Montgomery Blair              1 -11


 
                                     Region = MD    4A               
   Nickname = D Blazers              Coach  =   Mike Horne            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   64.8616943    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A      (12- 2, 81.8)     1-15   
 406 H Wheaton, MD            MD    4A      ( 2- 9, 57.8)     2- 5   
 409 H Paint Branch           MD    4A      ( 5- 8, 64.5)     3-15   
 411 A Sherwood, MD           MD    4A      (13- 2, 87.2)     1-20   
 413 A Springbrook            MD    4A      ( 9- 6, 71.4)     2- 6   
 416 H Northwood, MD          MD    4A      ( 0-10, 55.0)    12- 7   
 417 A Clarksburg             MD    4A      ( 5- 6, 63.3)     5- 8   
 420 H Quince Orchard         MD    4A      ( 4- 8, 67.8)     9-19   
 427 A Blake, MD              MD    3A      ( 7- 6, 69.4)     4-15   
 430 H Wootton                MD    4A      ( 6- 8, 68.3)     0- 8   
 503 A Poolesville            MD    2A      (11- 3, 78.4)     1-14   
 509 A Paint Branch           MD    4A      ( 5- 8, 64.5)     5-16   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Walter Johnson          1-15     -14   -26           0.00
   406 H Wheaton, MD             2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.76
   409 H Paint Branch            3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.11
   411 A Sherwood, MD            1-20     -19   -31           0.00
   413 A Springbrook             2- 6      -4   -16    +++    6.00
   416 H Northwood, MD          12- 7       5     2    +      2.37
   417 A Clarksburg              5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.89
   420 H Quince Orchard          9-19     -10   -10           0.00
   427 A Blake, MD               4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   430 H Wootton                 0- 8      -8   -10    +      2.00
   503 A Poolesville             1-14     -13   -22           0.00
   509 A Paint Branch            5-16     -11    -9          -0.95


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Wheaton, MD             2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.76
   409 H Paint Branch            3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.11


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Springbrook             2- 6      -4   -16    +++    6.00
   417 A Clarksburg              5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.89
   416 H Northwood, MD          12- 7       5     2    +      2.37
   430 H Wootton                 0- 8      -8   -10    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 56.52 Local Power Rank...........   136
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.01 Local SOS Rank.............   101
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............   143
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    95
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   156
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -19.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.7


  
/