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Region = VA 6A North Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Crystal (Morgan) FraseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.2269287 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Langley VA 6A North (21- 1, 99.9) 3-17 320 H Atlee VA 5A South (15- 4, 86.3) 17- 7 322 A Chantilly VA 6A North ( 9- 6, 87.7) 8- 9 o 323 A George Mason VA 4A North (18- 2, 94.6) 16-21 328 A South Lakes VA 6A North ( 3- 9, 80.3) 16-12 330 H Hayfield VA 6A North ( 2-10, 69.8) 16- 3 404 H James Madison, VA VA 6A North (13- 4, 94.0) 13-18 406 A Washington-Lee VA 6A North ( 7- 8, 77.3) 18- 5 418 H Briar Woods VA 5A North ( 6- 8, 76.3) 19- 8 420 H Oakton VA 6A North (10- 7, 92.3) 8-18 425 A McLean, VA VA 6A North (10- 4, 90.1) 13-14 o 427 A Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 6-10, 76.2) 13-11 428 H Fairfax VA 6A North ( 3- 9, 72.7) 17- 4 502 A South County, Lorton VA 6A North (10- 5, 90.8) 13-14 504 H Washington-Lee VA 6A North ( 7- 8, 77.3) 18- 4 510 N Langley VA 6A North (21- 1, 99.9) 5-19 516 A Robinson Secondary, VA VA 6A North (18- 5, 97.9) 9-21PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Langley 3-17 -14 -12 0.00 320 H Atlee 17- 7 10 0 +++ 9.16 322 A Chantilly 8- 9 o -1 -2 1.87 323 A George Mason 16-21 -5 -9 ++ 4.73 328 A South Lakes 16-12 4 4 -0.56 330 H Hayfield 16- 3 13 17 0.00 404 H James Madison, VA 13-18 -5 -6 1.87 406 A Washington-Lee 18- 5 13 7 + 2.45 418 H Briar Woods 19- 8 11 10 0.00 420 H Oakton 8-18 -10 -5 -- -4.91 425 A McLean, VA 13-14 o -1 -5 ++ 4.18 427 A Bishop O'Connell 13-11 2 8 n/a 428 H Fairfax 17- 4 13 14 0.00 502 A South County, Lorton 13-14 -1 -5 ++ 4.88 504 H Washington-Lee 18- 4 14 9 0.15 510 N Langley 5-19 -14 -13 0.00 516 A Robinson Secondary, VA 9-21 -12 -13 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 A Bishop O'Connell 13-11 2 8 --- 420 H Oakton 8-18 -10 -5 -- -4.91OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Atlee 17- 7 10 0 +++ 9.16 323 A George Mason 16-21 -5 -9 ++ 4.73 425 A McLean, VA 13-14 o -1 -5 ++ 4.18 502 A South County, Lorton 13-14 -1 -5 ++ 4.88 406 A Washington-Lee 18- 5 13 7 + 2.45/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.03 Local Power Rank........... 23 Local SOS Rating......... 70.36 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 36 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 145 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 54 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0