Winchester Thurston           4 - 7


 
                                     Region = PA    AA-S3            
   Nickname = A                      Coach  =   Bill Fitch            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.0047302    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Villa Maria Acad, Erie PA    D10     ( 3- 9, 75.9)   
 403 A Mars Area              PA    AA-S3   (11- 7, 87.3)     6-24   
 405 H Hampton Township       PA    AA-S3   (20- 2, 97.0)     6-16   
 407 H Greensburg Salem       PA    AA-S1   ( 0-11, 66.7)    11- 6   
 410 A Cardinal Wuerl NC      PA    AA-S3   ( 6- 9, 80.2)    11-18   
 412 H Aquinas Academy, PA    PA    AA-S3   ( 3- 8, 78.1)   
 419 H Villa Maria Acad, Erie PA    D10     ( 3- 9, 75.9)   
 419 H Vincentian Academy     PA    AA-S3   ( 0-11, 67.3)     1- 0   
 420 H Knoch                  PA    AA-S3   ( 6-11, 76.4)    10-19   
 424 A Knoch                  PA    AA-S3   ( 6-11, 76.4)     7-21   
 426 H Mars Area              PA    AA-S3   (11- 7, 87.3)     6-24   
 427 A Vincentian Academy     PA    AA-S3   ( 0-11, 67.3)     1- 0   
 501 A Hampton Township       PA    AA-S3   (20- 2, 97.0)     2-19   
 503 H Cardinal Wuerl NC      PA    AA-S3   ( 6- 9, 80.2)    18- 9   
 508 A Aquinas Academy, PA    PA    AA-S3   ( 3- 8, 78.1)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Mars Area               6-24     -18   -14           0.00
   405 H Hampton Township        6-16     -10   -23           0.00
   407 H Greensburg Salem       11- 6       5     6          -1.74
   410 A Cardinal Wuerl NC      11-18      -7    -7           0.81
   420 H Knoch                  10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.03
   424 A Knoch                   7-21     -14    -4    --    -5.98
   426 H Mars Area               6-24     -18   -13           0.00
   501 A Hampton Township        2-19     -17   -24           0.00
   503 H Cardinal Wuerl NC      18- 9       9    -6    +++   15.76


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Knoch                  10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.03
   424 A Knoch                   7-21     -14    -4    --    -5.98


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Cardinal Wuerl NC      18- 9       9    -6    +++   15.76




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.95 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.60 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   17.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7


  
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