Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   Shannon Holliday      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.5458527    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Clarksburg             MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 9, 57.7)    18- 3   
 323 A St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    (10-10, 83.1)     4-19   
 327 H Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 4, 64.2)    16- 6   
 329 A Montgomery Blair       MD    4A-3A   (10- 7, 63.4)    16- 5   
 401 H Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   ( 2- 5, 68.4)     7- 8  o
 404 A Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (12- 3, 79.5)     5-13   
 418 A Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 4, 65.4)    14- 6   
 421 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 5, 71.0)    15-14   
 424 A Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   (12- 5, 79.1)     7- 8   
 428 A Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 4, 70.4)    12-13   
 501 H Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   (12- 5, 79.0)    14-19   
 504 H Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 6, 73.1)   
 512 N Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   (12- 5, 79.1)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Clarksburg             18- 3      15    13           0.00
   323 A St. John's College, DC  4-19     -15   -13          n/a  
   327 H Magruder               16- 6      10     7    +      2.58
   329 A Montgomery Blair       16- 5      11     6    +      3.98
   401 H Walter Johnson          7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.24
   404 A Whitman, MD             5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   418 A Richard Montgomery, MD 14- 6       8     4    +      3.99
   421 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   15-14       1     0           0.35
   424 A Winston Churchill       7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.72
   428 A Quince Orchard         12-13      -1    -1           0.05
   501 H Sherwood, MD           14-19      -5    -7    +      2.35
   512 N Winston Churchill       3-16     -13    -8          -1.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Walter Johnson          7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Winston Churchill       7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.72
   327 H Magruder               16- 6      10     7    +      2.58
   329 A Montgomery Blair       16- 5      11     6    +      3.98
   404 A Whitman, MD             5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   418 A Richard Montgomery, MD 14- 6       8     4    +      3.99
   501 H Sherwood, MD           14-19      -5    -7    +      2.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.51 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.46 Local SOS Rank.............    74
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   143
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   106
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/