Region = VA 6A North            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Crystal (Morgan) Frase

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2269287    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H Langley                VA 6A North   (21- 1, 99.9)     3-17   
 320 H Atlee                  VA 5A South   (15- 4, 86.3)    17- 7   
 322 A Chantilly              VA 6A North   ( 9- 6, 87.7)     8- 9  o
 323 A George Mason           VA 4A North   (18- 2, 94.6)    16-21   
 328 A South Lakes            VA 6A North   ( 3- 9, 80.3)    16-12   
 330 H Hayfield               VA 6A North   ( 2-10, 69.8)    16- 3   
 404 H James Madison, VA      VA 6A North   (13- 4, 94.0)    13-18   
 406 A Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   ( 7- 8, 77.3)    18- 5   
 418 H Briar Woods            VA 5A North   ( 6- 8, 76.3)    19- 8   
 420 H Oakton                 VA 6A North   (10- 7, 92.3)     8-18   
 425 A McLean, VA             VA 6A North   (10- 4, 90.1)    13-14  o
 427 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 6-10, 76.2)    13-11   
 428 H Fairfax                VA 6A North   ( 3- 9, 72.7)    17- 4   
 502 A South County, Lorton   VA 6A North   (10- 5, 90.8)    13-14   
 504 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   ( 7- 8, 77.3)    18- 4   
 510 N Langley                VA 6A North   (21- 1, 99.9)     5-19   
 516 A Robinson Secondary, VA VA 6A North   (18- 5, 97.9)     9-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Langley                 3-17     -14   -12           0.00
   320 H Atlee                  17- 7      10     0    +++    9.16
   322 A Chantilly               8- 9  o   -1    -2           1.87
   323 A George Mason           16-21      -5    -9    ++     4.73
   328 A South Lakes            16-12       4     4          -0.56
   330 H Hayfield               16- 3      13    17           0.00
   404 H James Madison, VA      13-18      -5    -6           1.87
   406 A Washington-Lee         18- 5      13     7    +      2.45
   418 H Briar Woods            19- 8      11    10           0.00
   420 H Oakton                  8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.91
   425 A McLean, VA             13-14  o   -1    -5    ++     4.18
   427 A Bishop O'Connell       13-11       2     8          n/a  
   428 H Fairfax                17- 4      13    14           0.00
   502 A South County, Lorton   13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.88
   504 H Washington-Lee         18- 4      14     9           0.15
   510 N Langley                 5-19     -14   -13           0.00
   516 A Robinson Secondary, VA  9-21     -12   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Bishop O'Connell       13-11       2     8    ---        
   420 H Oakton                  8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Atlee                  17- 7      10     0    +++    9.16
   323 A George Mason           16-21      -5    -9    ++     4.73
   425 A McLean, VA             13-14  o   -1    -5    ++     4.18
   502 A South County, Lorton   13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.88
   406 A Washington-Lee         18- 5      13     7    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.03 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.36 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   145
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/