Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.9822769    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 88.5)    16- 4   
 401 A Sayville               NY C  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 83.3)    15-10   
 404 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 96.0)    17-11   
 406 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 84.3)    14- 5   
 410 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (17- 4, 99.9)    11-10   
 412 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 85.3)    17- 7   
 418 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.8)    15- 1   
 420 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.4)    12- 8   
 422 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 8, 81.1)    18- 5   
 426 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 94.3)    13- 6   
 428 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-10, 72.9)    17- 2   
 429 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (12- 9, 96.6)    17- 9   
 502 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.3)    15- 9   
 504 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 74.0)    16- 2   
 508 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.5)    17- 4   
 510 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 86.9)    13-10   
 522 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.3)    11- 9   
 524 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 94.3)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Riverhead              16- 4      12    10           0.00
   401 A Sayville               15-10       5    15    --    -5.00
   404 H Smithtown East         17-11       6     3    +      2.18
   406 H Commack                14- 5       9    15          -1.00
   410 A Middle Country         11-10       1     0           1.63
   412 H Sachem East            17- 7      10    14           0.00
   418 A Bay Shore              15- 1      14    15           0.00
   420 A Sachem North           12- 8       4     7    -     -3.91
   422 H Patchogue-Medford      18- 5      13    18           0.00
   426 A Northport              13- 6       7     4    +      2.06
   428 H Walt Whitman, NY       17- 2      15    26           0.00
   429 A Yorktown, NY           17- 9       8     2          n/a  
   502 A West Islip             15- 9       6     9    -     -3.95
   504 H Lindenhurst            16- 2      14    25           0.00
   508 H Smithtown West         17- 4      13     8           1.65
   510 A Huntington             13-10       3    12    ---   -7.00
   522 H West Islip             11- 9       2    10    ---   -8.00
   524 H Northport               7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Huntington             13-10       3    12    ---   -7.00
   522 H West Islip             11- 9       2    10    ---   -8.00
   524 H Northport               7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.49
   401 A Sayville               15-10       5    15    --    -5.00
   420 A Sachem North           12- 8       4     7    -     -3.91
   502 A West Islip             15- 9       6     9    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Yorktown, NY           17- 9       8     2    ++         
   404 H Smithtown East         17-11       6     3    +      2.18
   426 A Northport              13- 6       7     4    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.55 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.39 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   14.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.205.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/