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Region = VA 5A South Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Brittany McElhenyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.4712677 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Douglas Freeman VA 5A South ( 8- 7, 76.7) 11- 3 315 H St. Catherine's, VA VA Pr LIS (15- 6, 94.5) 7-12 323 H Mills Godwin VA 5A South ( 9- 7, 75.9) 12- 8 328 A Powhatan VA 4A South ( 7- 8, 67.1) 17- 3 329 A Deep Run VA 5A South (10- 5, 83.8) 12-13 410 H Western Albemarle VA 4A South ( 8- 6, 81.1) 13-12 413 A Monticello, VA VA 4A South (14- 5, 84.5) 14-11 416 A Salem, VA VA 4A South (19- 2, 90.3) 8- 9 417 A Fluvanna County VA 4A South ( 1-11, 57.0) 17- 2 424 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A South (10- 5, 83.3) 6-11 427 H Collegiate School VA Pr LIS (11-10, 92.6) 7-17 501 A Western Albemarle VA 4A South ( 8- 6, 81.1) 14- 6 508 H Monticello, VA VA 4A South (14- 5, 84.5) 16-13 515 H Charlottesville VA 4A South ( 2-14, 61.4) 12- 1 522 H Stafford VA 5A South ( 4-11, 65.7) 19- 7 524 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A South (10- 5, 83.3) 15- 9 530 H Mountain View, VA VA 5A South (14- 7, 78.7) 15-10 606 H Freedom, South Riding VA 5A North (19- 4, 90.9) 9-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Douglas Freeman 11- 3 8 6 1.88 315 H St. Catherine's, VA 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.68 323 H Mills Godwin 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.86 328 A Powhatan 17- 3 14 15 0.00 329 A Deep Run 12-13 -1 0 -0.03 410 H Western Albemarle 13-12 1 3 - -2.68 413 A Monticello, VA 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.63 416 A Salem, VA 8- 9 -1 -7 +++ 6.42 417 A Fluvanna County 17- 2 15 25 0.00 424 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.50 427 H Collegiate School 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.15 501 A Western Albemarle 14- 6 8 1 +++ 6.26 508 H Monticello, VA 16-13 3 0 + 2.69 515 H Charlottesville 12- 1 11 23 0.00 522 H Stafford 19- 7 12 19 0.00 524 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 15- 9 6 0 +++ 6.44 530 H Mountain View, VA 15-10 5 6 -1.10 606 H Freedom, South Riding 9-18 -9 -6 - -2.84UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.50 323 H Mills Godwin 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.86 410 H Western Albemarle 13-12 1 3 - -2.68 427 H Collegiate School 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.15 606 H Freedom, South Riding 9-18 -9 -6 - -2.84OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Salem, VA 8- 9 -1 -7 +++ 6.42 501 A Western Albemarle 14- 6 8 1 +++ 6.26 524 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 15- 9 6 0 +++ 6.44 315 H St. Catherine's, VA 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.68 413 A Monticello, VA 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.63 508 H Monticello, VA 16-13 3 0 + 2.69/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.81 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 58.26 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7