D  Sec 3   ( 0-13, 59.6)    12- 5   
 417 H Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (13- 6, 91.3)     2-17   
 420 H Syracuse               NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-13, 70.5)     4- 9   
 430 A Homer                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 81.1)     6-18   
 501 H Westhill, NY           NY D  Sec 3   (12- 4, 93.1)     4-18   
 503 A LaFayette, NY          NY D  Sec 3   (10- 6, 84.7)     3-15   
 504 H Clinton, NY            NY D  Sec 3   (13- 5, 82.3)     2-16   
 508 H Cazenovia              NY D  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 81.0)     6-13   
 510 H Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (18- 3, 98.6)     3-17   
 512 A Marcellus              NY D  Sec 3   (13- 5, 91.4)     1-18   
 514 H Tully                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 6- 9, 81.4)     3-18   
 516 H Mexico                 NY D  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.0)     5- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes    9-19     -10    -8          -1.92
   410 A New Hartford            4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.12
   412 A Jordan-Elbridge         8-14      -6    -9    +      3.30
   414 H Vernon-Verona-Sherill  12- 5       7     8          -1.90
   417 H Skaneateles             2-17     -15   -22           0.00
   420 H Syracuse                4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.05
   430 A Homer                   6-18     -12   -14           0.00
   501 H Westhill, NY            4-18     -14   -24           0.00
   503 A LaFayette, NY           3-15     -12   -18           0.00
   504 H Clinton, NY             2-16     -14   -13           0.00
   508 H Cazenovia               6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   510 H Christian Brothers, NY  3-17     -14   -30           0.00
   512 A Marcellus               1-18     -17   -24           0.00
   514 H Tully                   3-18     -15   -12           0.00
   516 H Mexico                  5- 3       2     2          -0.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Syracuse                4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A New Hartford            4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.12
   412 A Jordan-Elbridge         8-14      -6    -9    +      3.30
   508 H Cazenovia               6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.54 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.86 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/