Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Jennifer Courtney     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.9838562    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 82.9)     4-13   
 329 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-15, 71.4)    11- 6   
 404 H East Aurora            NY D  Sec 6   (14- 3, 87.0)     8- 9   
 418 A Sweet Home             NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 74.1)     9- 6   
 421 H Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 79.6)     6-16   
 424 H Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 80.7)     7-11   
 425 A Nichols School         NY    Private ( 5- 5, 86.8)     5-10   
 427 A Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 99.9)     2-18   
 502 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-15, 70.6)    12- 7   
 504 H Lewiston-Porter        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-11, 64.7)    14- 1   
 508 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 81.7)    11-13   
 509 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 6, 91.0)     2-13   
 511 A West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 92.2)     5-15   
 516 H Grand Island           NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 83.3)    10- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Clarence                4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.75
   329 H Lockport               11- 6       5     7    -     -2.78
   404 H East Aurora             8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.72
   418 A Sweet Home              9- 6       3     3          -0.60
   421 H Williamsville South     6-16     -10     0    ---   -9.62
   424 H Iroquois                7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.57
   425 A Nichols School          5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.10
   427 A Lake Shore              2-18     -16   -22           0.00
   502 A North Tonawanda        12- 7       5     7    -     -2.12
   504 H Lewiston-Porter        14- 1      13    14           0.00
   508 A Williamsville North    11-13      -2    -3           1.96
   509 A Amherst, NY             2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   511 A West Seneca East        5-15     -10   -14           0.00
   516 H Grand Island           10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Williamsville South     6-16     -10     0    ---   -9.62
   327 A Clarence                4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.75
   329 H Lockport               11- 6       5     7    -     -2.78
   424 H Iroquois                7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.57
   502 A North Tonawanda        12- 7       5     7    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H East Aurora             8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.72
   516 H Grand Island           10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.08
   425 A Nichols School          5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.46 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.02 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/