girls probabilites for 49
 
 

2017 girls NJ Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Oak Knoll School 21 5 5 3 4 4 3 4 11 7.00 2 Summit, NJ 19 3 4 4 3 5 4 3 12 12.00 3 Moorestown 20 3 3 2 6 1 8 5 14 12.00 4 Bernards 20 4 8 27 7 10 1 8 19 0.10 5 Lenape 15 2 6 11 5 6 11 7 24 0.10 6 Glen Ridge 17 4 7 25 8 7 14 9 30 2.00 7 Freehold Townshi 20 3 45 100 15 14 6 11 31 0.10 8 Eastern, NJ 14 6 14 10 12 9 2 25 36 0.10 9 Haddonfield 18 3 12 62 10 12 16 10 38 0.10 10 Ridgewood 21 1 1 1 2 2 34 2 38 39.00 11 Morristown 16 6 10 17 14 15 12 19 46 0.10 12 Middle Township 18 3 15 71 13 18 20 12 50 0.10 13 Rumson-Fair Have 21 3 11 58 9 8 39 6 53 0.10 14 Seneca, NJ 14 5 13 32 23 11 21 24 56 0.10 15 Hillsborough, NJ 14 4 22 34 18 25 19 13 57 0.10 16 Chatham 13 7 16 14 21 29 9 23 61 0.10 17 Bridgewater-Rari 22 1 2 5 1 3 60 1 64 28.00 18 Rancocas Valley 15 7 42 45 39 26 7 38 71 0.10 19 Cherokee, NJ 11 7 27 21 29 32 5 39 76 0.10 20 Hunterdon Centra 14 7 23 18 24 17 36 26 79 0.10 21 Clearview Region 11 7 17 20 37 23 17 40 80 0.10 22 Ridge, NJ 12 9 29 7 35 21 26 33 80 0.10 23 Red Bank Catholi 18 4 37 83 27 19 49 16 84 0.10 24 Camden Catholic 17 3 43 98 20 28 40 18 86 0.10 25 Northern Highlan 13 8 24 22 38 13 22 52 87 0.10 26 Saddle River Day 13 9 26 12 51 31 13 46 90 0.10 27 Immaculate Heart 11 8 25 16 52 30 15 50 95 0.10 28 Ocean City 17 3 18 57 11 22 64 14 100 0.10 29 Westfield, NJ 9 8 30 6 36 34 24 47 105 0.10 30 Holy Cross, NJ 13 5 39 80 42 36 30 41 107 0.10 31 Montclair HS 11 7 31 29 43 37 33 45 115 0.10 32 Sparta 18 3 9 43 17 20 83 17 120 0.10 33 Lakeland Regiona 15 4 52 99 31 44 52 29 125 0.10 34 Roxbury 15 6 48 46 30 39 42 44 125 0.10 35 Allentown, NJ 13 2 20 69 19 16 90 21 127 0.10 36 Mainland Regiona 13 6 47 86 48 55 31 42 128 0.10 37 Ramapo 15 6 19 35 26 24 72 32 128 0.10 38 Manasquan 14 6 57 74 55 33 68 30 131 0.10 39 Point Pleasant B 16 3 73 181 25 54 62 22 138 0.10 40 Shore Regional 13 8 61 82 75 62 18 64 144 0.10 41 Wayne Valley 13 4 64 122 40 42 73 31 146 0.10 42 Hopewell Valley 12 9 35 31 62 35 63 55 153 0.10 43 Notre Dame, NJ 15 6 32 37 32 27 101 28 156 0.10 44 Mendham 10 10 28 15 69 41 25 91 157 0.10 45 Verona, NJ 12 7 44 40 45 53 47 57 157 0.10 46 Mountain Lakes 9 10 34 13 49 50 37 71 158 0.10 47 West Deptford 11 9 84 56 84 58 28 83 169 0.10 48 Mahwah 8 12 56 19 107 40 10 122 172 0.10 49 Mt. St. Mary SG, 18 3 21 111 22 51 102 20 173 0.10 50 Toms River South 15 6 98 167 56 80 44 49 173 0.10 51 New Providence 12 5 46 67 33 60 79 35 174 0.10 52 Pingry School 12 7 40 26 61 38 84 54 176 0.10 53 Ocean Township 13 8 87 114 89 70 35 73 178 0.10 54 Holmdel 14 6 50 101 46 59 92 34 185 0.10 55 Shawnee 7 13 33 8 110 46 23 118 187 0.10 56 Lacey Township 10 6 109 145 58 74 55 61 190 0.10 57 Cherry Hill West 10 7 85 73 67 66 61 65 192 0.10 58 Washington Towns 8 10 49 24 77 52 32 108 192 0.10 59 Westwood, NJ 13 7 88 119 66 61 56 76 193 0.10 60 Delran 13 7 81 127 71 73 51 70 194 0.10 61 Pascack Hills 17 2 51 166 16 49 132 15 196 0.10 62 Haddon Township 11 9 92 89 106 68 41 90 199 0.10 63 Kingsway 10 9 54 41 73 57 57 87 201 0.10 64 North Hunterdon 9 10 60 36 98 72 27 103 202 0.10 65 Bishop Eustace P 9 8 77 87 91 76 43 92 211 0.10 66 Randolph, NJ 9 5 36 38 50 47 104 60 211 0.10 67 Red Bank Regiona 11 6 82 133 70 75 75 63 213 0.10 68 Indian Hills, NJ 14 6 38 60 53 43 117 56 216 0.10 69 Ramsey, NJ 10 7 76 108 79 67 65 89 221 0.10 70 Livingston 15 6 68 112 47 64 112 48 224 0.10 71 Newark Academy, 14 5 71 131 34 65 124 36 225 0.10 72 Pope John XXIII, 10 10 72 44 123 63 29 133 225 0.10 73 Princeton HS 14 8 41 49 96 45 109 81 235 0.10 74 Central Regional 12 4 91 149 41 48 157 37 242 0.10 75 Donovan Catholic 9 7 121 164 86 100 59 84 243 0.10 76 Pascack Valley 8 7 70 75 90 77 70 96 243 0.10 77 Howell, NJ 9 8 125 132 113 106 53 86 245 0.10 78 Holy Angels Acad 9 8 74 47 88 56 106 85 247 0.10 79 Caldwell 11 9 66 61 99 81 58 110 249 0.10 80 West Essex 9 11 53 33 129 79 50 132 261 0.10 81 Old Bridge 9 5 107 129 59 71 133 59 263 0.10 82 Delaware Valley, 10 7 58 63 72 102 93 69 264 0.10 83 North Brunswick 15 5 63 165 44 93 129 43 265 0.10 84 Jefferson Townsh 10 7 90 116 63 87 115 66 268 0.10 85 River Dell 11 8 103 135 102 96 76 97 269 0.10 86 Lower Cape May 12 5 99 157 54 95 127 51 273 0.10 87 Colts Neck 9 7 89 124 85 83 119 74 276 0.10 88 Robbinsville 7 11 118 42 125 78 94 105 277 0.10 89 Watchung Hills 2 13 97 9 158 84 38 158 280 0.10 90 West Morris Cent 6 11 59 23 117 91 46 143 280 0.10 91 Millville 10 8 110 121 108 111 85 98 294 0.10 92 Marlboro, NJ 11 8 83 102 68 69 176 53 298 0.10 93 Egg Harbor Twp 8 8 106 90 105 108 81 111 300 0.10 94 Montgomery, NJ 4 13 86 28 177 94 45 169 308 0.10 95 Mt. St. Dominic 10 7 96 141 83 103 121 88 312 0.10 96 Montclair Kimber 11 11 75 66 144 92 82 142 316 0.10 97 West Milford Tow 8 9 124 140 136 107 74 136 317 0.10 98 Mount Olive 7 8 80 48 94 101 105 112 318 0.10 99 Park Regional 9 5 127 186 60 116 141 62 319 0.10 100 Glen Rock 10 8 79 78 100 82 137 101 320 0.10 101 Somerville 9 10 62 52 139 98 96 126 320 0.10 102 Wayne Hills 8 9 122 146 135 115 71 135 321 0.10 103 Morris Catholic 9 9 69 53 101 104 97 123 324 0.10 104 Monroe Township 13 6 78 143 64 85 174 67 326 0.10 105 West Windsor-PB 7 11 111 68 154 110 66 150 326 0.10 106 Southern Regiona 11 7 113 162 80 99 149 82 330 0.10 107 Park Ridge-Emers 12 6 108 202 65 124 140 68 332 0.10 108 Lawrence HS, NJ 10 6 137 203 57 88 189 58 335 0.10 109 Kinnelon 7 11 95 54 152 109 67 160 336 0.10 110 NV-Demarest 8 7 129 160 95 118 123 95 336 0.10 111 Wall Township 6 12 136 106 179 119 54 166 339 0.10 112 Kent Place SG 3 12 94 30 133 120 78 145 343 0.10 113 Madison, NJ 8 9 65 51 120 112 110 121 343 0.10 114 Morris Knolls 11 9 55 50 92 86 155 102 343 0.10 115 Brick Memorial 9 8 130 179 112 129 111 109 349 0.10 116 Middletown South 7 12 145 113 165 133 48 168 349 0.10 117 NV-Old Tappan 10 8 133 185 109 125 122 104 351 0.10 118 Northern Burling 8 8 120 147 121 123 114 116 353 0.10 119 Cinnaminson 7 7 123 128 97 113 151 93 357 0.10 120 Fair Lawn 9 7 128 144 87 97 183 80 360 0.10 121 Morristown-Beard 9 8 67 70 93 121 146 94 361 0.10 122 Toms River North 6 10 152 153 153 135 77 149 361 0.10 123 Jackson Memorial 7 9 146 178 138 136 89 138 363 0.10 124 Williamstown 9 10 93 76 127 89 153 124 366 0.10 125 South Brunswick, 8 7 102 172 76 130 172 75 377 0.10 126 West Windsor-PB 9 11 131 95 132 90 170 127 387 0.10 127 Collingswood 10 11 117 104 148 105 142 144 391 0.10 128 Moorestown Frien 7 10 141 97 74 151 168 72 391 0.10 129 Steinert (Ham. E 6 6 163 196 81 127 185 79 391 0.10 130 St. Rose 4 12 151 85 178 142 91 165 398 0.10 131 Jackson Liberty, 9 7 115 173 82 114 208 78 400 0.10 132 Cherry Hill East 5 15 144 64 200 131 69 202 402 0.10 133 Voorhees 7 9 114 96 141 140 136 131 407 0.10 134 Absegami 6 12 157 136 175 148 88 174 410 0.10 135 Saddle Brook 8 9 164 188 134 147 130 134 411 0.10 136 Union Catholic 4 7 171 161 115 144 158 114 416 0.10 137 Waldwick 7 9 140 168 142 146 131 140 417 0.10 138 New Egypt 4 13 176 94 195 143 80 196 419 0.10 139 Woodstown 9 8 116 156 118 128 177 115 420 0.10 140 St. John Vianney 6 9 139 125 140 157 134 130 421 0.10 141 Hightstown 8 9 126 107 126 117 188 120 425 0.10 142 Vernon Township 11 8 105 110 116 132 187 107 426 0.10 143 Phillipsburg 1 14 153 39 169 161 95 171 427 0.10 144 Governor Livings 9 10 101 103 146 126 160 146 432 0.10 145 Clifton 7 8 160 195 124 152 165 119 436 0.10 146 Kittatinny Regio 7 10 134 105 119 134 164 139 437 0.10 147 St. Elizabeth Ac 10 8 143 200 111 153 178 106 437 0.10 148 Atlantic City 6 12 162 139 176 164 99 175 438 0.10 149 Paul VI, NJ 7 11 159 150 161 149 128 161 438 0.10 150 Paramus HS 3 13 147 81 196 159 87 198 444 0.10 151 Dwight-Englewood 5 13 165 158 191 160 100 191 451 0.10 152 Holy Spirit 6 13 169 151 186 168 98 185 451 0.10 153 Cranford 6 11 112 79 151 141 161 153 455 0.10 154 Montville Townsh 5 11 119 59 160 137 154 164 455 0.10 155 Millburn 3 14 155 72 202 167 86 203 456 0.10 156 Pequannock Towns 6 10 104 65 145 122 182 152 456 0.10 157 Manalapan 3 12 174 123 182 162 118 178 458 0.10 158 Parsippany Hills 9 8 148 192 114 165 180 113 458 0.10 159 Gateway Regional 5 12 170 142 172 166 126 167 459 0.10 160 Scotch Plains-Fa 4 11 142 77 167 139 152 172 463 0.10 161 Pennsauken 7 10 149 183 149 171 147 148 466 0.10 162 Barnegat Townshi 9 9 150 191 130 138 205 128 471 0.10 163 Monmouth Regiona 4 10 172 126 157 155 162 155 472 0.10 164 Gill St Bernard' 7 12 135 91 162 145 166 162 473 0.10 165 Hamilton West 4 9 192 204 131 173 171 129 473 0.10 166 Middletown North 3 12 167 117 183 156 138 179 473 0.10 167 East Brunswick 4 13 181 154 194 174 113 195 482 0.10 168 Oakcrest, NJ 1 12 186 118 188 180 116 186 482 0.10 169 Immaculata, NJ 7 10 100 88 137 150 196 137 483 0.10 170 Sterling 6 15 161 130 204 163 120 201 484 0.10 171 Edison, NJ 4 10 178 174 156 175 159 156 490 0.10 172 Passaic Valley 3 15 183 159 208 177 107 208 492 0.10 173 Morris Hills 5 12 156 148 180 172 139 183 494 0.10 174 Passaic County T 3 11 187 176 168 178 143 173 494 0.10 175 Highland Regiona 2 5 206 210 78 207 211 77 495 0.10 176 Long Branch 1 16 188 120 211 182 108 211 501 0.10 177 Ewing Township 5 8 184 208 128 181 197 125 503 0.10 178 Bergen Tech 7 12 180 201 171 185 144 176 505 0.10 179 Brick Township 1 15 198 163 209 193 103 209 505 0.10 180 Cedar Creek 4 11 173 137 164 169 175 163 507 0.10 181 Nottingham (Ham. 3 7 202 209 122 192 198 117 507 0.10 182 Hackettstown 7 11 175 199 159 184 167 159 510 0.10 183 Columbia, NJ 4 14 132 55 190 158 163 194 515 0.10 184 Manchester Towns 4 14 195 190 203 186 125 204 515 0.10 185 Timber Creek, NJ 1 6 199 212 103 212 210 99 521 0.10 186 Lenape Valley 7 11 154 169 155 179 190 154 523 0.10 187 Triton, NJ 1 6 200 211 104 211 212 100 523 0.10 188 Villa Walsh Acad 7 12 138 115 170 154 192 181 527 0.10 189 South Plainfield 6 13 182 171 193 187 148 193 528 0.10 190 Trinity Hall 4 13 168 92 163 170 201 157 528 0.10 191 Rutgers Prep 4 10 166 109 147 191 193 147 531 0.10 192 High Point Regio 2 11 177 134 173 183 173 177 533 0.10 193 Tenafly 2 12 203 182 184 197 156 187 540 0.10 194 Cedar Grove 3 17 189 180 212 200 135 212 547 0.10 195 DePaul Catholic 0 14 205 152 207 195 145 207 547 0.10 196 Toms River East 1 14 191 177 206 199 150 206 555 0.10 197 Neptune 2 13 179 138 201 176 191 189 556 0.10 198 Hoboken 1 8 210 207 143 209 209 141 559 0.10 199 Bishop Ahr 1 9 211 189 150 203 207 151 561 0.10 200 Paramus Catholic 4 11 193 206 166 196 204 170 570 0.10 201 Ranney School 0 13 185 84 185 194 194 182 570 0.10 202 Parsippany 1 12 204 187 189 201 181 190 572 0.10 203 Winslow, NJ 4 12 194 184 181 189 200 184 573 0.10 204 OLMA, NJ 2 11 197 193 174 204 195 180 579 0.10 205 J.P. Stevens 1 12 207 197 187 206 186 188 580 0.10 206 Boonton 2 13 201 198 199 202 179 200 581 0.10 207 Pinelands Region 0 15 208 155 210 188 184 210 582 0.10 208 Warren Hills 3 14 158 93 198 190 199 199 588 0.10 209 Burlington City 1 17 212 194 213 208 169 213 590 0.10 210 Gloucester Catho 3 13 196 175 197 198 202 197 597 0.10 211 Eastern Christia 0 12 209 205 192 210 203 192 605 0.10 212 North Warren, NJ 1 14 190 170 205 205 206 205 616 0.10 213 Maple Shade 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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