Region = VA 5A South            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Brittany McElheny     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4712677    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   ( 8- 7, 76.7)    11- 3   
 315 H St. Catherine's, VA    VA Pr LIS     (15- 6, 94.5)     7-12   
 323 H Mills Godwin           VA 5A South   ( 9- 7, 75.9)    12- 8   
 328 A Powhatan               VA 4A South   ( 7- 8, 67.1)    17- 3   
 329 A Deep Run               VA 5A South   (10- 5, 83.8)    12-13   
 410 H Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   ( 8- 6, 81.1)    13-12   
 413 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (14- 5, 84.5)    14-11   
 416 A Salem, VA              VA 4A South   (19- 2, 90.3)     8- 9   
 417 A Fluvanna County        VA 4A South   ( 1-11, 57.0)    17- 2   
 424 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A South   (10- 5, 83.3)     6-11   
 427 H Collegiate School      VA Pr LIS     (11-10, 92.6)     7-17   
 501 A Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   ( 8- 6, 81.1)    14- 6   
 508 H Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (14- 5, 84.5)    16-13   
 515 H Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-14, 61.4)    12- 1   
 522 H Stafford               VA 5A South   ( 4-11, 65.7)    19- 7   
 524 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A South   (10- 5, 83.3)    15- 9   
 530 H Mountain View, VA      VA 5A South   (14- 7, 78.7)    15-10   
 606 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A North   (19- 4, 90.9)     9-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Douglas Freeman        11- 3       8     6           1.88
   315 H St. Catherine's, VA     7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.68
   323 H Mills Godwin           12- 8       4     8    --    -4.86
   328 A Powhatan               17- 3      14    15           0.00
   329 A Deep Run               12-13      -1     0          -0.03
   410 H Western Albemarle      13-12       1     3    -     -2.68
   413 A Monticello, VA         14-11       3    -1    ++     4.63
   416 A Salem, VA               8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.42
   417 A Fluvanna County        17- 2      15    25           0.00
   424 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke  6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.50
   427 H Collegiate School       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.15
   501 A Western Albemarle      14- 6       8     1    +++    6.26
   508 H Monticello, VA         16-13       3     0    +      2.69
   515 H Charlottesville        12- 1      11    23           0.00
   522 H Stafford               19- 7      12    19           0.00
   524 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 15- 9       6     0    +++    6.44
   530 H Mountain View, VA      15-10       5     6          -1.10
   606 H Freedom, South Riding   9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke  6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.50
   323 H Mills Godwin           12- 8       4     8    --    -4.86
   410 H Western Albemarle      13-12       1     3    -     -2.68
   427 H Collegiate School       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.15
   606 H Freedom, South Riding   9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Salem, VA               8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.42
   501 A Western Albemarle      14- 6       8     1    +++    6.26
   524 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 15- 9       6     0    +++    6.44
   315 H St. Catherine's, VA     7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.68
   413 A Monticello, VA         14-11       3    -1    ++     4.63
   508 H Monticello, VA         16-13       3     0    +      2.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.81 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.26 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/