Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Teresa Hayes          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.0882492    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   (13- 5, 99.4)     0-23   
 405 H Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 87.4)     7-14   
 407 H Columbia, NY           NY B  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 81.6)     5-18   
 410 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-14, 72.1)     8- 7   
 413 H Hoosick Falls          NY D  Sec 2   ( 5- 9, 73.2)     9-11   
 418 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   (12- 4, 83.1)     4-15   
 419 H Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (11- 7, 96.9)     1-22   
 419 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 1- 9, 66.3)     4-10   
 424 A Saratoga Springs, NY   NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 99.5)     1-16   
 426 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (10- 7, 93.7)     3-18   
 501 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L NY C  Sec 2   (12- 7, 90.0)     0-16   
 503 H Averill Park           NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-11, 80.8)     2-15   
 505 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 0-10, 60.6)    12- 6   
 507 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 1- 9, 66.3)    14- 5   
 508 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (11- 6, 96.7)     3-25   
 510 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 8, 86.9)     5-21   
 512 H Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 87.4)     3-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Bethlehem               0-23     -23   -30           0.00
   405 H Ballston Spa            7-14      -7   -16    +      3.00
   407 H Columbia, NY            5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   410 H Colonie                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.48
   413 H Hoosick Falls           9-11      -2    -2           0.53
   418 H Scotia-Glenville        4-15     -11   -12           0.00
   419 H Niskayuna               1-22     -21   -26           0.00
   419 A Schenectady             4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.98
   424 A Saratoga Springs, NY    1-16     -15   -30           0.00
   426 H Guilderland             3-18     -15   -23           0.00
   501 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L  0-16     -16   -20           0.00
   503 H Averill Park            2-15     -13   -10           0.00
   505 A Amsterdam              12- 6       6     8    -     -2.69
   507 H Schenectady            14- 5       9     4    ++     4.63
   508 H Shenendehowa            3-25     -22   -26           0.00
   510 A Shaker                  5-21     -16   -17           0.00
   512 H Ballston Spa            3-19     -16   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Schenectady             4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.98
   505 A Amsterdam              12- 6       6     8    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Schenectady            14- 5       9     4    ++     4.63
   405 H Ballston Spa            7-14      -7   -16    +      3.00
   410 H Colonie                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.94 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.37 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -20.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -18.0
/